ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> is rapidly broadening its exposure to a greater range of services, with the latest move increasing its exposure to gaming, a potential future cash cow. </li>
<li>We have already seen <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> making bold moves into digital banking through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allo-bank-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33551:1" rel="noopener">Allo Bank Indonesia</a> and a direct commitment to online groceries through AlloFresh with Trans Retail Indonesia.</li>
<li>We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to accumulate the stock.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) is rapidly broadening its exposure to a greater range of services, with the latest move increasing its exposure to gaming, a potential future cash cow. 
We have already seen Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) making bold moves into digital banking through Allo Bank Indonesia and a direct commitment to online groceries through AlloFresh with Trans Retail Indonesia.
We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to accumulate the stock.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Building a Warchest of Ecosystems

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It has extended its book build for a $1.3 billion IPO to 24 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-gojek-tokopedia-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67162" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we noted that our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. </li>
<li>In this note, we compare GoTo vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>'s relevant businesses across GTV, take rates and segmental margins.   </li>
</ul>



GoTo (1379371D IJ) is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It has extended its book build for a $1.3 billion IPO to 24 March.
In GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights, we noted that our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. 
In this note, we compare GoTo vs Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), Grab (GRAB US) and Sea Ltd (SE US)'s relevant businesses across GTV, take rates and segmental margins.   


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Superapp <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Indonesian Stock Exchange to raise US$1.1-1.25bn at a valuation of about US$24-26bn.</li>
<li>The company plans to use the proceeds to develop its business including for customer acquisition, product development and sales and marketing.</li>
<li>Our SOTP valuation implies that GoTo’s shares are overvalued at the indicative IPO price range.</li>
</ul>


Superapp GoTo (1379371D IJ) has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Indonesian Stock Exchange to raise US$1.1-1.25bn at a valuation of about US$24-26bn.
The company plans to use the proceeds to develop its business including for customer acquisition, product development and sales and marketing.
Our SOTP valuation implies that GoTo’s shares are overvalued at the indicative IPO price range.


<ul>
<li>Superapp GoTo has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Indonesian Stock Exchange to raise US$1.2bn at a market capitalisation of US$25.0bn.</li>
<li>The company plans to use most of the proceeds on developing its businesses including Gojek, Tokopedia and fintech services.</li>
<li>Our analysis on the company’s financials suggests the company has been burning cash to grow its business and may not be able to generate any profits in the near future.</li>
</ul>


Superapp GoTo has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Indonesian Stock Exchange to raise US$1.2bn at a market capitalisation of US$25.0bn.
The company plans to use most of the proceeds on developing its businesses including Gojek, Tokopedia and fintech services.
Our analysis on the company’s financials suggests the company has been burning cash to grow its business and may not be able to generate any profits in the near future.


Oshadhi Kumarasiri

<ul>
<li>Perhaps, misled by the Chinese tech rally due to the change in stance from the Chinese Government, Sea's shares rose by 33% compared to the broader market's 8.3%.</li>
<li>With fundamentals deteriorating and the Federal Reserve signalling an aggressive rate hike outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>’s 33% move seems unwarranted.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the downside potential is quite significant as Sea trades at a significant FY+2 EV/Sales premium to regional peers whose cyclical bottoms are unknown.</li>
</ul>


Perhaps, misled by the Chinese tech rally due to the change in stance from the Chinese Government, Sea's shares rose by 33% compared to the broader market's 8.3%.
With fundamentals deteriorating and the Federal Reserve signalling an aggressive rate hike outlook, Sea Ltd (SE US)’s 33% move seems unwarranted.
Meanwhile, the downside potential is quite significant as Sea trades at a significant FY+2 EV/Sales premium to regional peers whose cyclical bottoms are unknown.


Sea Ltd.'s Money Machine Is Broken, Downside Is Not Fully Priced-In

Singapore

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

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Sea (SE US)

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Building a Warchest of Ecosystems

We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of Bukalapak and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Vs Bukalapak Vs Grab Vs Sea

GoTo has extended its book build for a $1.3 billion IPO to 24 March. In this note, we compare GoTo vs Bukalapak, Grab and Sea's relevant businesses...

Arun George

GoTo IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Even without conservative assumptions, our SOTP valuation implies that GoTo’s shares are overvalued at the indicative IPO price range.

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

GoTo IPO: A No Go

Our analysis on the company’s financials suggests that the company has been burning cash to grow its business and may not be able to generate any...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Sea Ltd.'s Money Machine Is Broken, Downside Is Not Fully Priced-In

With fundamentals deteriorating and the Fed signalling an aggressive rate hike outlook, Sea’s 33% move seems unwarranted. The downside potential is...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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