Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD524.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,097mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD524.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,097mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Hynix's potential 15% stake in Kioxia doesn't violate the 20% rule because KFTC's mandatory stake rule doesn't apply to foreign investments.</li>
<li>SK Group may transfer Hynix's 15% Kioxia stake to SK Square by splitting Hynix and merging its investment arm with SK Square for future AI investments.</li>
<li>SK Square may attract more attention than Hynix short-term, as Kioxia's stake via Hynix could boost market expectations for value transfer to SK Square.</li>
</ul>


Hynix's potential 15% stake in Kioxia doesn't violate the 20% rule because KFTC's mandatory stake rule doesn't apply to foreign investments.
SK Group may transfer Hynix's 15% Kioxia stake to SK Square by splitting Hynix and merging its investment arm with SK Square for future AI investments.
SK Square may attract more attention than Hynix short-term, as Kioxia's stake via Hynix could boost market expectations for value transfer to SK Square.


Understanding Potential Issues Within SK Group from Hynix's Kioxia CB Conversion

<ul>
<li>Trading opportunities arise when overseas traders' SSF positions face unwinding by local market makers, who enter SSF positions and take opposing spot positions, unwinding at expiry.</li>
<li>August-Expiry SSF data shows reverse flow impact by local market makers today, with varying degrees of impact per stock but an observable overall trend.</li>
<li>With ongoing market volatility in Korea, consider setups targeting price impacts from reverse flows of sector pairs trading on the next SSF expiration date.</li>
</ul>


Trading opportunities arise when overseas traders' SSF positions face unwinding by local market makers, who enter SSF positions and take opposing spot positions, unwinding at expiry.
August-Expiry SSF data shows reverse flow impact by local market makers today, with varying degrees of impact per stock but an observable overall trend.
With ongoing market volatility in Korea, consider setups targeting price impacts from reverse flows of sector pairs trading on the next SSF expiration date.


Trading Opportunities from the Rise of Sector Pairs Trading Using SSFs & MM Unwinding at Expiry

South Korea

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

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SK Innovation (096770 KS)

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Understanding Potential Issues Within SK Group from Hynix's Kioxia CB Conversion

This post dives into the potential issues about how Kioxia's IPO could affect Hynix and the whole SK Group that the market needs to clear up.

Sanghyun Park

Trading Opportunities from the Rise of Sector Pairs Trading Using SSFs & MM Unwinding at Expiry

This post explores trading opportunities from the rise of sector pairs trading using single-stock futures and market makers unwinding at expiry.

Sanghyun Park

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