Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 11 October, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a one-way trade of TWD 49bn (US$1.52bn)</li>
<li>Shorts have been building up in some of the forecast deletes and in a couple of the forecast adds as well.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 11 October, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a one-way trade of TWD 49bn (US$1.52bn)
Shorts have been building up in some of the forecast deletes and in a couple of the forecast adds as well.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Quanta Computer, Eva Airways, Realtek Semiconductor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Quanta Computer, Eva Airways, Realtek Semiconductor.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 27th): Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 indices for the September 2024 index rebal event was confirmed after market close on Friday 6th September 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one change for the T50 index and four separate changes for the T100 index. One of the T100 changes will also trigger a TDIV index deletion.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our final estimates for the index flows for ADDs/DELs and capping flows for the TDIV index.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 indices for the September 2024 index rebal event was confirmed after market close on Friday 6th September 2024.
There will be one change for the T50 index and four separate changes for the T100 index. One of the T100 changes will also trigger a TDIV index deletion.
In this insight, we have presented our final estimates for the index flows for ADDs/DELs and capping flows for the TDIV index.


Quiddity TDIV/50/​​​100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for determining constituent weights/capping for the TDIV index September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one deletion in September 2024 and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be around US$253mn.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for determining constituent weights/capping for the TDIV index September 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one deletion in September 2024 and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be around US$253mn.


Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan's Meteorological Agency has issued a warning of an upcoming serious 8-9-point earthquake</li>
<li>The expected epicenter is home to at least one dozen semiconductor wafer fabrication plants: "Fabs"</li>
<li>While it's hard to predict earthquakes, this news should be considered when investing in the area.</li>
</ul>


Japan's Meteorological Agency has issued a warning of an upcoming serious 8-9-point earthquake
The expected epicenter is home to at least one dozen semiconductor wafer fabrication plants: "Fabs"
While it's hard to predict earthquakes, this news should be considered when investing in the area.


Taiwan

Nuvoton Technology Corp. manudfactures a wide range of semiconductor products. The Company's products lines are Consumer Electronics integrated Circuits (IC) and Computer IC.

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Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

The ETF could have 6 adds and 5 deletes in Dec. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 27th): Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade

The TDIV index change flows and capping flows will be equally distributed over five trading days (close of trading on 20th, 23rd, 24th, 25th, and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

There are 30 expected inflow names and 20 expected outflow names. The top inflow names could outperform the top outflow names over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Could a Japan "Megaquake" Disrupt Semis?

Japan's Meteorological Agency predicted that a catastrophic earthquake is now many times more likely than before. This insight examines what that...

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

The ETF could have 6 adds and 5 deletes in Dec. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 27th): Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Mediatek, Alchip Technologies,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity TDIV/50/​​​100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade

The TDIV index change flows and capping flows will be equally distributed over five trading days (close of trading on 20th, 23rd, 24th, 25th, and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

There are 30 expected inflow names and 20 expected outflow names. The top inflow names could outperform the top outflow names over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Could a Japan "Megaquake" Disrupt Semis?

Japan's Meteorological Agency predicted that a catastrophic earthquake is now many times more likely than before. This insight examines what that...

Jim Handy

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade