Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Occidental trades at higher PE and PB valuations than Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell, TotalEnergies, and BP. European oil majors are cheaper than American peers.  </li>
<li>Occidental has been the Permian Basin's leading oil and gas producer for the past five years. </li>
<li>Occidental expects to close the USD 12 billion CrownRock acquisition by August. The deal is anticipated to boost its oil output by 170k bpd. </li>
</ul>


Occidental trades at higher PE and PB valuations than Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell, TotalEnergies, and BP. European oil majors are cheaper than American peers.  
Occidental has been the Permian Basin's leading oil and gas producer for the past five years. 
Occidental expects to close the USD 12 billion CrownRock acquisition by August. The deal is anticipated to boost its oil output by 170k bpd. 


Berkshire's Bullish Bet on Occidental Fails to Sway Market Sentiments

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Pres. Biden's disastrous debate performance (in which he looked senile and cognitively incapacitated) has led Democrats to call on him to step aside in favour of an alternate Democrat nominee.</li>
<li>In 1968, LBJ stepped aside before most primaries, and VP Humphrey won nomination at the convention. He lost the general mainly because third party candidate Wallace ate into Democrat votes. </li>
<li>Trump landslide would be inflationary (because of 10% tariffs on all imports, more on China), plus the embarrassment of having a convicted felon as president. Near-term negative for US. </li>
</ul>


Pres. Biden's disastrous debate performance (in which he looked senile and cognitively incapacitated) has led Democrats to call on him to step aside in favour of an alternate Democrat nominee.
In 1968, LBJ stepped aside before most primaries, and VP Humphrey won nomination at the convention. He lost the general mainly because third party candidate Wallace ate into Democrat votes. 
Trump landslide would be inflationary (because of 10% tariffs on all imports, more on China), plus the embarrassment of having a convicted felon as president. Near-term negative for US. 


Biden's Catastrophic Debate Likely to Lead to 1968-Repeat; Can It End Differently?

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, brought to you today from a sunny Copenhagen.</li><li>The standings at the Euros almost perfectly mirror the current cross-regional uncertainties in equity markets. </li><li>The European election has increased the option-implied volatility premium of European equities compared to US equities, while the FTSE 100 continues to stay “less volatile” in IV terms. </li></ul>

Welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, brought to you today from a sunny Copenhagen.The standings at the Euros almost perfectly mirror the current cross-regional uncertainties in equity markets. The European election has increased the option-implied volatility premium of European equities compared to US equities, while the FTSE 100 continues to stay “less volatile” in IV terms. 

Positioning Watch – Markets are buying into US Fixed Income, but fast money don’t agree

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Semiconductors (SMH,SOXX,NVDA,AVGO) have been leadership since late-2022, but they're extended and starting to see profit taking as market participants rotate into other laggard areas of the market (especially Energy).</li>
<li>The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend.</li>
<li>If there will be any lasting rotation away from Technology/semiconductors, SPX and QQQ would need to break strong short-term supports at 5370-5380 and $468-469, respectively. Until then, Tech/semis remain leadership</li>
</ul>


Semiconductors (SMH,SOXX,NVDA,AVGO) have been leadership since late-2022, but they're extended and starting to see profit taking as market participants rotate into other laggard areas of the market (especially Energy).
The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend.
If there will be any lasting rotation away from Technology/semiconductors, SPX and QQQ would need to break strong short-term supports at 5370-5380 and $468-469, respectively. Until then, Tech/semis remain leadership


Rotation Is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Still Bullish; Supports at SPX 5370-5380, QQQ $468-469

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots

Odd Lots

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.

<ul><li>Stocks have rallied significantly in a rising rate environment, defying initial expectations</li><li>There is nervousness in the market due to lack of breadth in stocks and heavy reliance on tech stocks like Nvidia</li><li>Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, accurately predicted the stock market rally, with a target of 5500 for the S&amp;P 500, which is close to the current level of 5475</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Stocks have rallied significantly in a rising rate environment, defying initial expectationsThere is nervousness in the market due to lack of breadth in stocks and heavy reliance on tech stocks like NvidiaTom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, accurately predicted the stock market rally, with a target of 5500 for the S&amp;P 500, which is close to the current level of 5475This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Why Tom Lee Thinks We Could See S&P 15,000 by 2030

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Berkshire's Bullish Bet on Occidental Fails to Sway Market Sentiments

Berkshire buys Occidental shares for nine straight trading days between 5/Jun-17/Jun. Occidental has the largest acreage in the Permian and has...

Mint Finance

Biden's Catastrophic Debate Likely to Lead to 1968-Repeat; Can It End Differently?

Biden's cognitively-challenged debate performance increases the probability of a Trump landslide, with 10% import tariffs disrupting the world...