IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a>'s H Share buyback offer at HK$17.50 per H Share is open. The H class meeting is on 30 June.  </li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>The de-rating of the peers, likely supportive substantial H Shareholders and no major retail opposition should help hit the 90% threshold. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/23.9%.   </li>
</ul>



Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)'s H Share buyback offer at HK$17.50 per H Share is open. The H class meeting is on 30 June.  
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
The de-rating of the peers, likely supportive substantial H Shareholders and no major retail opposition should help hit the 90% threshold. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/23.9%.   


Yitai Coal (3948 HK): Offer Open with H Share Class Meeting on 30 June

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, China Construction Bank, and Cnooc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, China Construction Bank, and Cnooc.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 2nd): Meituan, China Construction Bank, Cnooc

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a>'s H Share buyback offer is at HK$17.50, a 54.9% premium to the undisturbed price and a 9.0% premium to the last close. </li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>The three independent H shareholders holding a blocking stake will be supportive of the attractive offer (9-year H Share price high). The price is final. Timing is the key risk.</li>
</ul>



Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)'s H Share buyback offer is at HK$17.50, a 54.9% premium to the undisturbed price and a 9.0% premium to the last close. 
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
The three independent H shareholders holding a blocking stake will be supportive of the attractive offer (9-year H Share price high). The price is final. Timing is the key risk.


Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H Share Buyback Offer at HK$17.50 Per H Share

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Shougang Fushan Resources / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After declaring a whopping 18% dividend yield in FY22, we expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)'s </a>generous payments to continue as they could declare another 14% in FY23e.</li>
<li>The margin of safety is high as there is a cash buffer (55% of the market cap in cash) and 10-year average annual free cash flows of 1.5 bn HKD.</li>
<li>China's FAI stimulus and stabilizing the steel margins could be catalysts to drive the share price forward in the short term.</li>
</ul>


After declaring a whopping 18% dividend yield in FY22, we expect Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)'s generous payments to continue as they could declare another 14% in FY23e.
The margin of safety is high as there is a cash buffer (55% of the market cap in cash) and 10-year average annual free cash flows of 1.5 bn HKD.
China's FAI stimulus and stabilizing the steel margins could be catalysts to drive the share price forward in the short term.


Fushan Energy: Coking Coal Weak But 14% Yield and 55% of the Mkt Cap in Cash

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perennial-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32219:1" rel="noopener">Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd (2798 HK)</a> has had a stellar run over the last year, with the share price up over 680% since January 3rd, 2020.  We firmly believe that with forward earnings at around 30x PE FY21 and 19x PE FY22,  it's time to take money off the table from this name. We do understand that there is some anticipation of the stocks inclusion in the MSCI, which has been written about by fellow insight provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> in his insight yesterday <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/msci-may-21-index-rebalance-preview-review-period-is-a-wrap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50978" rel="noopener">MSCI May 21 Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Is a Wrap</a>. We would take this opportunity to sell into strength.</p>
<p>There is better value for money in owning <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a>, which I have written about in my insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shougang-fushan-deep-value-play-with-coking-coal-price-move-upside" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43878" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan: Deep Value Play with Coking Coal Price Move Upside</a>. Trading at 2.5x EV-EBITDA with a 10% dividend yield <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a> offers way more stability and margin of safety to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perennial-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32219:1" rel="noopener">Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd (2798 HK)</a>.</p>

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd (2798 HK) has had a stellar run over the last year, with the share price up over 680% since January 3rd, 2020.  We firmly believe that with forward earnings at around 30x PE FY21 and 19x PE FY22,  it's time to take money off the table from this name. We do understand that there is some anticipation of the stocks inclusion in the MSCI, which has been written about by fellow insight provider Brian Freitas in his insight yesterday MSCI May 21 Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Is a Wrap. We would take this opportunity to sell into strength.
There is better value for money in owning Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK), which I have written about in my insight Shougang Fushan: Deep Value Play with Coking Coal Price Move Upside. Trading at 2.5x EV-EBITDA with a 10% dividend yield Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) offers way more stability and margin of safety to Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd (2798 HK).

Perennial Energy (2798 HK): Take Money Off The Table Into Potential MSCI Up Weight

Hong Kong

Honbridge Holdings Limited is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in mineral resources exploration and trading plus lithium battery production.

Tongguan Gold Group Limited operates as a gold mining company. The Company provides gold exploration, mining, processing, sales, and other services. Tongguan Gold Group markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd., through its subsidiaries, currently possesses various wolfram mines and a molybdenum mine in the Republic of Mongolia along with a number of silver and copper mines in Xinjiang Province, the PRC.

China Daye Non Ferrous Metals Mining (661 HK)

Huili Resources (Group) Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company is a nickel-oriented diversified mining company principally engaged in mining and ore processing of nickel and copper in Hami, Xinjiang.

