IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amtd-digital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36214:1" rel="noopener">AMTD Digital (HKD US)</a> shares are up 230x since its listing at US$7.80 per ADS on 15 July. Its market cap is a staggering US$334 billion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amtd-idea-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28137:1" rel="noopener">AMTD Idea Group (AMTD US)</a> accounts for 99.4% of the voting power. In January 2022, it increased its AMTD Digital shareholding to 97.1% of outstanding shares at US$1.2 billion valuation.</li>
<li>AMTD Digital’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp. No sane valuation methodology can support the share price.    </li>
</ul>



AMTD Digital (HKD US) shares are up 230x since its listing at US$7.80 per ADS on 15 July. Its market cap is a staggering US$334 billion.

AMTD Idea Group (AMTD US) accounts for 99.4% of the voting power. In January 2022, it increased its AMTD Digital shareholding to 97.1% of outstanding shares at US$1.2 billion valuation.
AMTD Digital’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp. No sane valuation methodology can support the share price.    


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Zomato (Zomato IN) raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. It recently acquired Blinkit marking its foray into the instant grocery segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Zomato (Zomato IN) raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India.
Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. It recently acquired Blinkit marking its foray into the instant grocery segment.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Zomato IPO Lock-Up - A US$3.4bn Lockup Release Test Case for India

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.
We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

<ul>
<li>Delhivery raised around US$680m in its India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank.</li>
<li>Delhivery is an online logistics service provider which covers express parcel delivery, heavy goods delivery, part truckload (PTL) freight, truckload (TL) freight, supply chain solutions, cross border solutions etc.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics. </li>
</ul>


Delhivery raised around US$680m in its India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank.
Delhivery is an online logistics service provider which covers express parcel delivery, heavy goods delivery, part truckload (PTL) freight, truckload (TL) freight, supply chain solutions, cross border solutions etc.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics. 


Delhivery IPO Trading - Anchor Book Was Good but Overall Demand Was Still Tepid

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) raised around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its India IPO.</li>
<li>As of FY21, LIC was the largest life insurer in India with a 64.1% market share in terms of gross written premium (GWP).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) raised around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its India IPO.
As of FY21, LIC was the largest life insurer in India with a 64.1% market share in terms of gross written premium (GWP).
In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Life Insurance Corporation IPO Trading - Demand Shored up by Policyholders, Trading Won’t Be

India

PB Fintech Limited doing business as PolicyBazaar, develops and publishes an online financial services platform. The Company offers a consumer centric platform by partnering with financial services companies such as insurance companies to enhance their platform from a consumer e-commerce perspective.

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Policybazaar (POLICYBZ IN)

AMTD Digital: Irrational Frenzy 2.0

The shares are currently up 143% today. AMTD’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp. No sane valuation assumption can...

Arun George

Zomato IPO Lock-Up - A US$3.4bn Lockup Release Test Case for India

Zomato raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India. The lock-up on its pre...

Sumeet Singh

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

With 9 trading days to go in the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from Mid to Large and 7 stocks moving the other way. 2 new listings will be...

Brian Freitas

Delhivery IPO Trading - Anchor Book Was Good but Overall Demand Was Still Tepid

Delhivery raised around US$680m in its India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Life Insurance Corporation IPO Trading - Demand Shored up by Policyholders, Trading Won’t Be

Government of India raised around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India in its India IPO. In this note, we will...

Sumeet Singh

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