Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a> will be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF at the close on 20 September. That was expected.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to sell 20.3m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a>. That is 7x ADV, 4.8% of shares outstanding and 10.4% of float.</li>
<li>With no change in cumulative excess volume over the last few weeks and only a tiny increase in short interest, there could be more positioning in the stock near-term.</li>
</ul>



Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) will be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF at the close on 20 September. That was expected.
Passive trackers will need to sell 20.3m shares of Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT). That is 7x ADV, 4.8% of shares outstanding and 10.4% of float.
With no change in cumulative excess volume over the last few weeks and only a tiny increase in short interest, there could be more positioning in the stock near-term.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Nuvoton Could Take Another Leg Lower

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a> is a near certain deletion from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to sell 20m shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a>. That is over 10% of float and the stock could continue to remain under pressure. </li>
<li>The potential deletion still appears to be under positioned. There could be renewed selling in the stock over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) is a near certain deletion from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.
Passive trackers will need to sell 20m shares in Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT). That is over 10% of float and the stock could continue to remain under pressure. 
The potential deletion still appears to be under positioned. There could be renewed selling in the stock over the next few weeks.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Could Drop Some More

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the September 2024 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs  discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.</li>
<li>Separately, we also have a look at the T50/100 index implications of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> merger situation.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
Today is the base date for the September 2024 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs  discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.
Separately, we also have a look at the T50/100 index implications of the Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) - Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) merger situation.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Sep 24: Nuvoton Tech TDIV DEL Likely; Shin Kong M&A Consequences

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a> should be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September and that will trigger selling of over 4 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a> has underperformed most of its peers since the start of the calendar year and shorts have started to increase in the stock.</li>
<li>Positioning appears light and the recent deletion from an index has increased the real float of the stock. Recent semiconductor weakness could further pressure the stock.</li>
</ul>



Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) should be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September and that will trigger selling of over 4 days of ADV.

Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) has underperformed most of its peers since the start of the calendar year and shorts have started to increase in the stock.
Positioning appears light and the recent deletion from an index has increased the real float of the stock. Recent semiconductor weakness could further pressure the stock.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Deletion & Positioning

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one deletion and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be US$289mn.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the September 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one deletion and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be US$289mn.


Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

Taiwan

Nuvoton Technology Corp. manudfactures a wide range of semiconductor products. The Company's products lines are Consumer Electronics integrated Circuits (IC) and Computer IC.

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Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Nuvoton Could Take Another Leg Lower

Nuvoton Technology will be deleted from the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF at the close on 20 Sep. Passives need to sell over 20m shares -...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Could Drop Some More

Nuvoton Tech should be deleted from the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF in Sep. Passives need to sell over 20m shares - that is over 10% of float....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Sep 24: Nuvoton Tech TDIV DEL Likely; Shin Kong M&A Consequences

We expect Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) to be deleted from the T100 index in September 2024. Since this name is a TDIV member, it is likely to be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Deletion & Positioning

Nuvoton Tech should be deleted from the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF in September and that will trigger selling of over 4x ADV. Positioning...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

Nuvoton (4919 TT)'s potential T100 deletion could also lead to a TDIV deletion. There could be six days of volume to sell in Nuvoton but the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Nuvoton Could Take Another Leg Lower

Nuvoton Technology will be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF at the close on 20 Sep. Passives need to sell over 20m shares -...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Could Drop Some More

Nuvoton Tech should be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF in Sep. Passives need to sell over 20m shares - that is over 10% of float....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Sep 24: Nuvoton Tech TDIV DEL Likely; Shin Kong M&A Consequences

We expect Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) to be deleted from the T100 index in September 2024. Since this name is a TDIV member, it is likely to be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Deletion & Positioning

Nuvoton Tech should be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF in September and that will trigger selling of over 4x ADV. Positioning...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

Nuvoton (4919 TT)'s potential T100 deletion could also lead to a TDIV deletion. There could be six days of volume to sell in Nuvoton but the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Nuvoton Could Take Another Leg Lower

Nuvoton Technology will be deleted from the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF at the close on 20 Sep. Passives need to sell over 20m shares -...

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Could Drop Some More

Nuvoton Tech should be deleted from the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF in Sep. Passives need to sell over 20m shares - that is over 10% of float....

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Sep 24: Nuvoton Tech TDIV DEL Likely; Shin Kong M&A Consequences

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Nuvoton Deletion & Positioning

Nuvoton Tech should be deleted from the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF in September and that will trigger selling of over 4x ADV. Positioning...