Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential KOSDAQ 150 rebalance candidates in June 2025.</li>
<li>The top 10 inclusion candidates have sharply outperformed KOSDAQ so far this year. These 10 stocks are up on average 75.3% YTD, outperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD.</li>
<li>The 10 potential deletion candidates in KOSDAQ 150 in June 2025 are down on average 0.9% YTD, underperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential KOSDAQ 150 rebalance candidates in June 2025.
The top 10 inclusion candidates have sharply outperformed KOSDAQ so far this year. These 10 stocks are up on average 75.3% YTD, outperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD.
The 10 potential deletion candidates in KOSDAQ 150 in June 2025 are down on average 0.9% YTD, underperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD. 


Potential KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in June 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Just over halfway through the review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>, there could be 10 constituent changes.</li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.03-3.6 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.8-4.3 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The list of forecast adds and deletes has been fairly stable over the last month. The forecast adds have run up at a blistering pace and outperformed the forecast deletes.</li>
</ul>


Just over halfway through the review period for the June rebalance of the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX), there could be 10 constituent changes.
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.03-3.6 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.8-4.3 days of ADV.
The list of forecast adds and deletes has been fairly stable over the last month. The forecast adds have run up at a blistering pace and outperformed the forecast deletes.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side; Strong Outperformance

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.</li>
</ul>


Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.
Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX has outperformed the KOSDAQ 150 Index, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PhilEnergy is offering 2.8 million shares in the IPO and expected market cap range of the IPO is from 279 billion won to 318 billion won. </li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 26,300 won to 30,000 won and the total offering amount is 74 billion to 84.4 billion won.</li>
<li>The company's core products include stacking and laser notching equipment used in the rechargeable batteries manufacturing process. </li>
</ul>


PhilEnergy is offering 2.8 million shares in the IPO and expected market cap range of the IPO is from 279 billion won to 318 billion won. 
The IPO price range is from 26,300 won to 30,000 won and the total offering amount is 74 billion to 84.4 billion won.
The company's core products include stacking and laser notching equipment used in the rechargeable batteries manufacturing process. 


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The whitelist lifting means that Japan is now able to export restrict about 1,200 materials/products to Korea. It is expected that Japan will unveil more details of the next measures on Aug 8. Until then, it's only a guessing game. Even after Aug 8, it is very possible that we won't have any clearer visual on the situation. Probably, this is what the Japanese government wants: creating uncertainties one after another. Nonetheless, we are not short of local speculations about which specific products or materials to be export restricted in the next round. Here are the 4 strong candidates being speculated by local media and industry experts.</p><ol>
<li>Silicon wafer</li>
<li>Shadow mask (FMM: fine metal mask)</li>
<li>Image sensor</li>
<li>Li-ion battery separator</li>
</ol>

The whitelist lifting means that Japan is now able to export restrict about 1,200 materials/products to Korea. It is expected that Japan will unveil more details of the next measures on Aug 8. Until then, it's only a guessing game. Even after Aug 8, it is very possible that we won't have any clearer visual on the situation. Probably, this is what the Japanese government wants: creating uncertainties one after another. Nonetheless, we are not short of local speculations about which specific products or materials to be export restricted in the next round. Here are the 4 strong candidates being speculated by local media and industry experts.
Silicon wafer
Shadow mask (FMM: fine metal mask)
Image sensor
Li-ion battery separator


Japan's Second Round of Export Restrictions Against Korea: 4 Candidate Products

South Korea

Philoptics Co. Ltd. develops laser glass cutting equipments. The Company produces laminator, exposure machine, laser processing machine, and Illumination optical systems.

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Philoptics Co Ltd. (161580 KS)

Potential KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in June 2025

The top 10 inclusion candidates have sharply outperformed KOSDAQ so far this year. These 10 stocks are up on average 75.3% YTD.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side; Strong Outperformance

There could be 10 changes for the index in June. The inclusion of two names depends on the index committee. The forecast adds have run up strongly...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Selling: Off to the Races

Data indicates positioning in different types of trades ranging from index pairs to forecast index deletions and stocks with high forward PEs. Some...

Brian Freitas

PhilEnergy IPO Preview

PhilEnergy is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in June 2023. Its core products include stacking and laser notching equipment used in the...

Douglas Kim

Japan's Second Round of Export Restrictions Against Korea: 4 Candidate Products

The whitelist lifting means that Japan is now able to export restrict about 1,200 materials/products to Korea. It is expected that Japan will...

Sanghyun Park

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