Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 7th June 2024.</li>
<li>While the T50 and T100 index changes were perfectly in line with our expectations there were some surprises among the TDIV index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 7th June 2024.
While the T50 and T100 index changes were perfectly in line with our expectations there were some surprises among the TDIV index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 24 Rebal: 15/18 Hits; Updated Flow Expectations and Trade Ideas

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one deletion and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be US$289mn.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the September 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one deletion and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be US$289mn.


Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.</li>
<li>The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).</li>
<li>The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uni-president-enterprises-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7973:1" rel="noopener">Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT)</a> was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

Taiwan

Voltronic Power Technology Corp. designs and manufactures uninterruptible power supply products, inverters, multiple surface mounted devices and other power products. . The Company offers its products to customers around the world.

Walsin Lihwa Corp. manufactures and markets electric wires and cables. The Company's products include bare copper cables, power cables, and aluminum alloy transmission line conductors.  Walsin Lihwa sells its products in Taiwan and exports to Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, China, Korea, and Japan.

AirTac International Group manufactures pneumatic components.  The Company provides different kinds of pneumatic equipment such as pneumatic control components, actuators, F.R.L. combinations, accessories and etc. AirTac International also offers after-sales support on all its products, including installation, application and maintenance of products.

Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corporation manufactures and markets heavy electric equipment, electrical automotive equipment, circuit breakers and switches, and factory automation equipment.

Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corporation (1503 TT)

Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corporation

Teco Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures household appliances, industrial motors, and smart cards.  The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, dryers, single-phase motors, three-phase motors, inverters, rotary compressors, stepping motors, gear motors, and generators.

Chung-Hsin Electric & Machinery MFG. Corp. manufactures and markets power generators and the related parts, air-conditioners, dehumidifiers, and meters. The Company also provides products and service for air-conditioning, environmental engineering, and construction.

Chung Hsin Electric & Machinery Mfg Corp (1513 TT)

King Slide Works Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets ball bearing slides, roller slides, and concealed hinges.

Fortune Electric Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets power transformers, distribution transformers, switchgears, capacitors, and distribution apparatus.

Bizlink Holding Inc., manufactures connectors, cable assemblies, as well as wire harnesses. Their main products include HDMI connectors, display port connectors, solar cables, as well as halogen-free power cords.

Hiwin Technologies Corp. researches, develops, designs, manufactures, sells, and maintains ball screws and linear guideways. The Company also provides linear bearings, linear motor system, linear actuator, positioning measurement system, and other linear motion products.

Seibu Holdings Inc. offers diversified operation. The Company through its subsidiary companies operates transportation, construction, hotel, leisure facilities, and real estate business. Seibu Holdings provides group enterprises strategy planning, operation management, asset management and supply, and business promotions.

Beijing Enterprises Holdings Ltd. is a diversified company.  The Company brews beer; distributes natural gas through pipelines; invests in, designs, constructs and operates water supply and wastewater treatment plants; operates toll roads; disposes of hazardous waste; and offers electronic payment systems.

Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. The Company's businesses also include marine & offshore engineering and urban development comprising industrial parks and business, commercial and residential spaces.

DCC PLC is a sales, marketing, distribution and business support services Group. The Group operates in the following sectors; energy, IT & entertainment products, healthcare, environmental services and food & beverage. DCC's strategy is to grow a sustainable, diversified business.

San Miguel Corporation operates food, beverage, packaging, power, fuel and oil, infrastructure and telecommunications businesses.  The Company produces beverages, poultry, animal feed, meat, 
flour, dairy products, and glass and plastic packaging; generates electricity; refines and markets petroleum products; builds infrastructure; and provides telecommunications services.

The Bidvest Group Limited is the holding company for a group of companies operating in a range of sectors. Subsidiaries manufacture and distribute food and allied products to the catering industry, as well as packaging, stapling, fastening and adhesive tapes, office products, cosmetics, toiletries and skin care products. Bidvest also provides laundering services.

Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS (Sisecam)  manufactures glass.  The Company produces flat glass, bottles, household glassware, glass wire, chromium chemicals, glass fibre, and glass reinforced plastics.  Sisecam also offers packaging materials and machinery, composites and marketing, chemicals, trade, insurance and brokerage services.

Mytilineos Holdings S.A. is an industrial group and an independent energy producer. The Company's activities include aluminum and base metals production, energy and infrastructure projects construction, production of thermal power and supply and trade of natural gas.

NWS Holdings Limited operates businesses under three main divisions: Service, Infrastructure, and Ports. Its Service division comprises facilities, contracting, transport, financial, and environmental. The Infrastructure portfolio includes roads and bridges, energy, and water treatment and waste management. Its port division includes container handling, logistics, and warehousing.

China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. develops, leases, and manages residential and commercial real estate properties in Shenzhen, Wuhan, Hainan, and Shanghai areas.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also produces medical products and sells its products on a retail chain stores basis.

Far Eastern New Century Corporation manufactures, processes and markets textile products.  The Company's products include polyester materials, natural and synthetic yarns,fabrics, towels, bed sheets, and woven and knitted garments. Throughits subsidiary companies, Far Eastern sells cellular phones and accessories.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Far Eastern New Century (1402 TT)

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 24 Rebal: 15/18 Hits; Updated Flow Expectations and Trade Ideas

We estimate one-way flow for the TDIV June 2024 rebal to be around US$1.08bn which translates to a turnover of 17%. We expect the top outflow names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

Nuvoton (4919 TT)'s potential T100 deletion could also lead to a TDIV deletion. There could be six days of volume to sell in Nuvoton but the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

The ETF starts rebalancing at the close today and that will continue over the next 4 trading days. Excluding BizLink, the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 24 Rebal: 15/18 Hits; Updated Flow Expectations and Trade Ideas

We estimate one-way flow for the TDIV June 2024 rebal to be around US$1.08bn which translates to a turnover of 17%. We expect the top outflow names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

Nuvoton (4919 TT)'s potential T100 deletion could also lead to a TDIV deletion. There could be six days of volume to sell in Nuvoton but the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

The ETF starts rebalancing at the close today and that will continue over the next 4 trading days. Excluding BizLink, the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn