Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,611/1,630 points and the support at 1,600/1,592 points.</li><li>We suggest trading buy on SAWAD, CBG and BGRIM.</li><li>Technically, the index is likely to move up to test the major resistance at 1,611 points, and surpassing this level would lead to more buy signs.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,611/1,630 points and the support at 1,600/1,592 points.We suggest trading buy on SAWAD, CBG and BGRIM.Technically, the index is likely to move up to test the major resistance at 1,611 points, and surpassing this level would lead to more buy signs.

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the resistance at 1,610/1,630 points and the support at 1,593/1,586 points.</li><li>We recommend trading buy on KKP, KBANK, and SINGER.</li><li>Technically, the index may correct in the short term before moving up to test 1,610 points. </li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the resistance at 1,610/1,630 points and the support at 1,593/1,586 points.We recommend trading buy on KKP, KBANK, and SINGER.Technically, the index may correct in the short term before moving up to test 1,610 points. 

<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<ul>
<li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,611 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,587/1,580 points.</li>
<li>We suggest trading buy on GULF, BEM and OTO.</li>
<li>Technically, the index is likely to correct in the short term before testing the major resistance at 1,611 points next week. </li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>






The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,611 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,587/1,580 points.
We suggest trading buy on GULF, BEM and OTO.
Technically, the index is likely to correct in the short term before testing the major resistance at 1,611 points next week. 






Thailand

The Bangkok SET Index is a capitalization-weighted index of stocks traded on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of April 30, 1975. 

Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX)

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Zoom - August 9, 2022

The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,611/1,630 points and the support at 1,600/1,592 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Zoom - August 8, 2022

The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the resistance at 1,610/1,630 points and the support at 1,593/1,586 points. We recommend trading buy on...

Krungthai XSpring

Zoom - August 5, 2022

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,611 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,587/1,580 points.

Krungthai XSpring