IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since announcing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a>’s pre-conditional voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> at HK$2.65 per share, the gross spread has increased. </li>
<li>The Board’s strategy is to rally shareholders against a hostile offer. However, the recent AGM protest votes suggest that the Board cannot easily thwart the offer. </li>
<li>Shandong Xinjufeng's renewed efforts to secure Board representation suggest that its offer is in trouble. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> seems disinclined to engage in a bidding war. </li>
</ul>


Since announcing Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)’s pre-conditional voluntary offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) at HK$2.65 per share, the gross spread has increased. 
The Board’s strategy is to rally shareholders against a hostile offer. However, the recent AGM protest votes suggest that the Board cannot easily thwart the offer. 
Shandong Xinjufeng's renewed efforts to secure Board representation suggest that its offer is in trouble. Meanwhile, China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) seems disinclined to engage in a bidding war. 


GAPack (468 HK): Grinding Towards a Stalemate

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>.
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>, Hollysys.
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Asia Cement China (743 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK).

Lowest spreads: Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Infocom Corp (4348 JP), Hollysys.



Merger Arb Mondays (22 Jul) - China TCM, GA Pack, Huafa, Samson, CPMC, Fancl, Tatsuta, Capitol

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 27 January 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a> entered an agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng (301296 CH)</a> (XJF) to sell its 28.22% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">GAPack (468 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>That sale completed in September.  Last week, XJF requisitioned an EGM to consider appointing five new (&amp; friendly) directors, all-but taking control of the board. </li>
<li>CEO and founder Jeff Bi holds 9.65%. The question is: what are his options?</li>
</ul>


Back on the 27 January 2023, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) entered an agreement with Shandong Xinjufeng (301296 CH) (XJF) to sell its 28.22% stake in GAPack (468 HK). 
That sale completed in September.  Last week, XJF requisitioned an EGM to consider appointing five new (&amp; friendly) directors, all-but taking control of the board. 
CEO and founder Jeff Bi holds 9.65%. The question is: what are his options?


GAPack (468 HK): Unpacking XJF's Move To Send The Board Packing

<ul>
<li>They are rumours doing the rounds that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> could see potential inflow from a free float upweight in the MSCI May review.</li>
<li>The inflow is reportedly predicated on a reassessment of the 59% stake held in Matheson by the privatised <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>, that was subsequently cancelled in May 2022.</li>
<li>Elsewhere, Matheson's NAV discount is toward the wide end of its one-year range. </li>
</ul>


They are rumours doing the rounds that Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) could see potential inflow from a free float upweight in the MSCI May review.
The inflow is reportedly predicated on a reassessment of the 59% stake held in Matheson by the privatised Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP), that was subsequently cancelled in May 2022.
Elsewhere, Matheson's NAV discount is toward the wide end of its one-year range. 


<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>. 
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagatanien-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8059:1" rel="noopener">Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), A8 New Media (800 HK), Asia Cement China (743 HK). 

Lowest spreads: Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Infocom Corp (4348 JP). 



Merger Arb Mondays (15 Jul) - China TCM, Canvest, Henlius, Hollysys, Second Chance, Anasarda, Rex

China

Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co., Ltd. researches and designs packaging solutions and provides packaging services.  The company manufacturers wooden, paper, foam, and plastic packaging for multiple businesses.  The company serves customers around the world.

Suzhou Yangtze New Materials Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells organic coated sheets and its substrates. The Company's main products include organic coated sheet products and its substrates products.

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co, Ltd. produces and sales white top linerboard, light-coated linerboard, and core board.  The Company offers products that are used to package various consumer products, including food, beverages, and electronics.

Suzhou Hycan Holdings Co., Ltd. is a professional manufacturer of metal packaging containers. The Company manufactures a variety of containers including cans, tanks, boxes, and more. The company is also engaged in foreign investment, printing, self and agent all kinds of goods and technology import and  export business.

Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co. Ltd. is a beverage packaging manufacturer. The Company mainly develops, manufactures and markets beverage packaging products, including beverage bottles, labels and other related products.

Shandong Huapeng Glass Co., Ltd. manufactures pressed and blown glass. The Company produces medium and top grade glassware and glass bottles.

