Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Pop Mart International Group L / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a>'s international sales grew around 250% yoy, and made up around one quarter of sales (vs. 17% of sales in 2023). </li>
<li>I now expect 39% sales growth in 2024, driven by 140% yoy growth in the international business and 18% growth in domestic China business. </li>
<li>I further expect a 50% yoy growth in net profit growth in 2024 driven by a 0.8ppt increase in gross margin and 0.5ppt in operating leverage. </li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)'s international sales grew around 250% yoy, and made up around one quarter of sales (vs. 17% of sales in 2023). 
I now expect 39% sales growth in 2024, driven by 140% yoy growth in the international business and 18% growth in domestic China business. 
I further expect a 50% yoy growth in net profit growth in 2024 driven by a 0.8ppt increase in gross margin and 0.5ppt in operating leverage. 


Pop Mart (9992 HK):  Accelerating Momentum Internationally; Raising My Estimates

<ul>
<li>The thesis for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> is the successful expansion of its international business, which made up 13% of sales in 1H23 but is growing exponentially. </li>
<li>This has been proved true in the latest announced 2023 results, with a 135% growth in 2023 for the international business, and a further &gt;100% growth guidance for 2024.</li>
<li>The company is trading at 24x 2024 earnings, assuming a 35% net profit growth in 2024. </li>
</ul>


The thesis for Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) is the successful expansion of its international business, which made up 13% of sales in 1H23 but is growing exponentially. 
This has been proved true in the latest announced 2023 results, with a 135% growth in 2023 for the international business, and a further &gt;100% growth guidance for 2024.
The company is trading at 24x 2024 earnings, assuming a 35% net profit growth in 2024. 


Pop Mart (9992 HK):  International Expansion Is For Real

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Bloks Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Concentration Risk Is Concerning, and Limited Overseas Reach

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Bloks Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Wide Portfolio of Established IPs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> announced at noon today a business update on 3Q23.</li>
<li>Overall sales in 3Q23 grew 35-40% yoy, with domestic China sales up 25-30% yoy and international sales up 120-125% yoy. </li>
<li>Thesis intact, as the 3Q23 update showed that the international business continued to grow rapidly at 120-125% yoy growth.</li>
</ul>



Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) announced at noon today a business update on 3Q23.
Overall sales in 3Q23 grew 35-40% yoy, with domestic China sales up 25-30% yoy and international sales up 120-125% yoy. 
Thesis intact, as the 3Q23 update showed that the international business continued to grow rapidly at 120-125% yoy growth.


Pop Mart (9992 HK):  Strong 3Q23 Operational Update; Thesis Intact

China

Pop Mart International Group Limited operates as a toys wholesales company. The Company provides trendy toys designing, production, marketing, and other services. Pop Mart International Group markets its products worldwide.

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Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Accelerating Momentum Internationally; Raising My Estimates

In 1Q24, Pop Mart International (9992 HK)'s international sales grew around 250% yoy, and made up around one quarter of sales (vs. 17% of sales in...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Pop Mart (9992 HK): International Expansion Is For Real

The founder and CEO of Pop Mart, Wang Ning attended the sixth meeting of the Sino-French Entrepreneurs Committee in France and as part of Xi's...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Bloks Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Concentration Risk Is Concerning, and Limited Overseas Reach

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects...

Clarence Chu

Bloks Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Wide Portfolio of Established IPs

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the...

Clarence Chu

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Strong 3Q23 Operational Update; Thesis Intact

Pop Mart announced strong sales growth in 3Q23, with domestic China sales up 25-30% and international sales up 120-125% year-on-year.

Steve Zhou, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Accelerating Momentum Internationally; Raising My Estimates

In 1Q24, Pop Mart International (9992 HK)'s international sales grew around 250% yoy, and made up around one quarter of sales (vs. 17% of sales in...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Pop Mart (9992 HK): International Expansion Is For Real

The founder and CEO of Pop Mart, Wang Ning attended the sixth meeting of the Sino-French Entrepreneurs Committee in France and as part of Xi's...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Bloks Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Concentration Risk Is Concerning, and Limited Overseas Reach

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects...

Clarence Chu

Bloks Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Wide Portfolio of Established IPs

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the...

Clarence Chu

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Strong 3Q23 Operational Update; Thesis Intact

​Pop Mart announced strong sales growth in 3Q23, with domestic China sales up 25-30% and international sales up 120-125% year-on-year.

Steve Zhou, CFA

Pop Mart announced strong sales growth in 3Q23, with domestic China sales up 25-30% and international sales up 120-125% year-on-year.