Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> is looking to raise A$685m via an ANREO of 3 shares in The Star for every 5 shares at a fixed price of A$1.2/share.</li>
<li>The A$1.2/share price is a 21.1% discount to the last close and a 14.3% discount to the Theoretical Ex-Rights Price (TERP) of A$1.4/share.</li>
<li>Short interest is near the highs and there is an index deletion pending. We'd look to buy the stock on a move lower, especially closer to index deletion.</li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) is looking to raise A$685m via an ANREO of 3 shares in The Star for every 5 shares at a fixed price of A$1.2/share.
The A$1.2/share price is a 21.1% discount to the last close and a 14.3% discount to the Theoretical Ex-Rights Price (TERP) of A$1.4/share.
Short interest is near the highs and there is an index deletion pending. We'd look to buy the stock on a move lower, especially closer to index deletion.


Star Entertainment (SGR AU): A$800m Equity Raise to Buy Some Time

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a>'s announced it intends to raise $800mn after reporting a statutory $1.26bn 1H23 loss.</li>
<li>This equity raising will be broken down into a A$685mn non-renounceable entitlement Offer and a A$115mn institutional placement. The equity raising is fully underwritten. </li>
<li>Star also announced it has secured covenant relief through to June 2025. Star's immediate focus is to get its house in order and prove its suitability to hold casino licences. </li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)'s announced it intends to raise $800mn after reporting a statutory $1.26bn 1H23 loss.
This equity raising will be broken down into a A$685mn non-renounceable entitlement Offer and a A$115mn institutional placement. The equity raising is fully underwritten. 
Star also announced it has secured covenant relief through to June 2025. Star's immediate focus is to get its house in order and prove its suitability to hold casino licences. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal (0125738D IJ)</a> raised US$597 million by pricing the IPO at the low end of the price range of IDR875-880 per share.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11686:1" rel="noopener">Fujitec Co Ltd (6406 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Pertamina Geothermal (0125738D IJ) raised US$597 million by pricing the IPO at the low end of the price range of IDR875-880 per share.
Event-Driven developments - Fujitec Co Ltd (6406 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Keppel Corp (KEP SP), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (19 Feb) - Fujitec, Toyo, AAG Energy, Yashili, Newcrest, Keppel, Pertamina

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-m-entertainment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3500:1" rel="noopener">S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)</a> is trading through the partial offer terms as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hybe-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28959:1" rel="noopener">HYBE (352820 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a> jostle for control.</li>
<li>The political noise around the Adani Group situation will continue to be significant. Part of India believes this is a hatchet job against PM Modi and the BJP.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> is an extraordinarily toxic company. But just how much negative news is already baked into the share price?</li>
</ul>



S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) is trading through the partial offer terms as HYBE (352820 KS) and Kakao Corp (035720 KS) jostle for control.
The political noise around the Adani Group situation will continue to be significant. Part of India believes this is a hatchet job against PM Modi and the BJP.

Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) is an extraordinarily toxic company. But just how much negative news is already baked into the share price?


Last Week in Event SPACE: S.M.Entertainment, Adani Group, Star Entertainment, Dai Nippon, Citizen

<ul>
<li>We currently see 1 change for the ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the ASX200 Index, 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.</li>
<li>On average, the potential adds to each of the indices have outperformed the potential deletes with the largest outperformance for the ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>Shorts have continued to increase positions on the potential deletes while covering their positions on the potential adds. We expect there are large pre-positions on some of the stocks now.</li>
</ul>


We currently see 1 change for the ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the ASX200 Index, 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.
On average, the potential adds to each of the indices have outperformed the potential deletes with the largest outperformance for the ASX300 Index.
Shorts have continued to increase positions on the potential deletes while covering their positions on the potential adds. We expect there are large pre-positions on some of the stocks now.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

Australia

The Star Entertainment Group Limited owns and operates casinos and hotels. The Company offers services and amenities such as gaming facilities, nightclubs, bars, restaurants, exhibition centers. The Star Entertainment Group conducts business in Australia.

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Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)

Star Entertainment (SGR AU): A$800m Equity Raise to Buy Some Time

Star is looking to raise A$800m to shore up its balance sheet. The raise at A$1.2/share is a 21.1% discount to last close & 14.3% discount to TERP....

Brian Freitas

Star Entertainment's A$800mn Buffer

On balance, I think the negative news circling Stat Entertainment is baked into the share price. I'd, tentatively, be wading back in.

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Feb) - Fujitec, Toyo, AAG Energy, Yashili, Newcrest, Keppel, Pertamina

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (AAG Energy, Yashili, Fujitec, Toyo Construction, Newcrest, Norwest, Origin Energy, Star...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: S.M.Entertainment, Adani Group, Star Entertainment, Dai Nippon, Citizen

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

We forecast 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 for the ASX 200 & 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 in March. Adds have outperformed deletes...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Star Entertainment (SGR AU): A$800m Equity Raise to Buy Some Time

Star is looking to raise A$800m to shore up its balance sheet. The raise at A$1.2/share is a 21.1% discount to last close & 14.3% discount to TERP....

Brian Freitas

Star Entertainment's A$800mn Buffer

On balance, I think the negative news circling Stat Entertainment is baked into the share price. I'd, tentatively, be wading back in.

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Feb) - Fujitec, Toyo, AAG Energy, Yashili, Newcrest, Keppel, Pertamina

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (AAG Energy, Yashili, Fujitec, Toyo Construction, Newcrest, Norwest, Origin Energy, Star...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: S.M.Entertainment, Adani Group, Star Entertainment, Dai Nippon, Citizen

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

We forecast 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 for the ASX 200 & 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 in March. Adds have outperformed deletes...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete