Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The US-China trade war has shaped a new trend: Advanced and Matured Technologies led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> respectively.</li>
<li>Notably, construction of semiconductor fabs in Singapore seems to be of lesser concern at the moment.</li>
<li>The emergence of AI offers new hope, not only for advanced semiconductor technology but also for lagging technologies.</li>
</ul>


The US-China trade war has shaped a new trend: Advanced and Matured Technologies led by Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) respectively.
Notably, construction of semiconductor fabs in Singapore seems to be of lesser concern at the moment.
The emergence of AI offers new hope, not only for advanced semiconductor technology but also for lagging technologies.


The US-China Trade War Is Likely to Split the Semiconductor Industry into Two Groups.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, the FSC pushed for value-up policies, but the real buzz was about Samsung Electronics hinting at rolling out its own value-up plan soon.</li>
<li>Samsung may raise its dividend payout from 50% to 60% and could issue a special dividend if semiconductor results improve or FCF exceeds expectations.</li>
<li>Samsung's value-up disclosure may not cause short-term price action but could strengthen downside support. It may focus on dividends over buybacks, potentially boosting preferred stock.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, the FSC pushed for value-up policies, but the real buzz was about Samsung Electronics hinting at rolling out its own value-up plan soon.
Samsung may raise its dividend payout from 50% to 60% and could issue a special dividend if semiconductor results improve or FCF exceeds expectations.
Samsung's value-up disclosure may not cause short-term price action but could strengthen downside support. It may focus on dividends over buybacks, potentially boosting preferred stock.


What We’ve Got on Samsung Electronics' Value-Up Disclosure

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>AI inkjet breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing promises more precise coating, revolutionizing tech industry processes.</li><li>China's price war in EV sector causes financial chaos and supply chain disruptions for 2 years, impacting global market.</li><li>US House considers OLED import ban following patent dispute with Samsung Display Corporation, keeping spotlight on patent issues.</li></ul>

AI inkjet breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing promises more precise coating, revolutionizing tech industry processes.China's price war in EV sector causes financial chaos and supply chain disruptions for 2 years, impacting global market.US House considers OLED import ban following patent dispute with Samsung Display Corporation, keeping spotlight on patent issues.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Micron's Q1F25 met expectations on key metrics but the ~9% downward guidance for the current quarter sent the share price into a tailspin</li>
<li>Consumer-Related inventory issues and China competition were highlighted as the root causes for the surprise downward guide</li>
<li>Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China competition and focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition could be rocky however</li>
</ul>


Micron's Q1F25 met expectations on key metrics but the ~9% downward guidance for the current quarter sent the share price into a tailspin
Consumer-Related inventory issues and China competition were highlighted as the root causes for the surprise downward guide
Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China competition and focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition could be rocky however


Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock market. </li>
<li>At the end of September 2024, NPS's domestic stock portfolio was 12.7% of its total assets, a 2.2% lower than NPS's domestic stocks target at the end of 2025 (14.9%).</li>
<li>The top five net purchases by the NPS and local pension funds of Korean stocks in the past one month include Samsung Electronics, Kakao, SK Innovation, Hyundai Motor, and SEMCO.</li>
</ul>


In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock market. 
At the end of September 2024, NPS's domestic stock portfolio was 12.7% of its total assets, a 2.2% lower than NPS's domestic stocks target at the end of 2025 (14.9%).
The top five net purchases by the NPS and local pension funds of Korean stocks in the past one month include Samsung Electronics, Kakao, SK Innovation, Hyundai Motor, and SEMCO.


NPS: Portfolio Rebalance Could Lead to Buying At Least 25 Trillion Won in Korean Stocks in 2025

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSD LI)

The US-China Trade War Is Likely to Split the Semiconductor Industry into Two Groups.

US-China trade war drives shift towards Advanced and Matured Technologies led by TSMC and SMIC, with AI offering hope for semiconductor and...

Patrick Liao

What We’ve Got on Samsung Electronics' Value-Up Disclosure

Here’s what we’ve got on Samsung Electronics' value-up disclosure so far. Samsung Electronics hinted at rolling out their own value-up plan soon...

Sanghyun Park

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

AI inkjet breakthrough enhances semiconductor production; China's EV price war disrupts market; US House considers OLED import ban after patent...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge

Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China & focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition...

William Keating

NPS: Portfolio Rebalance Could Lead to Buying At Least 25 Trillion Won in Korean Stocks in 2025

In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The US-China Trade War Is Likely to Split the Semiconductor Industry into Two Groups.

​US-China trade war drives shift towards Advanced and Matured Technologies led by TSMC and SMIC, with AI offering hope for semiconductor and...

Patrick Liao

What We’ve Got on Samsung Electronics' Value-Up Disclosure

Here’s what we’ve got on Samsung Electronics' value-up disclosure so far. Samsung Electronics hinted at rolling out their own value-up plan soon...

Sanghyun Park

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

AI inkjet breakthrough enhances semiconductor production; China's EV price war disrupts market; US House considers OLED import ban after patent...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge

Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China & focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition...

William Keating

NPS: Portfolio Rebalance Could Lead to Buying At Least 25 Trillion Won in Korean Stocks in 2025

In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock...

Douglas Kim

US-China trade war drives shift towards Advanced and Matured Technologies led by TSMC and SMIC, with AI offering hope for semiconductor and...