The Market Sentimentalist - We're Going On A Bear Hunt
SummaryThe US economic recovery just celebrated its eighth birthday. The IMF, in its recently published Article IV consultation document, predicted...
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U.S. Core Domestic Profit Trends Remain Troubling
In this insight we discuss the latest economy-wide profits data for the U.S., updated today by the Commerce Department. The data on profits from...
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The Fed Weighs Financial Risks Against Low Inflation
Following the Fed’s decision to hike rates again on June 14 and take another step toward balance sheet normalization (by detailing its wind-down...
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Portfolio Protection Revisited
It is said that “markets take the stairs up and the elevator down”. In upward trending markets, such as US stocks for the past several years,...
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US: Bond Market Conundrum 2.0
The time-varying term premium embedded in bond yields ensures that the Fed's ability to affect longer-term yields and, hence, overall financial...
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