Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Orient Overseas International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Smoore International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The growth rate of the Chinese e-cigarette market bounced up to 73% in 2021 from 7% in 2020. </li>
<li>The global e-cigarette market increased by 23% in 2021, but Smoore is only good at vaping components.</li>
<li>We conclude that Smoore has an upside of 86% for year end 2022.</li>
</ul>


The growth rate of the Chinese e-cigarette market bounced up to 73% in 2021 from 7% in 2020. 
The global e-cigarette market increased by 23% in 2021, but Smoore is only good at vaping components.
We conclude that Smoore has an upside of 86% for year end 2022.


Smoore (6969 HK): Expanding Market Sizes, Both Domestic and Global

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Cashed-Up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic (JS SP)</a> are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. </li>
<li>The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."</li>
<li>The ACCC approval, a key condition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> proposal completing, has been obtained.</li>
</ul>


Cashed-Up Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of Jardine Strategic (JS SP) are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. 
The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown Evergrande (3333 HK) management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."
The ACCC approval, a key condition to the Sydney Airport (SYD AU) proposal completing, has been obtained.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Huabao International Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Huabao International Holdings (HIH) aims to raise up to US$207m via a top-up placement in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The stock has done exceedingly well over the last year and analysts have been busy initiating on the stock. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Huabao International Holdings (HIH) aims to raise up to US$207m via a top-up placement in Hong Kong.
The stock has done exceedingly well over the last year and analysts have been busy initiating on the stock. 
In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Huabao Placement - Not Wholly Convinced but Giving It the Benefit of Doubt

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Kuaishou, Smoore, and outflows from Tencent and Wuxi Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Kuaishou, Smoore, and outflows from Tencent and Wuxi Biologics.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Kuaishou, Smoore, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics

China

Smoore International Holdings Limited offering vaping technology solutions with advanced research and development technology. The Company manufactures and produces closed system vaping devices, self branded open system vaping devices, vaping components, and other products. Smoore International Holdings markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

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Smoore International Holdings (6969 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

Smoore (6969 HK): Expanding Market Sizes, Both Domestic and Global

The growth rate of the Chinese e-cigarette market bounced up to 73% in 2021 from 7% in 2020. The global market increased by 23% in 2021. We...

Ming Lu

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Huabao Placement - Not Wholly Convinced but Giving It the Benefit of Doubt

Huabao International Holdings (HIH) aims to raise up to US$207m via a top-up placement in Hong Kong. In this note we will talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Kuaishou, Smoore, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics

We highlight HK Connect inflows into Kuaishou (1024 HK), Smoore (6969 HK), as well as outflows from Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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