Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> reported sluggish performance in 2022, with revenue and net profit declining 51% and 66%, YoY, respectively, due to the weakening demand of the COVID-19 vaccines.</li>
<li>Although the company’s shingles vaccine is the leader in domestic market, it is facing new competition as an international player has launched a new shingles vaccine in Korea this year.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience stopped production of its bread-and-butter earning flu vaccine to focus on COVID-19 vaccine, thereby losing market share to rival. Re-entering the market will not be easy.  </li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) reported sluggish performance in 2022, with revenue and net profit declining 51% and 66%, YoY, respectively, due to the weakening demand of the COVID-19 vaccines.
Although the company’s shingles vaccine is the leader in domestic market, it is facing new competition as an international player has launched a new shingles vaccine in Korea this year.
SK Bioscience stopped production of its bread-and-butter earning flu vaccine to focus on COVID-19 vaccine, thereby losing market share to rival. Re-entering the market will not be easy.  


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Disappointing 2022 Result; Non-COVID Vaccines Are Key to Revival

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced towards end February and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced towards end February and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Some Big Impact Names

South Korea

Hugel, Inc. is a Bio-pharmaceutical company that focuses on developing beauty/cosmetics related products.  The Company's main products include botulinum toxin and fillers.

Green Cross Corporation manufactures household medical drugs. The Company's product includes medicines for cold and fever, nutrition, antiseptic drug, and a lip balm.

Medy-Tox Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company.  The Company researches, develops and manufactures biopharmaceutical products using clostridium botulinum which is a microorganism toxin.

Seegene, Inc. manufactures In Vitro Diagnostic (IVD) products mainly through molecular diagnostic method.  The Company provides diagnostic & screening products for cancer, sepsis, influenza and virus infection.

BIONEER Corp. provides molecular biology products & services.  The Company's product includes oligo synthesis, nucleic acid amplication and purification kits, and instruments for detecting biowarfare agents.

Green Cross Holdings Corporation is a holding company, which operates pharmaceutical, biotechnology, distribution system, life insurance, and healthcare entities.  The Company also invests in biotechnology venture capital and markets medical research information.

SillaJen, Inc. provides medical research and development services. The Company researches and develops treatment of cancer based on genetic recombination virus. SillaJen conducts its business in South Korea and the United States.

Eubiologics Co. Ltd. researches and develops biopharmaceuticals. The Company offers bacterial vaccines for new epidemics and antibiotic resistance. Eubiologics operates in South Korea.

Genexine Co., Ltd. is bio technology company. The Company specialize in the development of therapeutic vaccines and next generation antibody fusion protein medications.

Pharmicell Co.,Ltd. is a Biotechnology company.  The Company's business area inlcudes stem cell therapeutics, Stem cell banking, Bio-based business and Cosmetics.

TG Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the acquisition, development and commercialization of innovative pharmaceutical products for the treatment of cancer and other underserved therapeutic needs. Currently, the company is developing two therapies targeting hematological malignancies, specifically, relapsed and refractory non-Hodgkins lymphoma.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a biotechnology company. The Company develops medicines that treat intractable diseases by silencing the genes. Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals offers its services in the United States.

Myriad Genetics, Inc. develops and markets molecular diagnostic products to provide physicians with information to help guide the care of their patients, to prevent disease, delay the onset of disease, or catch disease at an early stage.

Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. discovers and develops therapeutics in the field of cancer metabolism. The Company develops drugs focusing on glycolysis, fatty acid metabolism, and autophagy. Agios Pharmaceuticals operates in the United States.

Walvax Biotechnology Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells bio-pharmaceutical vaccination products.  The Company's products include haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine and meningococcal group A,C bivalent polysaccharide conjugate vaccine.

Geron Corporation is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company developing a first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, in hematologic myeloid malignancies.

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development and commercialization of small molecule drugs for the treatment of central nervous system disorders. The company is currently working on the treatment of induced dysfunction in Parkinson's disease ,schizophrenia, neuropathic pain and glaucoma.

Celldex Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, uses applications of immunology to prevent and treat diseases. The Company's products treat autoimmune diseases, cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and inflammation, as well as infectious diseases and organ transplant rejection.

PTC Therapeutics, Inc. provides biopharmaceutical products. The Company develops orally administered and small-molecule drugs for genetic disorders, oncology, and infectious disease. PTC Therapeutics operates in the United States.

Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that develops orally-administered, small molecule drugs to treat human genetic diseases.  The drugs, called pharmacological chaperones, are being developed to treat Fabray, Gaucher, and Pompe disease.

SK Bioscience Co.,Ltd. operates biopharmaceutical businesses. The Company produces vaccines, sky cellflu prefilled syringes, sky cellflu quadrivalent prefilled syringes, varicella drugs, and other related products. SK Bioscience markets its products throughout South Korea.

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SK Bioscience (302440 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim