Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

BayCurrent Consulting  / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">Baycurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a> reported its 1HFY02/2022 results on Monday (25th October) which saw revenues increasing 34.6% YoY to JPY26.6bn while operating profit for the quarter grew 76.0% YoY to JPY9.5bn. The company’s full-year guidance for FY02/2022E called for JPY51bn and JPY16bn in revenue and OP respectively, and BayCurent has already met 52.1% and 59.4% of its revenue and OP target respectively.On a quarterly basis, BayCurrent’s 2QFY02/2022 revenues grew 37.5% YoY while operating profit for the quarter more than doubled to JPY4.8bn vs JPY2.2bn in the same quarter a year ago.Read our previous insight on the company:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baycurrent-consulting-strong-fundamentals-up-almost-200-and-further-upside-likely" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:58912" rel="noopener">Baycurrent Consulting: Strong Fundamentals; Up Almost 200% and Further Upside Likely</a>

Baycurrent Consulting (6532 JP) reported its 1HFY02/2022 results on Monday (25th October) which saw revenues increasing 34.6% YoY to JPY26.6bn while operating profit for the quarter grew 76.0% YoY to JPY9.5bn. The company’s full-year guidance for FY02/2022E called for JPY51bn and JPY16bn in revenue and OP respectively, and BayCurent has already met 52.1% and 59.4% of its revenue and OP target respectively.On a quarterly basis, BayCurrent’s 2QFY02/2022 revenues grew 37.5% YoY while operating profit for the quarter more than doubled to JPY4.8bn vs JPY2.2bn in the same quarter a year ago.Read our previous insight on the company:Baycurrent Consulting: Strong Fundamentals; Up Almost 200% and Further Upside Likely 

BayCurrent Consulting: Strong Earnings Momentum Continues

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7266:1" rel="noopener">Shift Inc (3697 JP)</a> reported its 4QFY08/2021 and full-year FY08/2021 results on Tuesday (12th October) which saw revenues growing 60.2% YoY to JPY46.0bn from JPY28.7bn in FY08/2020. The operating profit for the year grew 69.8% YoY to JPY4.0bn vs JPY2.4bn in the previous year. Both reported revenue and OP beat Shift’s guidance by 2.2% and 17.5% respectively while revenue and OP beat consensus estimates by 0.4% and 4.5% respectively.The company’s share price rose 10.0% at the end of Wednesday’s close following the company’s strong FY08/2021 earnings.We discuss the details below.

Shift Inc (3697 JP) reported its 4QFY08/2021 and full-year FY08/2021 results on Tuesday (12th October) which saw revenues growing 60.2% YoY to JPY46.0bn from JPY28.7bn in FY08/2020. The operating profit for the year grew 69.8% YoY to JPY4.0bn vs JPY2.4bn in the previous year. Both reported revenue and OP beat Shift’s guidance by 2.2% and 17.5% respectively while revenue and OP beat consensus estimates by 0.4% and 4.5% respectively.The company’s share price rose 10.0% at the end of Wednesday’s close following the company’s strong FY08/2021 earnings.We discuss the details below.

Shift 4Q: Growth Story Is Getting Stronger

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">Baycurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a>  offers a range of consultancy services in Japan including development and formulation of business strategy, digital transformation, M&amp;A and JV, improvement in operational capabilities and IT Services. The Covid-19 outbreak has accelerated the digital transformation in Japan which has led to increased requirements for consulting services in the country.BayCurrent’s share price has rallied almost 200% over the last 12-months to JPY46,250 per share from JPY15,740 per share a year ago. In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, key drivers, outlook, financials and valuation.

Baycurrent Consulting (6532 JP)  offers a range of consultancy services in Japan including development and formulation of business strategy, digital transformation, M&amp;A and JV, improvement in operational capabilities and IT Services. The Covid-19 outbreak has accelerated the digital transformation in Japan which has led to increased requirements for consulting services in the country.BayCurrent’s share price has rallied almost 200% over the last 12-months to JPY46,250 per share from JPY15,740 per share a year ago. In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, key drivers, outlook, financials and valuation.

Baycurrent Consulting: Strong Fundamentals; Up Almost 200% and Further Upside Likely

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7266:1" rel="noopener">Shift Inc (3697 JP)</a> offers outsourced software quality assurance and testing solutions to customers in the enterprise and entertainment markets in Japan. Shift is the market leader in the outsourced software testing service market in Japan with an estimated market share of 70%. The software testing market in Japan is estimated at JPY5.5 trn, however, only 1.0% of the market is currently outsourced while majority of software testing is carried out by in-house engineers at software development companies.The company’s shares have rallied more than 80.0% since March this year significantly outperforming the market. In this insight, we examine Shift’s business model, segments, financials, management, outlook and valuation.

Shift Inc (3697 JP) offers outsourced software quality assurance and testing solutions to customers in the enterprise and entertainment markets in Japan. Shift is the market leader in the outsourced software testing service market in Japan with an estimated market share of 70%. The software testing market in Japan is estimated at JPY5.5 trn, however, only 1.0% of the market is currently outsourced while majority of software testing is carried out by in-house engineers at software development companies.The company’s shares have rallied more than 80.0% since March this year significantly outperforming the market. In this insight, we examine Shift’s business model, segments, financials, management, outlook and valuation.

Shift Inc: Key Beneficiary of Shift in Software Testing Towards Outsourcing in Japan

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Will Semiconductor   Shan / Technical Analysis

New developments suggest caution is warranted, and leads us to believe the mixed market environment is poised to continue. The new and concerning developments include widening high yield spreads in the U.S. and Europe and improving relative strength for defensive Sectors -- both are clear signs of risk aversion. At the same time, global indexes remain above critical support levels; until this changes our neutral outlook remains appropriate.

New developments suggest caution is warranted, and leads us to believe the mixed market environment is poised to continue. The new and concerning developments include widening high yield spreads in the U.S. and Europe and improving relative strength for defensive Sectors -- both are clear signs of risk aversion. At the same time, global indexes remain above critical support levels; until this changes our neutral outlook remains appropriate.

Global Equity Strategy: Reason For Caution; Actionable Themes: Services/Technology & Staples

Japan

SHIFT Inc. offers information technology outsourcing services. The Company provides outsourcing software testing services to corporations and individual clients. SHIFT also provides software solutions and consulting services, as well as educational classes and programs.

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Shift Inc (3697 JP)

BayCurrent Consulting: Strong Earnings Momentum Continues

BayCurrent's revenue and OP saw stellar growth in 1HFY02/2022 driven by by growth in the number of consultants, projects with high-value added...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Shift 4Q: Growth Story Is Getting Stronger

Shift reported FY08/2021 results which saw revenues growing 60.2% YoY to JPY46.0bn from JPY28.7bn a year ago. Both revenue and OP beat its own...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Baycurrent Consulting: Strong Fundamentals; Up Almost 200% and Further Upside Likely

BayCurrent offers consultancy services in Japan and stock price has been up almost 200% over the last 12-months. Covid-19 has accelerated DX in...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Shift Inc: Key Beneficiary of Shift in Software Testing Towards Outsourcing in Japan

There is no evidence that Shift’s revenue growth is decelerating and as per consensus estimates, Shift’s revenues will hit JPY100bn by the end of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Global Equity Strategy: Reason For Caution; Actionable Themes: Services/Technology & Staples

With interest rates expected to move sideways to lower, we recommend a mix of growth and defensive Sectors. Today we focus on Services/Technology...

Vermilion Research

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