IRC Limited is a mineral exploration and production company. The Company is focused on exploring for, developing and operating industrial commodity projects in the Russian Far East and the north-eastern region of China.

Grand T G Gold Holdings Limited is a mining company. The Company focuses on gold exploration, mining and mineral processing in the Peoples Republic of China. Grand T G Gold Holdings current principal gold project-Taizhou Mining is located in Tongguan County, Shaanxi Province along the Xiao Qinlin Mineralized Belt.

Chiho Environmental Group Limited is a mixed scrap recycler.  The Company is an importer of Mixed Metal Scrap used for recycling, reuse, and processing.  Chiho-Tiande Group Ltd breaks down, demolishes, and separates Mixed Metal Scrap such as motor scrap, electric wire, and cable scrap.

Chiho Environmental Group Limited  (976 HK)

Shougang Concord Century Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures steel cords, and processes and trades copper and brass products. The Company also develops and invests in properties.

Shougang Concord Century Holdings Ltd (103 HK)

Golik Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, trades and manufactures metal and steel products as well as construction materials.

Greentech Technology International Limited manufactures tin products. The Company produces tin, tin concentrates, and other products. Greentech Technology International also produces insulation materials, heat resistance materials, and other products.

Angang Steel Company Limited produces steel products which include cold rolled sheets, steel rail, pipe billets, wire rods, thick plates, and other steel products.

Maanshan Iron and Steel Company Limited manufactures and markets iron and steel products which can be divided into four categories, wire rods, steel section, medium or thick steel plates, and train wheels and tires.  The production process mainly comprises coking, sintering, iron smelting, steel smelting, and steel rolling.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is a producer of fabricated aluminum products for aerospace/high strength, general engineering, automotive and custom industrial applications. The Company's product lines includes sheet, plate, billet, redraw rod, extrusions, forgings, and tube products for a wide array of applications.

Bellevue Gold Limited operates as a mining company. The Company engages in the exploration and development of gold mines. Bellevue Gold serves customers in Australia.

Tung Ho Steel Enterprise Corporation manufactures and markets steel rods, H-shaped steel frames, steel plates, and reinforcements.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd. manufactures and distributes steel and allied products. The Company markets sponge and pig iron, alloy carbon, mild steel billets, wire rods, and other steel products. Jai Balaji Industries serves customers throughout India.

Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. is mainly engaged in mining, concentration and smelting of gold, and the manufacture of chemical industry.

Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian-based mineral exploration company. The Company acquires commercially significant mineral deposits that can be brought into production.

Shandong Iron and Steel Company Ltd. manufactures and markets steel materials. The Company produces pig iron, steel billets, cast iron, and related products.

Godawari Power and Ispat Ltd. manufactures steel.  The Company produces steel billets.

Shougang Fushan Resources Group Ltd. produces and sells coking coal products and side products in China. The Company is principally engaged in mining of coking coal and production and sales of raw and clean coking coal,

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Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 2nd): Meituan, China Construction Bank, Cnooc

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, China Construction Bank, Cnooc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fushan Energy: Coking Coal Weak But 14% Yield and 55% of the Mkt Cap in Cash

Fushan Energy 639 HK is a coking coal producer in China, trading at 5.8x PE FY23 with a 14% dividend yield and 55% of the market capitalization in...

Sameer Taneja

Perennial Energy (2798 HK): Take Money Off The Table Into Potential MSCI Up Weight

Insight on Perennial Energy (2798 HK) a Chinese Coking Coal producer which is up 680% since Jan 2020. Future prospects for growth in this company,...

Sameer Taneja

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yitai Coal (3948 HK): Offer Open with H Share Class Meeting on 30 June

The de-rating of the peers, likely supportive substantial H Shareholders and no major retail opposition should help hit the 90% threshold. At the...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 2nd): Meituan, China Construction Bank, Cnooc

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, China Construction Bank, Cnooc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H Share Buyback Offer at HK$17.50 Per H Share

Shareholders will be supportive of the attractive offer. Timing is the key risk. At the last close, the gross spread is 9.0%.

Arun George

Fushan Energy: Coking Coal Weak But 14% Yield and 55% of the Mkt Cap in Cash

Fushan Energy 639 HK is a coking coal producer in China, trading at 5.8x PE FY23 with a 14% dividend yield and 55% of the market capitalization in...

Sameer Taneja

Perennial Energy (2798 HK): Take Money Off The Table Into Potential MSCI Up Weight

Insight on Perennial Energy (2798 HK) a Chinese Coking Coal producer which is up 680% since Jan 2020. Future prospects for growth in this company,...

Sameer Taneja