Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

KWG Living Group / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-living-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29231:1" rel="noopener">KWG Living Group (3913 HK)</a>  offers comprehensive property management services for both residential properties and commercial properties in China. The company has filed for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to raise about US$402m through the issuance of 383m shares at an indicative IPO price of HK$8.13 per share.</p><p>The company has entered into cornerstone investment agreements with Hillhouse Funds, Orchid China and LMA SPC, Harvest Global Capital Investments, Snow Lake, Valliance, China Lesso, OP Capital and Aspex Master Fund. These cornerstone investors have agreed to subscribe for an aggregate amount of US$120m worth of shares.</p><p>In our previous insight on the company, we discussed the company’s business model, business segments and its financials. In this insight, we discuss the company’s valuation and key risks.</p><p>Read our previous insight:</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kwg-living-ipo-expansion-in-community-value-added-services-drives-growth" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44334" rel="noopener">KWG Living IPO: Expansion in Community Value-Added Services Drives Growth</a> </p>

KWG Living Group (3913 HK)  offers comprehensive property management services for both residential properties and commercial properties in China. The company has filed for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to raise about US$402m through the issuance of 383m shares at an indicative IPO price of HK$8.13 per share.The company has entered into cornerstone investment agreements with Hillhouse Funds, Orchid China and LMA SPC, Harvest Global Capital Investments, Snow Lake, Valliance, China Lesso, OP Capital and Aspex Master Fund. These cornerstone investors have agreed to subscribe for an aggregate amount of US$120m worth of shares.In our previous insight on the company, we discussed the company’s business model, business segments and its financials. In this insight, we discuss the company’s valuation and key risks.Read our previous insight:KWG Living IPO: Expansion in Community Value-Added Services Drives Growth 

KWG Living IPO: Strong Financials and Growth Prospects Justify a Premium

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Shimao Services Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-services-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29199:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Services Holdings (873 HK)</a> is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-property-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8375:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK)</a> and backed by Sequoia China and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$14.80-17.20 per share, Shimao will have a market cap of HK$34,823.5-40,470.6 million ($4.5-5.2 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Shimao will raise net proceeds of HK$5,449.9 million ($703 million). Unlike most of the property management IPOs, Shimao's IPO has no cornerstone support. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shimao-services-ipo-initiation-at-your-service" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we highlighted that Shimao’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive. Our valuation analysis suggests that the valuation implied by the IPO price range is reasonable for the growth. </p></div></div></div>

Shimao Services Holdings (873 HK) is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK) and backed by Sequoia China and Tencent Holdings (700 HK). At the proposed IPO price range of HK$14.80-17.20 per share, Shimao will have a market cap of HK$34,823.5-40,470.6 million ($4.5-5.2 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Shimao will raise net proceeds of HK$5,449.9 million ($703 million). Unlike most of the property management IPOs, Shimao's IPO has no cornerstone support. In our initiation note, we highlighted that Shimao’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive. Our valuation analysis suggests that the valuation implied by the IPO price range is reasonable for the growth. 

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-living-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29231:1" rel="noopener">KWG Living Group (3913 HK)</a> is a property management service provider in China. KWG accounted for 0.09% of the total GFA under management in the China property management market in 2019, according to JLL. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$7.00-8.13 per share, KWG will have a market cap of HK$14,124.7-16,404.8 million ($1.8-2.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, KWG will raise net proceeds of HK$2,755.5 million ($356 million). </p></div><div><p>Eight cornerstone investors will subscribe for 32.09% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range. The cornerstone investors are Hillhouse Capital, Orchid China, Harvest Fund Management, Snow Lake Capital, Valliance Asset Management, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-lesso-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11598:1" rel="noopener">China Lesso Group Holdings (2128 HK)</a>, OP Capital and Aspex Management. </p></div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kwg-living-group-ipo-initiation-urban-living" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we highlighted that KWG’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive. Overall, we think that the valuation implied by the IPO price range is reasonable for KWG's growth potential. </p></div>

KWG Living Group (3913 HK) is a property management service provider in China. KWG accounted for 0.09% of the total GFA under management in the China property management market in 2019, according to JLL. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$7.00-8.13 per share, KWG will have a market cap of HK$14,124.7-16,404.8 million ($1.8-2.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, KWG will raise net proceeds of HK$2,755.5 million ($356 million). Eight cornerstone investors will subscribe for 32.09% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range. The cornerstone investors are Hillhouse Capital, Orchid China, Harvest Fund Management, Snow Lake Capital, Valliance Asset Management, China Lesso Group Holdings (2128 HK), OP Capital and Aspex Management. In our initiation note, we highlighted that KWG’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive. Overall, we think that the valuation implied by the IPO price range is reasonable for KWG's growth potential. 

