Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oisix Ra Daichi sees sales continue to rise, up 18% in the first half of the year and ARPU still remains 18% higher than 2019.</li>
<li>Additional promotional costs and the cost of expanding production and distribution capacity meant profits fell short of 2020. </li>
<li>But the online food firm is a leader in the online category with the biggest growth potential and we see no downside, especially given the recent decline in share price.</li>
</ul>


Oisix Ra Daichi sees sales continue to rise, up 18% in the first half of the year and ARPU still remains 18% higher than 2019.
Additional promotional costs and the cost of expanding production and distribution capacity meant profits fell short of 2020. 
But the online food firm is a leader in the online category with the biggest growth potential and we see no downside, especially given the recent decline in share price.


Oisix Fundamentals Strong Base for Future Premium Online Food Leadership

<ul>
<li>Familymart is fast becoming the leading retailer for unmanned stores.</li>
<li>It has a target of 1,000 unmanned stores by 2024 and is rolling out new shops regularly, although most remain experimental as it searches for the best model.</li>
<li>Other convenience stores are catching up too although have much less ambitious targets.</li>
</ul>


Familymart is fast becoming the leading retailer for unmanned stores.
It has a target of 1,000 unmanned stores by 2024 and is rolling out new shops regularly, although most remain experimental as it searches for the best model.
Other convenience stores are catching up too although have much less ambitious targets.


Familymart Taking the Lead in Developing Unmanned Conbini

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Yodobashi Camera will build up to 20 new fulfilment centres within the next five years. The aim is to offer same or next day delivery nationwide. </li>
<li>In the past year, the unlisted company has massively grown its online capacity – it already has more coverage than Rakuten and 2x the online sales of Seven &amp; I.</li>
<li>It is set to build on its existing position as the largest e-commerce operation outside the big, pure play malls.</li>
</ul>


Yodobashi Camera will build up to 20 new fulfilment centres within the next five years. The aim is to offer same or next day delivery nationwide. 
In the past year, the unlisted company has massively grown its online capacity – it already has more coverage than Rakuten and 2x the online sales of Seven &amp; I.
It is set to build on its existing position as the largest e-commerce operation outside the big, pure play malls.


Yodobashi Camera: 50% Online in 5 Years with Nationwide Delivery

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the beginning of the month, we suggested that setting up trades based on TOPIX outperforming Nikkei looked interesting. </li>
<li>This skew trade has a slight inherent short bias as Nikkei is more growth skewed but it has nevertheless generated a positive return. </li>
<li>That is despite Nikkei rising 3.8% since we published our initial note.</li>
</ul>


At the beginning of the month, we suggested that setting up trades based on TOPIX outperforming Nikkei looked interesting. 
This skew trade has a slight inherent short bias as Nikkei is more growth skewed but it has nevertheless generated a positive return. 
That is despite Nikkei rising 3.8% since we published our initial note.


Checking in on the Topix-Nikkei Skew Trade

<ul>
<li>Early last year as COVID was breaking and the BOJ doubled its ETF purchases shifting to TOPIX ETFs from Nikkei ETFs we brought up this trade. </li>
<li>With a long weekend adding to the mix conditions were abnormal but our suggested trades generated 10-12% pure alpha within four trading days. </li>
<li>This trade is starting to look interesting to us again though returns are likely to be less explosive but more persistent this time.</li>
</ul>


Early last year as COVID was breaking and the BOJ doubled its ETF purchases shifting to TOPIX ETFs from Nikkei ETFs we brought up this trade. 
With a long weekend adding to the mix conditions were abnormal but our suggested trades generated 10-12% pure alpha within four trading days. 
This trade is starting to look interesting to us again though returns are likely to be less explosive but more persistent this time.


Japan

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

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Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP)

Oisix Fundamentals Strong Base for Future Premium Online Food Leadership

Japan's online food market has less than 3% share but will grow fast in the next 3 years as both consumers and retailers adapt. Oisix is brilliant...

Michael Causton

Familymart Taking the Lead in Developing Unmanned Conbini

A labour shortage has pushed Japanese convenience store retailers to invest in technologies to reduce staff requirements and are now beginning to...

Michael Causton

Yodobashi Camera: 50% Online in 5 Years with Nationwide Delivery

Consumers are shifting purchases of electronics online and, while the big consumer electronics chains had a good pandemic, this won't last....

Michael Causton

Checking in on the Topix-Nikkei Skew Trade

Our TOPIX-Nikkei skew trade has a slight inherent short bias as Nikkei is more growth skewed but it has nevertheless generated a positive return...

Mio Kato

Revisiting the Topix-Nikkei Skew Trade

Early last year we suggested trading this skew which would have generated 10-12% pure alpha within four trading days. This trade is starting to...

Mio Kato

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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