External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Steel Authority of India / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>This quarter was impacted by several factors, seasonal and non-seasonal, resulting in lower-than-anticipated demand.</li><li>SAIL has not chalked out its growth capex and has maintenance capex for the current year, in our view.</li><li>SAIL is unlikely to embark on a big bang capex – which the company had initiated in FY10, as a result of which it was saddled with debt </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

This quarter was impacted by several factors, seasonal and non-seasonal, resulting in lower-than-anticipated demand.SAIL has not chalked out its growth capex and has maintenance capex for the current year, in our view.SAIL is unlikely to embark on a big bang capex – which the company had initiated in FY10, as a result of which it was saddled with debt Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Steel Authority of India: Expect Demand Revival in 4Q

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Post market close on 23 August, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (IMSC) of NSE Indices announced the results of the September index review for the NIFTY family of indices. The rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 29 September and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on the day.</p><p>There are no changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, in line with what we expected.</p><p>There are 5 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 Index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cholamandalam-investment-and-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17583:1" rel="noopener">Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pi-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6040:1" rel="noopener">Pi Industries (PI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-authority-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14323:1" rel="noopener">Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)</a> will be included in the index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abbott-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9687:1" rel="noopener">Abbott India (BOOT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mrf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2930:1" rel="noopener">Mrf Ltd (MRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petronet-lng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15235:1" rel="noopener">Petronet LNG (PLNG IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18080:1" rel="noopener">United Breweries (UBBL IN)</a> will be deleted from the index.</p><p>While the headline impact in terms of ADV looks low, a look at the impact compared to the delivery volumes paints a different picture.</p><p>There are a whole bunch of changes to constituents of other indices too. However, the assets tracking these indices are small and there will be negligible impact on the stocks.</p><p>There is an expansion of the index universe for the NIFTY indices with REITs and Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs) becoming eligible for inclusion in the indices.</p>

Post market close on 23 August, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (IMSC) of NSE Indices announced the results of the September index review for the NIFTY family of indices. The rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 29 September and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on the day.There are no changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), in line with what we expected.There are 5 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 Index. Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN), Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Pi Industries (PI IN) and Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN) will be included in the index, while Abbott India (BOOT IN), Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN), Mrf Ltd (MRF IN), Petronet LNG (PLNG IN) and United Breweries (UBBL IN) will be deleted from the index.While the headline impact in terms of ADV looks low, a look at the impact compared to the delivery volumes paints a different picture.There are a whole bunch of changes to constituents of other indices too. However, the assets tracking these indices are small and there will be negligible impact on the stocks.There is an expansion of the index universe for the NIFTY indices with REITs and Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs) becoming eligible for inclusion in the indices.

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: More Beneath The Surface

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

<h2><strong>Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>
<strong>Our</strong><strong>Q2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%</strong>. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.</li>
<li>
<strong>At a static number of 34</strong><strong> stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </strong>with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.</li>
<li><strong>Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.</strong></li>
<li>
<strong>Stock specific focus:</strong> We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.</li>
</ul>

Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running


OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.

At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.
Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.

Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.


Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

<p>SAIL has iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Odisha, which aids in meeting 100% of its iron ore requirements captively. Even on the expanded capacity, the company would be self-sufficient in meeting its iron ore requirements. Captive supply of iron ore aids in keeping SAIL's overall raw material costs under check. Also, currently, the relatively firm trend in steel prices augurs well for SAIL. We model EBITDA/tonne of Rs 12000/tonne...</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

SAIL has iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Odisha, which aids in meeting 100% of its iron ore requirements captively. Even on the expanded capacity, the company would be self-sufficient in meeting its iron ore requirements. Captive supply of iron ore aids in keeping SAIL's overall raw material costs under check. Also, currently, the relatively firm trend in steel prices augurs well for SAIL. We model EBITDA/tonne of Rs 12000/tonne...
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Steel Authority of India (SAIL): Steady Performance

<p>With steel prices at a record high, SAIL is poised to post its best ever EBITDA/t of ~INR20,000 in 1QFY22. We upgrade our FY22E/FY23E EBITDA estimate by 71%/33% to factor in higher steel prices, and estimate a further INR102b (INR25/share) fall in net debt to INR265b (1x EBITDA) in FY22E. We expect dividend payout to be strong at INR10/share in FY22E (7.5% yield), based on an expected 25% payout ratio. Reiterate Buy....</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

With steel prices at a record high, SAIL is poised to post its best ever EBITDA/t of ~INR20,000 in 1QFY22. We upgrade our FY22E/FY23E EBITDA estimate by 71%/33% to factor in higher steel prices, and estimate a further INR102b (INR25/share) fall in net debt to INR265b (1x EBITDA) in FY22E. We expect dividend payout to be strong at INR10/share in FY22E (7.5% yield), based on an expected 25% payout ratio. Reiterate Buy....Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Steel Authority of India Limited is an integrated steel manufacturing company. The Company's products include pig iron, steel ingots, liquid steel, alloy steel, special steel, stainless steel, ferro alloys, ERW pipes, spirally welded pipes, and calcium ammonium nitrate.  The Government of India is currently a majority shareholder in the company.

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Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)

Steel Authority of India: Expect Demand Revival in 4Q

This quarter was impacted by several factors, seasonal and non-seasonal, resulting in lower-than-anticipated demand. SAIL has not chalked out its...

Motilal Oswal

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: More Beneath The Surface

There are 5 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 September. The impact is quite large compared to the...

Brian Freitas

Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

Screening the Silk Road Q3 2021: Asia Pac High-risk names to avoid screening is out now. Eight new names, despite being down 23%, SoftBank remains...

David Lepper

Steel Authority of India (SAIL): Steady Performance

SAIL has iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Odisha, which aids in meeting 100% of its iron ore requirements captively. Even on the...

ICICI Securities Limited

Biggest beneficiary of improved pricing

With steel prices at a record high, SAIL is poised to post its best ever EBITDA/t of ~INR20,000 in 1QFY22. We upgrade our FY22E/FY23E EBITDA...

Motilal Oswal

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