High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The second quarter earnings season officially kicked off last week with financials getting things started. </li><li>Earnings season will pick up this upcoming week with key reports expected from notable names like Bank of America, Tesla, Netflix, Johnson &amp; Johnson, and Capital One. </li><li>We already know that inflation in the form of rising input costs like energy and labor will eat into profit margins and earnings. </li></ul>

The second quarter earnings season officially kicked off last week with financials getting things started. Earnings season will pick up this upcoming week with key reports expected from notable names like Bank of America, Tesla, Netflix, Johnson &amp; Johnson, and Capital One. We already know that inflation in the form of rising input costs like energy and labor will eat into profit margins and earnings. 

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>SPX risk on July rise (early July buy call) is still missing the final piece of the puzzle - the C wave push to 4,000 for THE short.</li>
<li>Top building process near July 21 and again after a Fed hike knee jerk rise. Aligning risk points in Bitcoin, USD dip and sell levels in Europe and Asia (synergy).</li>
<li>THE short set up before next pain trade lower into September for an SPX decline of 18% with parts of EM and Asia taking it on the chin.</li>
</ul>


SPX risk on July rise (early July buy call) is still missing the final piece of the puzzle - the C wave push to 4,000 for THE short.
Top building process near July 21 and again after a Fed hike knee jerk rise. Aligning risk points in Bitcoin, USD dip and sell levels in Europe and Asia (synergy).
THE short set up before next pain trade lower into September for an SPX decline of 18% with parts of EM and Asia taking it on the chin.


SPX Push into THE Summer Short Ahead of Q3 Pain

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).
Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.
We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.


U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

<ul>
<li>The better part of the touted July risk on SPX bounce is behind us. Finessing upside targets will set up the next big short into the bearish September cycle.</li>
<li>Markets have yet to fully price in weaker earnings, recession, tighter liquidity, outflows and USD upside risk in coming months</li>
<li>July highs will set up the next macro SPX and risk assets short. Remarkably tight correlation to the 1973 decline is noteworthy.</li>
</ul>


The better part of the touted July risk on SPX bounce is behind us. Finessing upside targets will set up the next big short into the bearish September cycle.
Markets have yet to fully price in weaker earnings, recession, tighter liquidity, outflows and USD upside risk in coming months
July highs will set up the next macro SPX and risk assets short. Remarkably tight correlation to the 1973 decline is noteworthy.


Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global Liquidity Index (GLI) tests a low 29.5 (range 0-100). World economy now in recession </li>
<li>World Central Bank Liquidity even weaker at index of 15.9, with US Fed Liquidity at index 41.6, trailing other policy-makers notably ECB . More squeeze ahead</li>
<li>Risk exposure of investors  still too high at index 19.1 (range -50 to +50)  given upcoming recession</li>
</ul>


Global Liquidity Index (GLI) tests a low 29.5 (range 0-100). World economy now in recession 
World Central Bank Liquidity even weaker at index of 15.9, with US Fed Liquidity at index 41.6, trailing other policy-makers notably ECB . More squeeze ahead
Risk exposure of investors  still too high at index 19.1 (range -50 to +50)  given upcoming recession


United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/18

Earnings season will pick up this upcoming week with key reports expected from notable names like Bank of America, Tesla, Netflix, Johnson &...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

SPX Push into THE Summer Short Ahead of Q3 Pain

SPX risk on July rise (early July buy call) is still missing the final piece of the puzzle - the C wave push to 4,000 for THE short. Align counter...

Thomas Schroeder

U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), as each...

Vermilion Research

The Next Big SPX Short Set Up

The better part of the touted July risk on SPX bounce is behind us. Finessing upside targets will set up the next big short into the bearish...

Thomas Schroeder

A Bigger Crash?!

A bigger squeeze is coming. The US Fed intends to take US$2.5 trillion from its balance sheet, equivalent to a 4-5% point hike in Fed Funds. Expect...

Michael J. Howell