Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$0.8bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-money-information-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8075:1" rel="noopener">East Money Information (300059 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$0.8bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).
The largest inflows were into Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). The largest outflows were in East Money Information (300059 CH) and Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a> has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. Books are open from 23 to 28 September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80286" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-updates-support-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80643" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-what-s-it-worth" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80842" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: What's It Worth?</a>.</li>
<li>CALB should be, at least, valued in line with the median peer multiples. CALB is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH) has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. Books are open from 23 to 28 September.
We previously discussed the IPO in CALB IPO: The Bull Case, CALB IPO: The Bear Case, CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case, CALB IPO: What's It Worth?.
CALB should be, at least, valued in line with the median peer multiples. CALB is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. 


<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.5% as of Sep 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, financials and offset by health Care, consumer discretionary, communication services. </li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Tianqi Lithium, CIMC Vehicles, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.5% as of Sep 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, financials and offset by health Care, consumer discretionary, communication services. 
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Tianqi Lithium, CIMC Vehicles, CNOOC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Australian Strategic Materials / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sierra-rutile-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36235:1" rel="noopener">Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX AU)</a> is a high probability delete from the index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a> is close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sayona-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Sayona Mining (SYA AU)</a> is the highest ranked non-constituent while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> only makes inclusion at the entire IPO raise.</li>
<li>Deletion from the index will require passive trackers to sell over 5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX AU) is a high probability delete from the index, while Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) is close to the deletion threshold.

Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is the highest ranked non-constituent while Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) only makes inclusion at the entire IPO raise.
Deletion from the index will require passive trackers to sell over 5 days of ADV on Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU). 


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

China

Tianqi Lithium Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells lithium products. The Company produces lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, lithium hydroxide, and other related products. Tianqi Lithium markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

CALB IPO: Valuation Insights

CALB has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. It is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

We analyzed A-H premium changes last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Sierra Rutile is a high probability delete from the REMX in September. There is a possibility that ASM is deleted too. There is flow on the other...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

CALB IPO: Valuation Insights

CALB has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. It is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

We analyzed A-H premium changes last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Sierra Rutile is a high probability delete from the REMX in September. There is a possibility that ASM is deleted too. There is flow on the other...

Brian Freitas

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes