Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 3Q24, PDD released strong revenue growth, but a flat margin.</li>
<li>We believe, in 2025, PDD will continue to focus on growth rather than profit.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 43% and a price target of US$167 for 2025. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q24, PDD released strong revenue growth, but a flat margin.
We believe, in 2025, PDD will continue to focus on growth rather than profit.
We conclude an upside of 43% and a price target of US$167 for 2025. Buy.


PDD (PDD US): 3Q24, Focuses on Growth, But Not Profit Margin

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>We compared similar growth stage of Alibaba to Pinduoduo, when GMV of both platforms increase from RMB1 trillion to RMB4 trillion, to facilitate better understanding of efficiency edge of Pinduoduo.</li>
<li>Contrary to consensus, Pinduoduo didn’t do better than Alibaba on OPEX (advertising expenditure in particular), but it did extract much greater value from the ecosystem via significantly higher take-rate.</li>
<li>The findings highlight how Pinduoduo aggregate user traffic at surprisingly high cost to beef up merchant competition in terms of cost optimization and user acquisition, with Pinduoduo  reaping greatest value.</li>
</ul>


We compared similar growth stage of Alibaba to Pinduoduo, when GMV of both platforms increase from RMB1 trillion to RMB4 trillion, to facilitate better understanding of efficiency edge of Pinduoduo.
Contrary to consensus, Pinduoduo didn’t do better than Alibaba on OPEX (advertising expenditure in particular), but it did extract much greater value from the ecosystem via significantly higher take-rate.
The findings highlight how Pinduoduo aggregate user traffic at surprisingly high cost to beef up merchant competition in terms of cost optimization and user acquisition, with Pinduoduo  reaping greatest value.


<ul>
<li>Temu as a subsidiary of PDD becomes the second largest global e-commerce website.</li>
<li>Meituan merges departments into fewer business units to cut expenses further.</li>
<li>Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with BYD, as its high end products are not as popular as Tesla models.</li>
</ul>


Temu as a subsidiary of PDD becomes the second largest global e-commerce website.
Meituan merges departments into fewer business units to cut expenses further.
Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with BYD, as its high end products are not as popular as Tesla models.


China Consumption Weekly (30 Sep 2024): PDD, Meituan, BYD, Benz, Miniso, Yonghui

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a> stock price nosedived 28.5% yesterday wiping away more than USD55 billion in market cap following Management's call with investors.</li>
<li>During the call, the management guided towards weakening profits in the next quarters and stated that high revenue growth was unsustainable in the long term.</li>
<li>Investors however seemed to be spooked not by negative guidance on profitability/growth but by comments on impact of non-business factors and need to adapt to changing times etc.</li>
</ul>



PDD Holdings (PDD US) stock price nosedived 28.5% yesterday wiping away more than USD55 billion in market cap following Management's call with investors.
During the call, the management guided towards weakening profits in the next quarters and stated that high revenue growth was unsustainable in the long term.
Investors however seemed to be spooked not by negative guidance on profitability/growth but by comments on impact of non-business factors and need to adapt to changing times etc.


PDD Holdings (PDD US): Earnings Call Spooks Investors. Is There More than Meets the Eye?

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Consumer Tales &amp; Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.</li>
<li>Temu, (owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD US)</a>, and Shein might need to rethink their US strategies if a new rule stops overseas shipments of tariffed products from bypassing US customs duty.</li>
<li>Singapore passed a groundbreaking law last week to protect gig workers. Other countries may follow suit and this could adversely impact margins. Take note: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>
</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Consumer Tales &amp; Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.
Temu, (owned by PDD US), and Shein might need to rethink their US strategies if a new rule stops overseas shipments of tariffed products from bypassing US customs duty.
Singapore passed a groundbreaking law last week to protect gig workers. Other countries may follow suit and this could adversely impact margins. Take note: Meituan (3690 HK) , Zomato (ZOMATO IN)



Weekly Consumer Tales: Cross Border Comm Crisis-Midea Upsized-LG Elecs' Upside-Platform Workers Law

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

PDD (PDD US): 3Q24, Focuses on Growth, But Not Profit Margin

In 3Q24, PDD released strong revenue growth, but a flat margin. We believe, in 2025, PDD will continue to focus on growth more than profit margin....

Ming Lu

Pinduoduo: Behind Its Efficiency Edge

Comparison between Alibaba and Pinduoduo at similar growth stages reveals Pinduoduo's efficiency edge through higher take-rate despite higher...

Eric Chen

China Consumption Weekly (30 Sep 2024): PDD, Meituan, BYD, Benz, Miniso, Yonghui

Temu becomes the second largest global e-commerce website. Meituan merges departments to cut expenses. Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with...

Ming Lu