European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The current offer from Apollo of 65p/share undervalues the company. RTN ex-Leisure can achieve huge upside merely by executing the business plan. The shares have consistently traded above 65p.</li>
<li>Activist investors are piling on the register and there is a strong possibility that shareholders push for an offer sweetening (c.75p). RTN is in play, another PE bidder could interlope. </li>
<li>The bid is below mid-2021 highs of around 140p. Although a 34% premium is optically good, a conservative SOTP valuation provides a fair value estimate of 78.7p/share (8.7x EV/24eEBITDA).</li>
</ul>


The current offer from Apollo of 65p/share undervalues the company. RTN ex-Leisure can achieve huge upside merely by executing the business plan. The shares have consistently traded above 65p.
Activist investors are piling on the register and there is a strong possibility that shareholders push for an offer sweetening (c.75p). RTN is in play, another PE bidder could interlope. 
The bid is below mid-2021 highs of around 140p. Although a 34% premium is optically good, a conservative SOTP valuation provides a fair value estimate of 78.7p/share (8.7x EV/24eEBITDA).


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez</a> plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO.</li>
<li>GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s prior performance and future prospects.</li>
</ul>



Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO.
GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
In this note, we look at the company’s prior performance and future prospects.


Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Positives - Network Growing, Sales Have Outpaced Network Growth

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The F100 and F250 December 2023 index changes are likely to be announced after the close on Wednesday 29th December 2023.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 based on rankings as of 27th November 2023.</li>
<li>There could be one change for the F100 index and six separate changes for the F250 index. Some names lurking close to the border can still make it.</li>
</ul>


The F100 and F250 December 2023 index changes are likely to be announced after the close on Wednesday 29th December 2023.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 based on rankings as of 27th November 2023.
There could be one change for the F100 index and six separate changes for the F250 index. Some names lurking close to the border can still make it.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Final Expectations; Two Trading Days for Announcement

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be up to seven index  changes including a couple of potential intra-review index changes that could be triggered by M&amp;A events.</li>
<li>I expect the regular Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the market close on Friday 15th December 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.
There could be up to seven index  changes including a couple of potential intra-review index changes that could be triggered by M&amp;A events.
I expect the regular Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the market close on Friday 15th December 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: CAB Payments Could Be Deleted from F250

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Recent underperformance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> vs Peers appears to be part of a "perfect storm". </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> has an attractive yield on its side; and Richard Li has been buying. But a 6% premium to NAV is unsustainable for this holding company structure.</li>
<li>Palliser Capital's straightforward request is for a 35% reduction in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> holding reflects a strategic urgency. </li>
</ul>


Recent underperformance of Newmont Mining (NEM US) vs Peers appears to be part of a "perfect storm". 

PCCW Ltd (8 HK) has an attractive yield on its side; and Richard Li has been buying. But a 6% premium to NAV is unsustainable for this holding company structure.
Palliser Capital's straightforward request is for a 35% reduction in Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)'s Oriental Land (4661 JP) holding reflects a strategic urgency. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

United Kingdom

Restaurant Group plc is an independent multi-site operator of branded restaurants and pub restaurants in the United Kingdom.  The Company's concessions division operates primarily at airports in the United Kingdom.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Restaurant Group (RTN LN)

In Play and Likely Worth More

Apollo's offer of 65p/share undervalues RTN ex-Leisure, which has potential for significant growth. Shareholders may push for a better offer as...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Positives - Network Growing, Sales Have Outpaced Network Growth

Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Final Expectations; Two Trading Days for Announcement

Today is the base date for the December 2023 review. The index changes for the December 2023 review will be decided based on full market cap...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: CAB Payments Could Be Deleted from F250

I suggest having a look at the 888 holdings (888 LN) / Playtech Plc (PTEC LN) pair as a sector-neutral fundamental relative value bet with a...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

In Play and Likely Worth More

​Apollo's offer of 65p/share undervalues RTN ex-Leisure, which has potential for significant growth. Shareholders may push for a better offer as...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Positives - Network Growing, Sales Have Outpaced Network Growth

Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Final Expectations; Two Trading Days for Announcement

Today is the base date for the December 2023 review. The index changes for the December 2023 review will be decided based on full market cap...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: CAB Payments Could Be Deleted from F250

I suggest having a look at the 888 holdings (888 LN) / Playtech Plc (PTEC LN) pair as a sector-neutral fundamental relative value bet with a...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Apollo's offer of 65p/share undervalues RTN ex-Leisure, which has potential for significant growth. Shareholders may push for a better offer as...

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Final Expectations; Two Trading Days for Announcement

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: CAB Payments Could Be Deleted from F250