Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em><strong>We have significantly raised the NAV of Young Poong to 965,193 won (up 105% than previously). Our current NAV estimate of the company is 150% higher than current price.</strong></em></li>
<li>Some traders have been positioning for Young Poong to be deleted from the KOSPI200 in the next round of rebalancing. Young Poong is not likely to be deleted from KOSPI200.</li>
<li>We also provide three potential scenarios of the Choi family's strategy to fight back to gain control of Korea Zinc.</li>
</ul>


We have significantly raised the NAV of Young Poong to 965,193 won (up 105% than previously). Our current NAV estimate of the company is 150% higher than current price.
Some traders have been positioning for Young Poong to be deleted from the KOSPI200 in the next round of rebalancing. Young Poong is not likely to be deleted from KOSPI200.
We also provide three potential scenarios of the Choi family's strategy to fight back to gain control of Korea Zinc.


NAV Analysis of Young Poong and Three Potential Scenarios of Choi Family's Strategy to Fight Back

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in June 2025.</li>
<li>We expect up to six ADDs and six DELs in the KOSPI 200 index during the June 2025 index rebal event based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in June 2025.
We expect up to six ADDs and six DELs in the KOSPI 200 index during the June 2025 index rebal event based on the latest available data.


[Quiddity Index] KOSPI 200 Leaderboard Jun25: Up to 6 Changes Possible

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we review the major equity indices in Korea in 2024 including KOSPI 200 and Korea Value Up Index. </li>
<li>Some alpha generating performances continue in terms of adding stocks to be included in the KOSPI 200 and reducing stocks that could be excluded.</li>
<li>Korea Value Up Index has been heavily promoted by the Korean Exchange this year. Korea Exchange plans to make special changes to the Korea Value-Up Index constituents on 20 December. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we review the major equity indices in Korea in 2024 including KOSPI 200 and Korea Value Up Index. 
Some alpha generating performances continue in terms of adding stocks to be included in the KOSPI 200 and reducing stocks that could be excluded.
Korea Value Up Index has been heavily promoted by the Korean Exchange this year. Korea Exchange plans to make special changes to the Korea Value-Up Index constituents on 20 December. 


A Review of Major Equity Indices in Korea in 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There will be 4 additions and 5 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 December.</li>
<li>The 4 adds are exactly in line with our forecast but a couple of the deletions are surprises. Those two names were close deletes though.</li>
<li>The are some large shorts on a few deletes and there could be covering over the next few weeks as borrows are recalled and as the stocks drop.</li>
</ul>


There will be 4 additions and 5 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 December.
The 4 adds are exactly in line with our forecast but a couple of the deletions are surprises. Those two names were close deletes though.
The are some large shorts on a few deletes and there could be covering over the next few weeks as borrows are recalled and as the stocks drop.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Adds in Line; Couple of Deletes Are Surprises

South Korea

Young Poong Corporation produces and markets non-ferrous metals, such as zinc ingots, sulfate, and cadmium.  The Company also generates income from leasing buildings.

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Young Poong (000670 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

NAV Analysis of Young Poong and Three Potential Scenarios of Choi Family's Strategy to Fight Back

We have significantly raised the NAV of Young Poong to 965,193 won (up 105% than previously). Our current NAV estimate of the company is 150%...

Douglas Kim

[Quiddity Index] KOSPI 200 Leaderboard Jun25: Up to 6 Changes Possible

The KOSPI 200 rebalance for June 2025 currently suggests up to 6 name changes are possible. One is a repeat of the last one where it did not get...

Travis Lundy

A Review of Major Equity Indices in Korea in 2024

We review the major equity indices in Korea in 2024 including KOSPI 200 and Korea Value Up Index. KRX plans to make special changes to the Korea...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Adds in Line; Couple of Deletes Are Surprises

The KOSPI200 December rebalance will be implemented at the close today. Since announcement, the adds are up 4.3% on average while the deletes are...

Brian Freitas

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