Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In our view, China growth equity faces high geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 ahead of the US election, but can experience a relief rally in C1Q24.</li>
<li>We prepared high beta and low risk recommendations for 2024</li>
<li>For low-risk, we recommend JD/JDL/JDH, Tencent and Luckin. For high beta, we recommend BEKE, LI Auto and Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


In our view, China growth equity faces high geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 ahead of the US election, but can experience a relief rally in C1Q24.
We prepared high beta and low risk recommendations for 2024
For low-risk, we recommend JD/JDL/JDH, Tencent and Luckin. For high beta, we recommend BEKE, LI Auto and Kuaishou.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: 2024 High Conviction Idea: Two Scenarios Towards Year End

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Atour Lifestyle Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atour-lifestyle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33481:1" rel="noopener">Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)</a>, is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. 
The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

REPT BATTERO Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy </a>(REPT HK) is now looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, down from the US$1bn it was aiming for earlier.</li>
<li>REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer in China, focusing on R&amp;D, production, and sales of EV/ESS lithium-ion battery products such as battery cells, modules and packs.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.</li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT HK) is now looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, down from the US$1bn it was aiming for earlier.
REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer in China, focusing on R&amp;D, production, and sales of EV/ESS lithium-ion battery products such as battery cells, modules and packs.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.


REPT BATTERO Energy Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Leaning on ESS

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, Tata Technologies and IREDA continued the India IPO juggernaut. </li>
<li>On the placements front, there seems to be no stopping Japan flows.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Tata Technologies and IREDA continued the India IPO juggernaut. 
On the placements front, there seems to be no stopping Japan flows.


ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) - Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The announcement of the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber Technologies (UBER US)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a> was a big one last week. There were announcements for some other indices too.</li>
<li>There are many indices in China that will be rebalanced at the close on Friday, the biggest being the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KWEB US</a>.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet in ETF world with net inflows to China focused ETFs and net outflows for Japan.</li>
</ul>


The announcement of the inclusion of Uber Technologies (UBER US) in the S&amp;P 500 INDEX was a big one last week. There were announcements for some other indices too.
There are many indices in China that will be rebalanced at the close on Friday, the biggest being the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and KWEB US.
Relatively quiet in ETF world with net inflows to China focused ETFs and net outflows for Japan.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KWEB, CSI300/500, STAR50, SSE50, ChiNext, SET50, Chips, Denso, SPX

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: 2024 High Conviction Idea: Two Scenarios Towards Year End

China growth equity faces geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 due to the US election, but a relief rally is expected in C1Q24. Blue Lotus prepared...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US) , is looking to raise around US$124m through a...

Ethan Aw

REPT BATTERO Energy Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Leaning on ESS

REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT HK) is now looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, down from the US$1bn it was aiming for earlier.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) - Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KWEB, CSI300/500, STAR50, SSE50, ChiNext, SET50, Chips, Denso, SPX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: 2024 High Conviction Idea: Two Scenarios Towards Year End

​China growth equity faces geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 due to the US election, but a relief rally is expected in C1Q24. Blue Lotus prepared...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US) , is looking to raise around US$124m through a...

Ethan Aw

REPT BATTERO Energy Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Leaning on ESS

REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT HK) is now looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, down from the US$1bn it was aiming for earlier.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) - Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KWEB, CSI300/500, STAR50, SSE50, ChiNext, SET50, Chips, Denso, SPX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

China growth equity faces geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 due to the US election, but a relief rally is expected in C1Q24. Blue Lotus prepared...