Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two news deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group Company (1171 HK)</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>
</li>
</ul>


There are 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two news deals this week: Yankuang Energy Group Company (1171 HK)'s tilt for Yancoal Australia (YAL AU); SAIC Motor (600104 CH)'s Offer for Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).
Key updates took place for: Virtus Health (VRT AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP), Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)/ Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Yancoal, Donzheng, Virtus, Toyo, SPH REIT, Mapletree Merger, BEURG

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> Chain Offer was <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer%20Document.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=717861" target="_blank" rel="noopener">launched</a> on Thursday 19 May. </li>
<li>The Chain Offer Price has been revised lower from the original level to be S$0.9372/unit, as discussed a few times in these pages. </li>
<li>The units have underperformed Peer Baskets for the last few months and have now fallen to the Chain Offer Price. That presents opportunities</li>
</ul>


The SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) Chain Offer was launched on Thursday 19 May. 
The Chain Offer Price has been revised lower from the original level to be S$0.9372/unit, as discussed a few times in these pages. 
The units have underperformed Peer Baskets for the last few months and have now fallen to the Chain Offer Price. That presents opportunities


SPH Offer Open - Starts to Look Interesting

<ul>
<li>For the month of April, 10 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$22bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in April was ~36%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of April, 10 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$22bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in April was ~36%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>’s EGM, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)’s EGM, Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.
The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. 


MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> 58% to 42% to take cash instead of cash + SPH REIT units. </li>
<li>That was to be expected, but it means Cuscaden owns 47+% of SPH REIT and needs to conduct a Conditional Chain Offer on SPH REIT at S$0.9372/unit. </li>
<li>That provides a put option under SPH REIT for holders/buyers as Singapore opens up.</li>
</ul>



Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) 58% to 42% to take cash instead of cash + SPH REIT units. 
That was to be expected, but it means Cuscaden owns 47+% of SPH REIT and needs to conduct a Conditional Chain Offer on SPH REIT at S$0.9372/unit. 
That provides a put option under SPH REIT for holders/buyers as Singapore opens up.


SPH Scheme Elections In - SPH REIT Chain Offer Announced

Singapore

SPH REIT is a Singapore-based REIT established principally to invest, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing real estate which is used primarily for retail purposes in Asia-Pacific, as well as real estate-related assets.

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SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Yancoal, Donzheng, Virtus, Toyo, SPH REIT, Mapletree Merger, BEURG

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

SPH Offer Open - Starts to Look Interesting

The SPHREIT Chain Offer has started, and that gives S-REIT investors and arbitrageurs 4-6 weeks of an interesting option. Which as of Friday is free.

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia M&A: April 2022 Roundup

For the month of April, nine new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$22bn. The average premium for the...

David Blennerhassett

MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. For a 17 August payment, the annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including...

Arun George

SPH Scheme Elections In - SPH REIT Chain Offer Announced

SPH holders have generally gone with the cash, which means Cuscaden owns 47% of SPH REIT and has to conduct a chain offer. That means a put option...

Travis Lundy

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