IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Shareholders representing around 12.6% of outstanding shares have stated that they will vote against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>’s NZ$1.34 offer from Sixth Street/BGH (scheme vote on 3 March). </li>
<li>The NO votes will need a less than 63% turnout to block the scheme. A 5% bump (NZ$1.41) would be in line with the IE’s valuation mid-point at current FX.</li>
<li>Sixth Street/BGH have taken issue with the IE’s valuation (unsuitable FX rates and optimistic forecasts) and have got proxy advisors' support. Therefore, a bump is not a sure thing. </li>
</ul>


Shareholders representing around 12.6% of outstanding shares have stated that they will vote against Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)’s NZ$1.34 offer from Sixth Street/BGH (scheme vote on 3 March). 
The NO votes will need a less than 63% turnout to block the scheme. A 5% bump (NZ$1.41) would be in line with the IE’s valuation mid-point at current FX.
Sixth Street/BGH have taken issue with the IE’s valuation (unsuitable FX rates and optimistic forecasts) and have got proxy advisors' support. Therefore, a bump is not a sure thing. 


Pushpay (PPH NZ): Proxy Advisors Say Yes but Several Shareholders Say No

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Scheme Meeting for BGH/Sixth Street's NZ$1.34/share Offer for church donor management play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a> will take place on the 3 March.</li>
<li>Accident Compensation Corporation (ACC), holding 6.2% of shares out, said it will vote against the Scheme. Nikko Asset Management (1.4%) also said they will reject the Offer. </li>
<li>Shares have wobbled and are now 5.5% adrift of terms. BGH/Sixth Street still has the flexibility to bump.</li>
</ul>


The Scheme Meeting for BGH/Sixth Street's NZ$1.34/share Offer for church donor management play Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ) will take place on the 3 March.
Accident Compensation Corporation (ACC), holding 6.2% of shares out, said it will vote against the Scheme. Nikko Asset Management (1.4%) also said they will reject the Offer. 
Shares have wobbled and are now 5.5% adrift of terms. BGH/Sixth Street still has the flexibility to bump.


Pushpay Holdings: ACC & Nikko Say No To Scheme

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihara-science-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9870:1" rel="noopener">Ihara Science (5999 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU). 
Lowest spreads - Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP), Ihara Science (5999 JP), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Essential Metals (ESS AU), Warrego Energy (WGO AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (20 Feb) - AAG Energy, Yashili, Toyo, Nitro, Origin Energy, Newcrest, O2Micro

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihara-science-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9870:1" rel="noopener">Ihara Science (5999 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18567:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Electric (6641 JP)</a>.        </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Origin Energy (ORG AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP). 
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP), Essential Metals (ESS AU), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Ihara Science (5999 JP), Nissin Electric (6641 JP).        


Merger Arb Mondays (13 Feb) - Newcrest, Nitro, Norwest, Boustead, Toyo, Ihara, Iwasaki Electric

<ul>
<li>There are 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-abu-dhabi-bank-pjsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28945:1" rel="noopener">First Abu Dhabi Bank</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc-f07a1272-e0fc-49e2-8090-1a08715a40a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22649:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihara-science-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9870:1" rel="noopener">Ihara Science (5999 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iwasaki-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13072:1" rel="noopener">Iwasaki Electric (6924 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Newmont/Newcrest; First Abu Dhabi Bank/Standard Chartered,  Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP); Ihara Science (5999 JP), and Iwasaki Electric (6924 JP).
Key updates took place for: Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), and Halcyon Agri (HACL SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newmont/Newcrest, StanChart, Boustead Proj., Ihara, Iwasaki

New Zealand

Pushpay Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs and develops mobile payment application and solutions that allows users to donate to charities and non-profit organization. Pushpay Holdings conducts its business worldwide.

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Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)

Pushpay (PPH NZ): Proxy Advisors Say Yes but Several Shareholders Say No

The vocal NO camp could force a bump. However, Sixth Street/BGH had sufficient warning signs and time to avoid this unpleasant standoff. Difficult...

Arun George

Pushpay Holdings: ACC & Nikko Say No To Scheme

BGH/Sixth Street needs to bump - ~5% - otherwise, this will be a very close run thing. It needn't be so. This consortium has been running a ruler...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (20 Feb) - AAG Energy, Yashili, Toyo, Nitro, Origin Energy, Newcrest, O2Micro

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (81.0%), Alliance Aviation (36.5%), Origin (28.6%), 111 (22.4%), Golden Energy (19.3%), Genesis...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (13 Feb) - Newcrest, Nitro, Norwest, Boustead, Toyo, Ihara, Iwasaki Electric

This week, the highest gross spreads are Alliance Aviation (37.3%), VNET (30.0%), Origin Energy (27.5%), 111 (23.2%), Golden Energy (21.1%), Toyo...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newmont/Newcrest, StanChart, Boustead Proj., Ihara, Iwasaki

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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