Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 54 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superloop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23604:1" rel="noopener">Superloop (SLC AU)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual (QIP AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>'s rumoured approaches. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services Internation (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 54 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Offers for Alumina (AWC AU), Superloop (SLC AU) &amp; Qantm Intellectual (QIP AU); Samsonite (1910 HK)'s ESR (1821 HK)'s rumoured approaches. 
Key updates took place on APM Human Services Internation (APM AU), Adbri (ABC AU), CSR Ltd (CSR AU), Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), and Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

<ul>
<li>For the month of February 2024, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~33%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of February 2024, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~33%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2024: Lawson, Altium, CSR, TCM, Boral, APM, Roland DG, Ssangyong Cement

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crh-plc-054117b2-cd70-470a-9efc-8f6fab2c83ec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28655:1" rel="noopener">CRH (CRH US)</a> and Barro at A$3.20 per share, a 41.0% premium to the undisturbed price of A$2.27 (13 December).</li>
<li>The offer requires shareholder and FIRB approval. FIRB approval for the bidder, CRH, should be forthcoming as it is a Fortune 500 company with HQ in Ireland. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive vs. peer multiples and historical ranges. At the last close and for a mid-June payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.9%/6.6%.</li>
</ul>



Adbri (ABC AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with CRH (CRH US) and Barro at A$3.20 per share, a 41.0% premium to the undisturbed price of A$2.27 (13 December).
The offer requires shareholder and FIRB approval. FIRB approval for the bidder, CRH, should be forthcoming as it is a Fortune 500 company with HQ in Ireland. 
The offer is attractive vs. peer multiples and historical ranges. At the last close and for a mid-June payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.9%/6.6%.


Adbri (ABC AU): CRH and Barro’s Binding A$3.20 Offer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.</li>
<li>We see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 4 new adds to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>On average, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have the lowest price to book value and have historically outperformed stocks migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.
We see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 4 new adds to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
On average, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have the lowest price to book value and have historically outperformed stocks migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Migrations as Focus Is on Price to Book

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 53 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma! <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snow-peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7218:1" rel="noopener">Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 53 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma! Boral Ltd (BLD AU), CSR Ltd (CSR AU), Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU),TCM (570 HK), and Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP).
Key updates took place on Azure Minerals (AZS AU),  CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK), Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP), and Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Boral, CSR, Ansarada, TCM, Snow Peak, Azure Min, Genetron

South Korea

Hanil Cement co.,Ltd. operates as a cement manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells cement, special cement, ready mixed concrete products, high solidity admixture, and other products. Hanil Cement markets its products throughout Korea.

Hanil Holdings Co.,Ltd. manufactures cement products. The Company produces and sells cement, ready-mixed concrete, ready-mixed dry mortar, and other related products. Hanil Holdings also provides information technology services and construction services.

Asia Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures cement and aggregate products.  The Company produces and sells cement, ready-mix concrete, and dry mortar. Asia Cement offers its products to construction industry in Korea.

SAMPYO Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes cement products. The Company produces slag cement, low heat cement, and other related products. SAMPYO Cement markets its products worldwide.

Eugene Corp. manufactures and markets ready mixed concrete and asphalt concrete. The Company handles pavement works and constructs commercial and residential buildings.

Dong Won Co., Ltd. owns and operates coal mines in South Korea.  The Company's products include hard coal for industrial and household uses.  Dong Won also develops overseas oil and gas fields, especially in South America.

Hanil Hyundai Cement Co.,Ltd manufactures and distributes cement products. The Company produces portland cement, slag cement, and other related products. Hanil Hyundai Cement also operates traveler accommodation businesses.

Sungshin Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures cement, ready-mixed concrete, clinker, and dry ready-mixed cement mortar.  The Company provides its products mainly to domestic market.

Korea Petroleum Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets asphalt used in constructions.  The Company also produces solvents, waterproofing sheets, and synthetic resins for the building contractors and manufacturers of paint, tire, and pharmaceuticals.  In addition, Korea Petroleum Industrial distributes gasoline, kerosene, and other chemicals.

Baek Kwang Mineral Products Co., Ltd. manufactures quicklime, calcium hydroxide, granular calcium oxide, and calcium hydroxide fertilizer.

The Ramco Cements Limited manufactures cement, ready mix concrete and dry mix products.  The Company also exports  cement and owns and operates a private sector wind mill power generating farm.

Gansu Qilianshan Cement Group Co.,Ltd manufactures cement products. The Company produces portland cements, low alkali cements, sulphate resistant cements, cement clinkers, and other products. Gansu Qilianshan Cement Group also produces cement equipment.

China Resources Cement Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, produces, distributes and sells cement, clinker and concrete.

Goldsun Building Materials Co., Ltd. manufactures building materials. The Company produces pre-mixed concrete, corrugated asbestos sheets, and concrete products. The Company also operates in the real estate development business.

Taiwan Goldsun Building Materials (2504 TT)

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk manufactures cement including portland cement, oil well cement, and mixed cement. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops and operates an industrial estate, mines limestone and clay, and packages and distributes cement.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. supplies lime and limestone products to the steel, paper, agriculture, environmental protection, and construction industries.  The Company operates plants in Texas and Arkansas.

Vicat S.A. manufactures and sells cements, ready-mix concrete, aggregates and concrete pipes, as well as stucco and mortar for use in building construction internationally.  The Company also produces a variety of papers, medium-to-large capacity paper bags and chemicals and provides freight transportation services.

BBMG Corporation has operation in manufacturing and sales of cement and modern building materials. The Company also operates in property development, property investment and provision of property management services in China.

CSG Holding Co. Ltd.  manufactures raw sheets of high-grade float glass, archite ctural glass, delicacy glass, automotive glass, new-typed electronic components, and structure ceramic materials. The Company also operates in real estate development.

Cementos Argos SA is a cement and concrete producer and marketer, covering  several markets such as Colombia, Caribbean and Central America, and United  States.

Ssangyong Cement Industrial Co., Ltd. produces cement and ready-mixed concrete. The Company also manufactures fine ceramics for industrial uses and ferrite magnets for components used in audio equipment.  In addition, Ssangyong Cement Industrial develops housing, plant engineering, environmental resources, and leisure businesses.

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Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2024: Lawson, Altium, CSR, TCM, Boral, APM, Roland DG, Ssangyong Cement

For the month of February, 20 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$20bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Adbri (ABC AU): CRH and Barro’s Binding A$3.20 Offer

The offer is attractive vs. peer multiples and historical ranges. At the last close and for a mid-June payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.9%...

Arun George

KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Migrations as Focus Is on Price to Book

We see 35 migrations and 7 new inclusions for the KOSPI Size indices. Stocks migrating higher have outperformed stocks migrating lower. Some stocks...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Boral, CSR, Ansarada, TCM, Snow Peak, Azure Min, Genetron

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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