Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At today’s close, Lotte Shopping (023530 KS) shows solid contango for a basis trade, with LS Corp (006260 KS) next; the rest are too tight or dry.</li>
<li>Lotte Shopping surprised the market today, changing its dividend record date to a board-set day, wiping out the backwardation that matched its dividend yield until yesterday.</li>
<li>Lotte Shopping’s move could signal other stocks changing dividend dates, causing similar dislocations. With a 7% yield and solid SSF volume, it's prime for aggressive dividend arbitrage.</li>
</ul>


At today’s close, Lotte Shopping (023530 KS) shows solid contango for a basis trade, with LS Corp (006260 KS) next; the rest are too tight or dry.
Lotte Shopping surprised the market today, changing its dividend record date to a board-set day, wiping out the backwardation that matched its dividend yield until yesterday.
Lotte Shopping’s move could signal other stocks changing dividend dates, causing similar dislocations. With a 7% yield and solid SSF volume, it's prime for aggressive dividend arbitrage.


Lotte Shopping and Potentially Others Are Shaping up as Fresh Picks for Dividend Arbitrage Plays

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August. Only 4 trading days to go.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 12 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last month as a few stocks have sold off hard. Some despite being included in global indices.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August. Only 4 trading days to go.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 12 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last month as a few stocks have sold off hard. Some despite being included in global indices.


KOSPI Size Indices: Momentum Stalls; (Some) Upward Migrations Sell-Off

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are expected to have passive flows from global and local index trackers over the next few months and that will add to the impact.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
There are a few stocks that are expected to have passive flows from global and local index trackers over the next few months and that will add to the impact.


KOSPI Size Indices: Outperformance Slows on Momentum Stalls

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>On 11 June, the FSC announced that the restrictions on allocation of treasury shares as new shares post spin-offs is expected to be made into law in 2H 2024.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, starting <strong>1 July,</strong> the financial regulators will make it more difficult for Korean companies to conduct spin-offs that have separate allocation of treasury shares as new shares.</li>
<li>The top five stocks with highest percentage of treasury shares/outstanding shares are up on average 40.5% YTD. </li>
</ul>


On 11 June, the FSC announced that the restrictions on allocation of treasury shares as new shares post spin-offs is expected to be made into law in 2H 2024.
Meanwhile, starting 1 July, the financial regulators will make it more difficult for Korean companies to conduct spin-offs that have separate allocation of treasury shares as new shares.
The top five stocks with highest percentage of treasury shares/outstanding shares are up on average 40.5% YTD. 


Changes in Law for Allocation of Treasury Shares as New Shares Post Spin-Offs in Korea in 2H 2024

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 7th which has an aggregated holding worth USD542.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD266mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Alteogen Inc (196170 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 7th which has an aggregated holding worth USD542.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD266mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Alteogen Inc (196170 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 7th): Alteogen, Naver

South Korea

LS Corp is a holding company, which operated subsidiaries including LS Industrial Systems, LS Cable, LS-Nikko Copper and LS Mtron.

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LS Corp (006260 KS)

Lotte Shopping and Potentially Others Are Shaping up as Fresh Picks for Dividend Arbitrage Plays

Lotte Shopping and potentially some other stocks in the same boat are shaping up as fresh picks for the classic year-end dividend arbitrage plays.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices: Momentum Stalls; (Some) Upward Migrations Sell-Off

There could be 41 changes to the KOSPI Size Indices in September. The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Outperformance Slows on Momentum Stalls

There could be 41 stocks migrating between size segments in September. The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations but the...

Brian Freitas

Changes in Law for Allocation of Treasury Shares as New Shares Post Spin-Offs in Korea in 2H 2024

On 11 June, the FSC announced that the restrictions on allocation of treasury shares as new shares post spin-offs is expected to be made into law...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 7th): Alteogen, Naver

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen (196170 KS), Naver (035420 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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