China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK： &lt; Metal Slug: Awakenings &gt; officially launches（ + ）</li>
<li>LEGN: CARVYKTI C1Q23 revenue rebounded QoQ but below our expectation(/)</li>
<li>JD/BABA/VIPS/3690.HK: March NBS consumption strengthened, especially apparel and catering (-/+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK： &lt; Metal Slug: Awakenings &gt; officially launches（ + ）
LEGN: CARVYKTI C1Q23 revenue rebounded QoQ but below our expectation(/)
JD/BABA/VIPS/3690.HK: March NBS consumption strengthened, especially apparel and catering (-/+/+/+)


China TMT Update（Apr.20）700 HK/Jd/Baba/Vips/3690.hk/LEGN:  Launches

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Record number of active EM funds overweight in Internet Retail, with 60.9% of funds overweight the iShares EEM ETF.</li>
<li>Alibaba Group Holdings is the most widely held stock in Internet Retail, followed by JD.com Inc. and MercadoLibre.</li>
<li>Growth investors remain optimistic about Internet Retail, while recent price declines prompt Value investors to raise allocations</li>
</ul>


Record number of active EM funds overweight in Internet Retail, with 60.9% of funds overweight the iShares EEM ETF.
Alibaba Group Holdings is the most widely held stock in Internet Retail, followed by JD.com Inc. and MercadoLibre.
Growth investors remain optimistic about Internet Retail, while recent price declines prompt Value investors to raise allocations


Internet Retail: EM Funds Raise Overweights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lalatech-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36848:1" rel="noopener">Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK)</a>  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Lalatech operates via a marketplace model serving merchants and carriers. Its platform facilitates closed-loop transactions from online shipping order booking to intelligent order matching, and automated dispatching to after-sale services.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK)  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.
Lalatech operates via a marketplace model serving merchants and carriers. Its platform facilitates closed-loop transactions from online shipping order booking to intelligent order matching, and automated dispatching to after-sale services.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Lalatech Holdings Limited Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Has Raised a Lot of Money, so Has the Founder

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba broke down Taobao Tmall Center, the most important department, into three departments.</li>
<li>Industry Development Department One is actually “other businesses” after the reorganization.</li>
<li>Following Department One will help investors to understand Alibaba’s financials.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba broke down Taobao Tmall Center, the most important department, into three departments.
Industry Development Department One is actually “other businesses” after the reorganization.
Following Department One will help investors to understand Alibaba’s financials.


Alibaba (9988 HK): “Department One” in Reorganization

<ul>
<li>We expect PDD to report 1Q23's revenue and non-GAAP net income 6.1% and 23.8% ahead of consensus, respectively. </li>
<li>PDD entered an adjustment period, reflected in lower S&amp;M expenditure both overseas and domestically, which has led to declining PDD DAU and moderating growth of Temu’s GMV and losses.</li>
<li>We raise our PDD’s 2023’s EPS estimate by 14%~ to reflect better-than-expected cost control.  We maintain PDD’s BUY rating and US$ 95 TP, implying 21x 2023 P/E.</li>
</ul>


We expect PDD to report 1Q23's revenue and non-GAAP net income 6.1% and 23.8% ahead of consensus, respectively. 
PDD entered an adjustment period, reflected in lower S&amp;M expenditure both overseas and domestically, which has led to declining PDD DAU and moderating growth of Temu’s GMV and losses.
We raise our PDD’s 2023’s EPS estimate by 14%~ to reflect better-than-expected cost control.  We maintain PDD’s BUY rating and US$ 95 TP, implying 21x 2023 P/E.


[PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$95) Earnings Preview]: BUY on Expected Margin Beat

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

China TMT Update（Apr.20）700 HK/Jd/Baba/Vips/3690.hk/LEGN: Launches

700HK： <Metal Slug: Awakenings> officially launches（+）; LEGN: CARVYKTI C1Q23 revenue rebounded QoQ but below our expectation(/); JD/BABA/VIPS...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Internet Retail: EM Funds Raise Overweights

The percentage of funds positioned overweight the Internet Retail sector hits record highs as Value funds enter the picture.

Steven Holden

Lalatech Holdings Limited Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Has Raised a Lot of Money, so Has the Founder

Lalatech Holdings is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (9988 HK): “Department One” in Reorganization

Alibaba broke down Taobao Tmall Center into three departments. Department One is actually “other businesses”. Following Department One will help...

Ming Lu

[PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$95) Earnings Preview]: BUY on Expected Margin Beat

We expect PDD to report 1Q23's revenue and non-GAAP net income 6.1% and 23.8% ahead of consensus. PDD entered an adjustment period in March, which...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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