Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water.</li>
<li>The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget.</li>
<li>The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water.
The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget.
The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

AngloGold Ashanti Spon Adr / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, with the latest being the MSCI Emerging Markets index (local currency), breaking out from a 2-year base--add exposure.</li>
<li>In terms of MSCI EM specifically, this is a huge risk-on signal for global equities, as EM is pretty much as risky as it gets across the global landscape.</li>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, with the latest being the MSCI Emerging Markets index (local currency), breaking out from a 2-year base--add exposure.
In terms of MSCI EM specifically, this is a huge risk-on signal for global equities, as EM is pretty much as risky as it gets across the global landscape.
Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities.


MSCI Emerging Markets Finally Join the Rally; China/HK Improve; Upgrading Taiwan, Downgrading Brazil

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria - Drilling operations at the high impact Welchau prospect are now expected to commence on 24 February with a duration of ~39 days.</li>
<li>ADX will now use the RED E200 rig instead of RED E202.</li>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.60 per share: Successful appraisal drilling expected to boost reserves – The CN-5 well encountered 45 feet of Ubaque pay to base of sand with 25% porosity and 5 Darcy permeability.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria - Drilling operations at the high impact Welchau prospect are now expected to commence on 24 February with a duration of ~39 days.
ADX will now use the RED E200 rig instead of RED E202.
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.60 per share: Successful appraisal drilling expected to boost reserves – The CN-5 well encountered 45 feet of Ubaque pay to base of sand with 25% porosity and 5 Darcy permeability.


<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.</li>
<li>The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.</li>
<li>Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.
The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.
Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU); target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed.</li>
<li>3Q23 production levels continue to be affected by weather related energy cuts and unforeseen work-overs.</li>
<li>Valeura Energy (VLE CN)C; target price of C$6.40 per share: 3Q23 update – 3Q23 production was 19,961 boe/d.</li>
</ul>


Calima Energy (CE1 AU); target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed.
3Q23 production levels continue to be affected by weather related energy cuts and unforeseen work-overs.
Valeura Energy (VLE CN)C; target price of C$6.40 per share: 3Q23 update – 3Q23 production was 19,961 boe/d.


Spain

Repsol S.A., through subsidiaries, explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas, refines petroleum, and transports petroleum products and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).  The Company retails gasoline and other products through its chain of gasoline filling stations.  Repsol's petroleum reserves are in Spain, Latin America, Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East and United States.

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Repsol SA (REP SM)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/04/2024

ADX anticipates increasing production from the well to 150 bbl/d. No permanent staff will be required on the site, which should reduce opex.

Auctus Advisors

MSCI Emerging Markets Finally Join the Rally; China/HK Improve; Upgrading Taiwan, Downgrading Brazil

MSCI EM Finally Joins the Rally; China/Hong Kong Continue to Improve; Downgrading Brazil to Market Weight; Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight;...

Vermilion Research

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 23/02/2024

Drilling update in Austria - Drilling operations at the high impact Welchau prospect are now expected to commence on 24 February with a duration of...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 19/01/2024

GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 06/10/2023

Calima Energy (CE1 AU); target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed.

Auctus Advisors

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