IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kirin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16977:1" rel="noopener">Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)</a>’s JPY8,620 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a> closes on 29 July. The shares have traded above terms for 25 out of the 26 trading days.</li>
<li>MY.Alpha Management has amassed 10.3 million shares (8.51% ownership ratio) with several purchases above terms. MY.Alpha could catalyse other shareholders to rally against a light offer. </li>
<li>The emergence of MY.Alpha, the high volume above terms, peers re-rating, the required minority acceptance rate, and an offer unattractive to historical trading ranges increase the probability of a bump. </li>
</ul>



Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)’s JPY8,620 offer for Fancl Corp (4921 JP) closes on 29 July. The shares have traded above terms for 25 out of the 26 trading days.
MY.Alpha Management has amassed 10.3 million shares (8.51% ownership ratio) with several purchases above terms. MY.Alpha could catalyse other shareholders to rally against a light offer. 
The emergence of MY.Alpha, the high volume above terms, peers re-rating, the required minority acceptance rate, and an offer unattractive to historical trading ranges increase the probability of a bump. 


Fancl (4921 JP): Evaluating the Potential of Kirin (2503 JP) Offer Bump

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Shidax had a Good Governance Moment last year. The stock is up 40-odd% since last year's GGM, but now the Board, so good last year, has tripped up. </li>
<li>The family and main shareholder - part of last year's GGM - have decided to bully the Board into accepting an MBO at the wrong price. </li>
<li>Management lowers forecasts without telling anyone. Bidders say "Synergies LaLaLa!" Board says "Ohh la la!" Nobody counts the synergies. Bidder buys at low multiple of newly lowered forecasts. Minorities Lose. </li>
</ul>


Shidax had a Good Governance Moment last year. The stock is up 40-odd% since last year's GGM, but now the Board, so good last year, has tripped up. 
The family and main shareholder - part of last year's GGM - have decided to bully the Board into accepting an MBO at the wrong price. 
Management lowers forecasts without telling anyone. Bidders say "Synergies LaLaLa!" Board says "Ohh la la!" Nobody counts the synergies. Bidder buys at low multiple of newly lowered forecasts. Minorities Lose. 


Shidax (4837) - Mgmt Lowers F'casts So Family Can MBO Minorities Cheap. Offensive Governance.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY800 per share, a 10.3% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).</li>
<li>After the settlement of the tender offer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> will acquire a 66.0% stake in the offeror by way of third-party allotment at the tender offer price.</li>
<li>Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority acceptance rate.</li>
</ul>



Shidax Corp (4837 JP) has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY800 per share, a 10.3% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).
After the settlement of the tender offer, Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) will acquire a 66.0% stake in the offeror by way of third-party allotment at the tender offer price.
Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority acceptance rate.


Shidax Corporation (4837 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY800

<ul>
<li>13mos ago I wrote about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shidax-outlook-may-change-better-governance-matters" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81697" rel="noopener">Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters</a>. </li>
<li>The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.</li>
<li>The article suggests a take-private MBO with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.</li>
</ul>


13mos ago I wrote about Shidax Corp (4837 JP) which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters. 
The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.
The article suggests a take-private MBO with Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.


Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a> notes that Bain expects to satisfy the pre-condition and launch the JPY1,400 tender offer by mid-January. </li>
<li>The shares have, on average, traded 1.9% above the offer due to Dalton’s stakebuilding. Bain has three options – unchanged terms, allowing Dalton to roll over its shares, or bumping. </li>
<li>Bain is likely to bump as satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is challenging. A revised offer price of around JPY1,500 is possible.  </li>
</ul>



T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP) notes that Bain expects to satisfy the pre-condition and launch the JPY1,400 tender offer by mid-January. 
The shares have, on average, traded 1.9% above the offer due to Dalton’s stakebuilding. Bain has three options – unchanged terms, allowing Dalton to roll over its shares, or bumping. 
Bain is likely to bump as satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is challenging. A revised offer price of around JPY1,500 is possible.  


T&K Toka (4636 JP): Decisions, Decisions as Tender Start Targeted for Mid-January

Japan

SFP Dining Co Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a range of branded chain restaurants

St Marc Holdings Co Ltd manages Saint Marc Co., Ltd., a subsidiary which operates a chain of bakery restaurants, cafes, and sushi restaurants in the Okayama area.

SRS Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on restaurant businesses. SRS Holdings provides meals, noodles, rice, and beverages. SRS Holdings serves customers in Japan.

AEON Fantasy Co., LTD. mainly operates amusement parks in shopping centers and sells snacks, drinks, and toys within the parks.  AEON Fantasy also franchises and sells amusement park equipment to the franchisees.

BRONCO BILLY Co., LTD. operates restaurant chains primarily in central Japan. The Company's BRONCO BILLY restaurants offer steaks and hamburgers.

SAGAMI CHAIN CO., LTD. operates directly-run Japanese noodle restaurants, Sagami, in the Tokai area.  The Company also operates franchise restaurant chain, Don Don An.  Sagami Chain also operates barbecue & Chinese noodle restaurants, Juhachiya. The Company also operates a distribution center.

HOTLAND CO., Ltd. operates takoyaki (cooked octopus snack) chain in Japan and overseas. The company also operates taiyaki (red beans cake), ice cream and other Japanese restaurant chain.

Adventure, Inc. is an online travel services company that provides online access to schedule, pricing and availability for airlines, hotels and local amusement activities.

Dynam Japan Holdings Co Ltd. operates Pachinko halls in Japan. The Company's pachinko halls provide a venue for customers to play pachinko and pachislot.

Torikizoku Co. Ltd. operates Japanese style bars serving char-broiled chicken as main foods.  The Company operates franchise stores as well as direct management stores in Japan.

Straco Corporation Limited develops and operates aquatic related facilities and tourism related activities.  The Group also operates cable car facilities and provides management and consulting services.

Amara Holdings Limited operates hotels and restaurants, provides food and beverage catering services as well as develops and invests in properties.  The Company owns and operates Amara Hotel and invests in shares.

Dalian Sunasia Tourism Holding Co., Ltd. owns and operates the Dalian Shengya Ocean World, a submarine tunnel style aquarium, located in Dalian, Liaoning. The Company also provides related food services and operates souvenir stores.

Dalian Sunasia Tourism Holding (600593 CH)

Holiday Entertainment Co., Ltd. operates private karaoke rooms throughout Taiwan.  The Company rents rooms equipped with karaoke machines and audio systems for fees.  Holiday also serves food and drinks.

Power Wind Health Industry Inc provides amusement and other recreation activities. The Company is incorporated in Taiwan.

Oriental Hotels Limited owns and operates hotels and resorts.

PT Jakarta Setiabudi International Tbk develops, leases, and manages hotels, apartments, office buildings, and houses. The Company owns and manages Kuningan Apartment, Setiabudi Apartment, Mega Kuningan Estate, Setiabudi Plaza, Raddin Ancol Hotel, Raddin Sanur Bali Hotel, Menteng Plaza, Bali Hyatt, Grand Hyatt Bali, Taman Puri Permata Hijau Estate, and others.

Zhangjiajie Tourism Group Co Ltd. develops travel resources, constructs travel facilities, and provides travel services.

WUHAN SANTE CABLEWAYS GROUP CO., LTD. develops and operates passenger cable cars. The company's primary business involves tourism passenger cablecars  development and operations as well as scenic real estate development.

Wuhan Sante Cableway Group Co, Ltd. (002159 CH)

Xi'an Qujiang Cultural Tourism Co Ltd designs and manufactures computer hardware, peripherals, telecommunication electronic products, as well as develops computer software.  The Company also provides import and export service, develops real estate properties, produces medical devices, and offers food, labor and medical services.

SHiDAX CORPORATION, through its subsidiaries, provides food catering services and operates restaurants.  The Company's subsidiaries provide their services to companies, hospitals, and schools.

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Shidax Corp (4837 JP)

Fancl (4921 JP): Evaluating the Potential of Kirin (2503 JP) Offer Bump

The shares have consistently traded above terms and the emergence of MY.Alpha’s stake adds to the mounting reasons for a bump. A revised offer...

Arun George

Shidax (4837) - Mgmt Lowers F'casts So Family Can MBO Minorities Cheap. Offensive Governance.

Yet another governance disaster where synergies are the reason to do a deal to raise corporate value, but they are not counted in the Takeover...

Travis Lundy

Shidax Corporation (4837 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY800

Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority...

Arun George

Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

The Nikkei wrote mid-day that the Shida family had proposed an MBO on Shidax with Oisix support. Shidax confirmed ¥800/share, deliberations today....

Travis Lundy

T&K Toka (4636 JP): Decisions, Decisions as Tender Start Targeted for Mid-January

The pre-condition has been satisfied. However, Bain has delayed the tender launch to the end of January as it has not yet completed the procedures...

Arun George

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