Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Marginal float helped fuel the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a> bubble. Then it popped. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.</li>
<li>The backlash against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-cm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36658:1" rel="noopener">Star CM Holdings (6698 HK)</a> calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.</li>
</ul>


Marginal float helped fuel the VinFast (VFS US) bubble. Then it popped. 
The Prosus (PRX NA)/Naspers (NPN SJ) Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.
The backlash against Star CM Holdings (6698 HK) calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Seven weeks ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marubeni-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7463:1" rel="noopener">Marubeni Corp (8002 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/secom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11405:1" rel="noopener">Secom Co Ltd (9735 JP)</a> announced a joint deal to acquire the rest of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>As I wrote in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/marubeni-secom-to-launch-tender-offer-for-arteria-networks-4423" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:101969" rel="noopener">the previous piece</a>, the premium was good, but the price was not great. The Board rejected the price, then agreed when the bidders wouldn't go further.  </li>
<li>Now we have a deal and the Tender Offer starts 5 July. It was cheap to start. It's still too cheap. But this one is tough to block.</li>
</ul>


Seven weeks ago, Marubeni Corp (8002 JP) and Secom Co Ltd (9735 JP) announced a joint deal to acquire the rest of ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP). 
As I wrote in the previous piece, the premium was good, but the price was not great. The Board rejected the price, then agreed when the bidders wouldn't go further.  
Now we have a deal and the Tender Offer starts 5 July. It was cheap to start. It's still too cheap. But this one is tough to block.


Arteria Networks (4423) Tender Launches 5 July.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcland-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2392:1" rel="noopener">Arcland Service (3085 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>.       </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH),  Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Arcland Service (3085 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Amara Holdings (AMA SP), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK).       


Weekly Deals Digest (25 Jun) - Alibaba, JSR, Shinsei, Arcland, InvoCare, J&T Global, Amman Mineral

<ul>
<li>There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>No new deals were announced this week although the major shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a> are in discussions with a third party</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a> </li>
</ul>


There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
No new deals were announced this week although the major shareholders of Amara Holdings (AMA SP) are in discussions with a third party
Key updates took place for SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), and Eoflow (294090 KS) 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Amara, SBI Shinsei Bank, Yashili, EOFlow

<ul>
<li>The Tender Offer by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> to take private <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> is almost done. The tender closes on 23 June. </li>
<li>The stock has not traded below theTOB Price since the announcement. People have built positions. Expect minimal liquidity from here on out. I expect a somewhat 'weak' result.</li>
<li>Now starts a series of 'technical' events and deadlines which will culminate for some in delisting at end-Q3/start-Q4 and for some ends in years after an Appraisal Rights case.</li>
</ul>


The Tender Offer by SBI Holdings (8473 JP) to take private SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) is almost done. The tender closes on 23 June. 
The stock has not traded below theTOB Price since the announcement. People have built positions. Expect minimal liquidity from here on out. I expect a somewhat 'weak' result.
Now starts a series of 'technical' events and deadlines which will culminate for some in delisting at end-Q3/start-Q4 and for some ends in years after an Appraisal Rights case.


Shinsei's TOB Period Almost Done - What Next?

Japan

SBI Shinsei Bank, Ltd. provides banking services including deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transaction, as well as investment trust service and issuance of long-term bonds.

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SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Arteria Networks (4423) Tender Launches 5 July.

Marubeni and Secom agreed to buy Arteria Networks. Arteria agreed to sell itself at a price it repeatedly called inadequate. Investors should have...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Deals Digest (25 Jun) - Alibaba, JSR, Shinsei, Arcland, InvoCare, J&T Global, Amman Mineral

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (InvoCare, Arcland, JSR, SBI Shinsei, Amara, Yashili) and ECM (Alibaba, J&T Global...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Amara, SBI Shinsei Bank, Yashili, EOFlow

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Shinsei's TOB Period Almost Done - What Next?

SBI's opportunistic and coercive Tender Offer to buy out minorities in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303) will end imminently. I expect an Appraisal Rights...

Travis Lundy

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