Shanghai Luxin Packing Materials Science & Technology Company Limited develops, produces, processes and sells vacuum metallized paper, white cardboard, laminated paper and polypropylene filament for cigarette filters.  The Company's main products are vacuum metallized paper and other environmentally friendly packaging materials.

Shanghai Luxin Packing Materials Science (002565 CH)

Huaxi Holdings Company Limited manufactures and sells cigarette-related packaging materials. The Company produces the packaging materials used by cigarette companies including tipping paper, inner frame paper, cigarette box frame paper, trademark labels, and cigarette paper box. Huaxi offers its products in China.

Sheen Tai Holdings Group Co Ltd manufactures cigarette packaging material. The Company supplies its products in the Jiangsu Region of the Peoples Republic of China.

Sheen Tai Holdings Group Company (1335 HK)

Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing Co., Ltd manufactures paper packaging products. The Company produces corrugated boxes, corrugated boards, corrugated cartons, and other products. Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing also provides printing services.

Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printi (002228 CH)

Pact Group Holdings Ltd manufactures packaging and other related products. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures packaging and other products that service customers in the food, dairy, beverage, chemical, agricultural, industrial and other sectors throughout Australia, New Zealand and Asia.

Alucon Public Company Limited manufactures a variety of aluminum products, including collapsible tubes for toothpaste, monobloc aerosol cans for cosmetic products, rigid wall containers for pesticides, technical impact extrusions for use as casings for electronic parts or condenser shells, and aluminum slugs for downstream production of aluminum tubes and cans.

Great China Metal Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures beverage containers. The Company produces aluminum cans, tin cans, lids, and ends.

United Paper PCL manufactures and distributes paper products. The Company's product lines include liner boards and corrugated medium which are generally used for the production of corrugated paper containers.

Tourism International Holdings Limited manufactures paper packaging materials. The Company produces paper cigarette packages, cigarette boxes, social products paper packages, paper bags, and other products. Tourism International Holdings markets its products throughout China.

Everest Kanto Cylinder Limited manufactures high pressure gas cylinders and cascades for storage of Compressed Natural Gas (CNG).

PT. Panca Budi Idaman produces and distributes plastic packaging products. The Company supplies plastic bags, rolls, sacks, and sheets for agriculture, medical, and food and beverages industries. Panca Budi Idaman serves clients in Indonesia.

Samyang Packaging Corporation manufactures plastic containers. The Company produces and sells polyethylene terephthalate bottles and other products. Samyang Packaging also provides processing and recycling services. Samyang Packaging serves clients the Republic of Korea.

Thong Guan Industries Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, trades plastic and paper products.  Thong Guan also trades beverages including tea and coffee and machinery.

Cosmo Films Limited manufactures Biaxially Oriented Polypropylene (BOPP) film for the packaging sector.  The Company also manufactures semi-finished and waste synthetic paper.

Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging Co., Ltd. manufactures packaging products. The Company produces aseptic food packaging materials, aseptic drink packaging materials, and other products. Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging also provides filling equipment installation, technical consulting, and other services.

Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)

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Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)

GAPack (468 HK): Grinding Towards a Stalemate

There is a stalemate as the Board and Shandong Xinjufeng appear to have similar levels of support. The risk (12.1% downside to undisturbed)/reward...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (22 Jul) - China TCM, GA Pack, Huafa, Samson, CPMC, Fancl, Tatsuta, Capitol

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (122.5%), China TCM (31.8%), Asia Cement (12.6%), Canvest (11.1%), GA Pack (10.9%), Malaysia...

Arun George

GAPack (468 HK): Unpacking XJF's Move To Send The Board Packing

Nothing like bringing one of your customers - China Mengniu - on board (so to speak), both as a substantial shareholder (5.01%) and board member...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson: MSCI Upweight Musings

Some readers place a 50% probability of an MSCI upweight. Of more interest is Matheson's ongoing buyback program. They have recently, and...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (15 Jul) - China TCM, Canvest, Henlius, Hollysys, Second Chance, Anasarda, Rex

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (134.8%), China TCM (32.2%), Canvest (13.4%), A8 New Media (12.5%), Asia Cement (11.8%), GA...

Arun George

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