Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After tyre component manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xingda-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17836:1" rel="noopener">Xingda International (1899 HK)</a> was suspended recently pursuant to the Takeovers Code, an Offer seemed more likely, not another Partial Offer. </li>
<li>On cue, Liu Jinlan, chairman and executive director, plus concert parties (collectively holding 37.03%), have<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0924/2024092401001.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> tabled a voluntary conditional Offer</a> (50% acceptance hurdle). But the price? A surprising zero-premium HK$1.30/share</li>
<li>However, this Offer is a pre-emptive strike against former employee Yue Zhao, who holds 9.24%; and was recently appointed ED and vice-chairman of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-concord-century-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5500:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Concord (103 HK)</a>, Xingda's major competitor.</li>
</ul>


After tyre component manufacturer Xingda International (1899 HK) was suspended recently pursuant to the Takeovers Code, an Offer seemed more likely, not another Partial Offer. 
On cue, Liu Jinlan, chairman and executive director, plus concert parties (collectively holding 37.03%), have tabled a voluntary conditional Offer (50% acceptance hurdle). But the price? A surprising zero-premium HK$1.30/share
However, this Offer is a pre-emptive strike against former employee Yue Zhao, who holds 9.24%; and was recently appointed ED and vice-chairman of Shougang Concord (103 HK), Xingda's major competitor.


Xingda (1899 HK)'s HK$1.30/Share Offer - Say What?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xingda-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17836:1" rel="noopener">Xingda International (1899 HK)</a> has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from Mr Liu Jinlan (Chairman) at HK$1.30 per share, which aligns with the last close price. </li>
<li>The offer is conditional on the offeror and concert parties representing more than 50% of voting rights. The offeror and concert parties represent 37.03% of voting rights.  </li>
<li>The offer is a reaction to Mr Zhao Yue's “hostile” emergence as a substantial shareholder. It is unattractive and will require a bump to satisfy the minimum acceptance condition.   </li>
</ul>



Xingda International (1899 HK) has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from Mr Liu Jinlan (Chairman) at HK$1.30 per share, which aligns with the last close price. 
The offer is conditional on the offeror and concert parties representing more than 50% of voting rights. The offeror and concert parties represent 37.03% of voting rights.  
The offer is a reaction to Mr Zhao Yue's “hostile” emergence as a substantial shareholder. It is unattractive and will require a bump to satisfy the minimum acceptance condition.   


Xingda (1899 HK): No Premium Voluntary Conditional Offer to Ward off a Hostile Holder

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xingda-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17836:1" rel="noopener">Xingda International (1899 HK)</a> entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>Significant changes in substantial shareholders have occurred since the previous partial offer closed on 10 March 2023, which could be the catalyst for an offer. </li>
<li>Management is likely reloading a partial offer to exercise statutory control and bypass the 2% creeper rule. The partial offer price could be around HK$1.60-1.70 per share. </li>
</ul>



Xingda International (1899 HK) entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
Significant changes in substantial shareholders have occurred since the previous partial offer closed on 10 March 2023, which could be the catalyst for an offer. 
Management is likely reloading a partial offer to exercise statutory control and bypass the 2% creeper rule. The partial offer price could be around HK$1.60-1.70 per share. 


Xingda (1899 HK): Management to Reload with a Partial Offer?

<ul>
<li>For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>'s roadmap is a solid response to where retailing is headed, both in Japan and elsewhere; while ACT's bid is just about carrying on as now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a> is a non-binding proposal, no official terms, with a fragmented shareholder register. And this is before any opaque PRC regulatory conditions tacked on in a firm Offer.</li>
<li>Murakami-San is up to 23.5% of voting rights in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. He would probably need 30% to be able to threaten a board spill.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)'s roadmap is a solid response to where retailing is headed, both in Japan and elsewhere; while ACT's bid is just about carrying on as now.

ESR (1821 HK) is a non-binding proposal, no official terms, with a fragmented shareholder register. And this is before any opaque PRC regulatory conditions tacked on in a firm Offer.
Murakami-San is up to 23.5% of voting rights in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). He would probably need 30% to be able to threaten a board spill.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

Hong Kong

Shougang Concord Century Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures steel cords, and processes and trades copper and brass products. The Company also develops and invests in properties.

Shougang Concord Century Holdings Ltd (103 HK)

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Shougang Concord Century Holdings Ltd (103 HK)

Xingda (1899 HK): No Premium Voluntary Conditional Offer to Ward off a Hostile Holder

Unsurprisingly, the IFA has opined that the offer is not fair and reasonable, and the independent Board committee recommends not accepting it. The...

Arun George

Xingda (1899 HK): Management to Reload with a Partial Offer?

Management is likely reloading a partial offer to exercise statutory control and bypass the 2% creeper rule. The partial offer price could be...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

For the month of Oct, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Xingda (1899 HK)'s HK$1.30/Share Offer - Say What?

I'd be picking up shares here. You have a HK$1.30/share floor. I think Liu may bid higher. Then it's a question whether Zhao tips in his hand.

David Blennerhassett

Xingda (1899 HK): No Premium Voluntary Conditional Offer to Ward off a Hostile Holder

Unsurprisingly, the IFA has opined that the offer is not fair and reasonable, and the independent Board committee recommends not accepting it. The...

Arun George

Xingda (1899 HK): Management to Reload with a Partial Offer?

Management is likely reloading a partial offer to exercise statutory control and bypass the 2% creeper rule. The partial offer price could be...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

For the month of Oct, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett