Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li><li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li><li>If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!</li></ul>

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>The final rankings will be decided based on the full market cap at the close of trading today (3rd March 2025).</li>
<li>Based on the current numbers, we see one change for the F100 index and three changes for the F250 index in March 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
The final rankings will be decided based on the full market cap at the close of trading today (3rd March 2025).
Based on the current numbers, we see one change for the F100 index and three changes for the F250 index in March 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar25: Base Date for Ranks; Hargreaves Lansdown M&A Change Soon!

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see up to three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few months.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and at least two changes for the F250 index during the March 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We see up to three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few months.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and at least two changes for the F250 index during the March 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar25: High-Impact Intra-Review Additions Possible

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see up to four M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the March 2025 review.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one change for the F250 index during the March 2025 rebalance. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We see up to four M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the March 2025 review.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one change for the F250 index during the March 2025 rebalance. 


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar 25: Mega Addition for Coke & Multiple Intra-Review Changes Likely

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP)</a> announced that the pre-condition was satisfied, and Bain’s tender offer remains unchanged at JPY1,755 per share, a 52.1% premium to the undisturbed (8 December).</li>
<li>Shareholders will breathe a sigh of relief as the weak 4Q and significant impairments have raised concerns that Bain would cut its offer or walk away.</li>
<li>The offer attractiveness has increased partly due to lower consensus. At the last close and for a 3 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.0%/22.8%.</li>
</ul>



Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) announced that the pre-condition was satisfied, and Bain’s tender offer remains unchanged at JPY1,755 per share, a 52.1% premium to the undisturbed (8 December).
Shareholders will breathe a sigh of relief as the weak 4Q and significant impairments have raised concerns that Bain would cut its offer or walk away.
The offer attractiveness has increased partly due to lower consensus. At the last close and for a 3 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.0%/22.8%.


Outsourcing (2427 JP): Relief as Bain Launches Tender at Unchanged Terms

United Kingdom

SThree Plc is an international specialist staffing business, providing permanent and contract specialist staff to a diverse client base.  The Company is involved in the information and communication technology sector, the accountancy & finance, banking, engineering, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals, human resources, energy, legal and job board sectors.

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SThree (STEM LN)

Monday Delight: 07/04/25

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar25: Base Date for Ranks; Hargreaves Lansdown M&A Change Soon!

Today is the base date for rankings. The index changes will be confirmed after market close tomorrow. There could be multiple regular ADDs/DELs and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar25: High-Impact Intra-Review Additions Possible

Most of the names leading the race for F250 addition have more than 10x ADV to trade and some of these names could get added on an intra-review basis.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar 25: Mega Addition for Coke & Multiple Intra-Review Changes Likely

There are multiple possibilities of intra-review index changes for the F100/250 family in 1Q CY2025. It might be a good idea to revisit this insight.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Outsourcing (2427 JP): Relief as Bain Launches Tender at Unchanged Terms

Shareholders will breathe a sigh of relief at the unchanged terms. At the last close and for a 3 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.0%...

Arun George

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