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-living-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29231:1" rel="noopener">KWG Living Group (3913 HK)</a> is a property management service provider in China. KWG accounted for 0.09% of the total GFA under management in the China property management market in 2019, according to JLL. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12601:1" rel="noopener">Kwg Property Holding (1813 HK)</a>, the parent, has launched the spin-off and Hong Kong IPO of KWG to raise up to $400 million. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>KWG offers not only property management service for both residential and commercial properties, but also commercial operational service. The commercial property management and operational service are still at the early development stage with fewer participants, compared with residential property management, which presents more headroom for KWG to expand. Also, KWG has a strong presence in the Greater Bay Area and ranked tenth among the leading property management companies in the Greater Bay Area, according to the CIA. Overall, KWG’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive, in our view.</p></div>

KWG Living Group (3913 HK) is a property management service provider in China. KWG accounted for 0.09% of the total GFA under management in the China property management market in 2019, according to JLL. Kwg Property Holding (1813 HK), the parent, has launched the spin-off and Hong Kong IPO of KWG to raise up to $400 million. KWG offers not only property management service for both residential and commercial properties, but also commercial operational service. The commercial property management and operational service are still at the early development stage with fewer participants, compared with residential property management, which presents more headroom for KWG to expand. Also, KWG has a strong presence in the Greater Bay Area and ranked tenth among the leading property management companies in the Greater Bay Area, according to the CIA. Overall, KWG’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive, in our view.

KWG Living Group IPO Initiation: Urban Living

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-services-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29199:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Services Holdings (SSH HK)</a> is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-property-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8375:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK)</a> and backed by Sequoia China and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>. Shimao ranked third among the Top 20 Property Management Companies in China as measured by the revenue growth rate in 2019, according to China Index Academy. Shimao Group, the parent, will shortly launch the spin-off and Hong Kong IPO of Shimao to raise up to $1 billion, according to press reports. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Property management IPOs are popular due to the strong post-IPO share price performance of recent listings. The property management sector has a long-term recurring business model and is capital-light. Overall, Shimao’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive, in our view.</p></div>

Shimao Services Holdings (SSH HK) is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK) and backed by Sequoia China and Tencent Holdings (700 HK). Shimao ranked third among the Top 20 Property Management Companies in China as measured by the revenue growth rate in 2019, according to China Index Academy. Shimao Group, the parent, will shortly launch the spin-off and Hong Kong IPO of Shimao to raise up to $1 billion, according to press reports. Property management IPOs are popular due to the strong post-IPO share price performance of recent listings. The property management sector has a long-term recurring business model and is capital-light. Overall, Shimao’s fundamentals over the track record period are attractive, in our view.

Shimao Services IPO Initiation: At Your Service

Hong Kong

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Limited offers real estate services. The Company provides residential property management, office buildings management, serviced apartments management, and other services. Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings provides its services throughout China.

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings (9909 HK)

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Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings (9909 HK)

KWG Living IPO: Strong Financials and Growth Prospects Justify a Premium

We compare the company's implied valuation matrices and KPIs with property management service peers in China. Though KWG Living's shares seem...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Shimao Services IPO: Valuation Insights

At the proposed IPO price range of HK$14.80-17.20 per share, Shimao will have a market cap of $4.5-5.2 billion. Our valuation analysis suggests...

Arun George

KWG Living Group IPO: Valuation Insights

At the mid-point of the IPO price range, KWG will raise net proceeds of $356 million. Overall, we think that the valuation implied by the IPO price...

Arun George

KWG Living Group IPO Initiation: Urban Living

KWG offers not only property mgmt service for residential and commercial properties, but also commercial operational service. Overall, KWG’s...

Arun George

Shimao Services IPO Initiation: At Your Service

Property management IPOs are popular due to the strong post-IPO share price performance of recent listings. Overall, Shimao’s fundamentals over the...

Arun George

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