IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The EGM to approve the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>’s remaining 38.49% stake is on 23 December. Shareholders get one PEXA share per 7.52 Link shares.</li>
<li>This marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. Discussions continue on DND's acquisition of the CM and the BCM business for A$1.27 billion.  </li>
<li>Our base-case SoTP value is A$4.42 per share, which is 28% above the last close. If you haven’t been turned off by the Link saga, it is worth a look.</li>
</ul>


The EGM to approve the PEXA Group (PXA AU) distribution of Link Administration (LNK AU)’s remaining 38.49% stake is on 23 December. Shareholders get one PEXA share per 7.52 Link shares.
This marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. Discussions continue on DND's acquisition of the CM and the BCM business for A$1.27 billion.  
Our base-case SoTP value is A$4.42 per share, which is 28% above the last close. If you haven’t been turned off by the Link saga, it is worth a look.


Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>After the Supreme Court of NSW ruled that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a> cannot stall the Scheme for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>, the Scheme Booklet is now <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02601374-2A1415198?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>.  </li>
<li>Under the revised terms, Pendal shareholders will receive 1 Perpetual (share for every 7 Pendal shares plus $1.65/share cash. The IE concluded the terms are fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 23 December, with an expected implementation date on the 23 January.</li>
</ul>


After the Supreme Court of NSW ruled that Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) cannot stall the Scheme for Pendal Group (PDL AU), the Scheme Booklet is now out.  
Under the revised terms, Pendal shareholders will receive 1 Perpetual (share for every 7 Pendal shares plus $1.65/share cash. The IE concluded the terms are fair and reasonable. 
The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 23 December, with an expected implementation date on the 23 January.


Pendal/​Perpetual: 23 Dec Scheme Meeting

<ul>
<li>The IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>'s cash and scrip offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> to be fair and reasonable as it is within its valuation range of A$4.87-5.71. </li>
<li>Perpetual shareholders are getting the short end of the stick. While possible, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regal-partners-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29119:1" rel="noopener">Regal Partners (RPL AU)</a>/BPEA EQT riding to the rescue of Perpetual shareholders is low. </li>
<li>Pendal shareholders, who are the net beneficiaries, will be supportive of the offer. At the last close prices, the gross spread to the offer is 11.3%.</li>
</ul>


The IE considers Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)'s cash and scrip offer for Pendal Group (PDL AU) to be fair and reasonable as it is within its valuation range of A$4.87-5.71. 
Perpetual shareholders are getting the short end of the stick. While possible, Regal Partners (RPL AU)/BPEA EQT riding to the rescue of Perpetual shareholders is low. 
Pendal shareholders, who are the net beneficiaries, will be supportive of the offer. At the last close prices, the gross spread to the offer is 11.3%.


Pendal (PDL AU)/Perpetual (PPT AU) Scheme Meeting on 23 December

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uzabase-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27798:1" rel="noopener">Uzabase Inc (3966 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ptb-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19198:1" rel="noopener">PTB Group Ltd (PTB AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), 111 Inc (YI US), Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU).
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Warrego Energy (WGO AU), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Uzabase Inc (3966 JP), PTB Group Ltd (PTB AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (21 Nov) - Halcyon, Lifestyle, OZ Minerals, Perpetual/Pendal, Nearmap, Nitro

<ul>
<li>The in-specie distribution is basically a forward block sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. You know it's coming. You don't know how large it is. It is not unlike a lockup situation. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hainan-rubber-industry-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10551:1" rel="noopener">China Hainan Rubber Industry (601118 CH)</a> will start with 36% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>. Founders and friends have ~10%. Getting to 50%+ will be easy.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (B)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A)</a> ratio is near a 19-year low. The last time it dipped to 6% under its 3mo average, it bounced back in 4 weeks. </li>
</ul>


The in-specie distribution is basically a forward block sale of Meituan (3690 HK). You know it's coming. You don't know how large it is. It is not unlike a lockup situation. 

China Hainan Rubber Industry (601118 CH) will start with 36% in Halcyon Agri (HACL SP). Founders and friends have ~10%. Getting to 50%+ will be easy.
The Swire Pacific (B) / Swire Pacific (A) ratio is near a 19-year low. The last time it dipped to 6% under its 3mo average, it bounced back in 4 weeks. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent/Meituan, Halcyon Agri, Swire Pac, Perpetual/Pendal, OZ Minerals

Australia

Perpetual Limited is a financial services company that has two primary activities, wealth management services and corporate trust services. The Company provides funds management, responsible entity services, trustee services, executor services, financial planning, investment administration, superannuation, custody and registry services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)

Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

The PEXA distribution marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. If you haven’t been turned off by the...

Arun George

Pendal/Perpetual: 23 Dec Scheme Meeting

I'd still short Perpetual, Long Pendal. But I hear borrow is tight for PPT. I expect the Pendal deal to get up. Currently trading at a 9.3% gross...

David Blennerhassett

Pendal (PDL AU)/Perpetual (PPT AU) Scheme Meeting on 23 December

While possible, the probability of Regal/BPEA EQT derailing the deal continues to decline. At the last close prices, the gross spread to the offer...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (21 Nov) - Halcyon, Lifestyle, OZ Minerals, Perpetual/Pendal, Nearmap, Nitro

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (61.4%), Alliance Aviation (49.4%), Genex (42.9%), Golden Energy (29.4%), 111 (28.4%), Perpetual...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent/Meituan, Halcyon Agri, Swire Pac, Perpetual/Pendal, OZ Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

The PEXA distribution marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. If you haven’t been turned off by the...

Arun George

Pendal/​Perpetual: 23 Dec Scheme Meeting

I'd still short Perpetual, Long Pendal. But I hear borrow is tight for PPT. I expect the Pendal deal to get up. Currently trading at a 9.3% gross...

David Blennerhassett

Pendal (PDL AU)/Perpetual (PPT AU) Scheme Meeting on 23 December

While possible, the probability of Regal/BPEA EQT derailing the deal continues to decline. At the last close prices, the gross spread to the offer...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (21 Nov) - Halcyon, Lifestyle, OZ Minerals, Perpetual/Pendal, Nearmap, Nitro

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (61.4%), Alliance Aviation (49.4%), Genex (42.9%), Golden Energy (29.4%), 111 (28.4%), Perpetual...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent/Meituan, Halcyon Agri, Swire Pac, Perpetual/Pendal, OZ Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Pendal/Perpetual: 23 Dec Scheme Meeting