Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we noted the S&amp;P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce.</li>
<li>This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&amp;P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DAX, Hang Seng, MCHI, KWEB.</li>
<li>As long as 3858 holds, it is possible the S&amp;P 500 breaks above the longer-term downtrend near the 200-day MA, which would mean the start of a new bull market.</li>
</ul>


Last week we noted the S&amp;P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce.
This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&amp;P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DAX, Hang Seng, MCHI, KWEB.
As long as 3858 holds, it is possible the S&amp;P 500 breaks above the longer-term downtrend near the 200-day MA, which would mean the start of a new bull market.


Bear Market Rally With Potential for More; Buy Ideas in Shipping, Land Drilling, Refining, Chemicals

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Brent Crude is approaching important levels at $124 and may be about to breakout</li>
<li>The overall picture on the chart indicates a move to $150. If seen with rising yields again, it would yet again provide a negative backdrop for equities.</li>
<li>While the S&amp;P 500 may stretch up to 4,300 in the short term, that would be a sell zone as the medium term picture points to further downside.</li>
</ul>


Brent Crude is approaching important levels at $124 and may be about to breakout
The overall picture on the chart indicates a move to $150. If seen with rising yields again, it would yet again provide a negative backdrop for equities.
While the S&amp;P 500 may stretch up to 4,300 in the short term, that would be a sell zone as the medium term picture points to further downside.


High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The S&amp;P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.It remains to be seen if this is beginning of a bear market bounce or something more sustained.Keep in mind that while the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates (and will continue to do so until inflation is lowered), the shrinking of the Fed balance sheet has not yet started and will begin in June.

The S&amp;P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.It remains to be seen if this is beginning of a bear market bounce or something more sustained.Keep in mind that while the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates (and will continue to do so until inflation is lowered), the shrinking of the Fed balance sheet has not yet started and will begin in June.

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<ul>
<li>SPX due for a fade below the key 4,100 barrier with 3,980 and 3,910 pivot supports. We have been and are bullish near the 3,800 level.</li>
<li>NDX is the short vehicle to test 11,500 and 11,200. More bullish near 11,000 support.</li>
<li>NDX and RTY failed to see equivalent strength (U/P) and underscores odds of new lows in both indexes toward macro buy supports.</li>
</ul>


SPX due for a fade below the key 4,100 barrier with 3,980 and 3,910 pivot supports. We have been and are bullish near the 3,800 level.
NDX is the short vehicle to test 11,500 and 11,200. More bullish near 11,000 support.
NDX and RTY failed to see equivalent strength (U/P) and underscores odds of new lows in both indexes toward macro buy supports.


SPX 4,100 Resistance and 3,800 Tactical Buy Support

<ul>
<li>We see the S&amp;P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level.</li>
<li>With that said, the S&amp;P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally.</li>
<li>We will need to see a bullish reversal of the 1-month downtrend (currently at 4030-4050) to have confidence that a tradeable bounce is underway, with the potential for more.</li>
</ul>


We see the S&amp;P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level.
With that said, the S&amp;P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally.
We will need to see a bullish reversal of the 1-month downtrend (currently at 4030-4050) to have confidence that a tradeable bounce is underway, with the potential for more.


S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support; Buy Ideas Within Energy & Biotech

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Bear Market Rally With Potential for More; Buy Ideas in Shipping, Land Drilling, Refining, Chemicals

With the $SPX reversing topside the 1-month downtrend (at 4030), the bear market rally is underway with the potential for more. Resistance levels:...

Vermilion Research

A Crude Development

The rise in Oil is a development that cannot be ignored. A rally through $124 on Brent would open the way for not only $139 but possibly $150 -...

Shyam Devani

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 5/30

The S&P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

SPX 4,100 Resistance and 3,800 Tactical Buy Support

SPX due for a fade below the key 4,100 barrier with 3,980 and 3,910 pivot supports. We have been and are bullish near the 3,800 level.

Thomas Schroeder

S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support; Buy Ideas Within Energy & Biotech

The $SPX is trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the...

Vermilion Research