Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 2nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, IDP Education, Northern Star Re, Sonic Healthcare, Commonw Bk Austr, Macquarie, BHP, Nextdc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 2nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, IDP Education, Northern Star Re, Sonic Healthcare, Commonw Bk Austr, Macquarie, BHP, Nextdc.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 2nd): Woodside Energy, IDP Education, Northern Star, Sonic Healthcare

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are unlikely to be any inclusions to the index in June while there are three stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of over 4% and a one-way trade of A$78m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:678:1" rel="noopener">AMP Ltd (AMP AU)</a> has been increasing as the stock has dropped and a further decline in the stock could lead to deletion.</li>
</ul>


There are unlikely to be any inclusions to the index in June while there are three stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.
Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of over 4% and a one-way trade of A$78m.
Short interest on AMP Ltd (AMP AU) has been increasing as the stock has dropped and a further decline in the stock could lead to deletion.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> has entered a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> at 0.400 Newmont shares per Newcrest share + US$1.10 special dividend + ordinary dividends (FY2023 dividend of US$0.20).</li>
<li>The proposal is subject to shareholder approval from both sets of shareholders along with regulatory approvals (FIRB, US, Canada, Papua New Guinea).</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP exchange ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates.  </li>
</ul>



Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) has entered a SID with Newmont Mining (NEM US) at 0.400 Newmont shares per Newcrest share + US$1.10 special dividend + ordinary dividends (FY2023 dividend of US$0.20).
The proposal is subject to shareholder approval from both sets of shareholders along with regulatory approvals (FIRB, US, Canada, Papua New Guinea).
The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP exchange ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates.  


Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Binding Offer from Newmont

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 28th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Bhp, Pilbara Minerals, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo, Northern Star Re.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 28th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Bhp, Pilbara Minerals, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo, Northern Star Re.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): BHP, Pilbara, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> disclosed a revised non-binding indicative privatisation proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> at 0.400 Newmont shares per Newcrest share + US$1.10 special dividend. </li>
<li>Since the 6 February announcement, the average implied value of the revised offer is A$29.14 per share, which is 11.6% higher than the average of the previous offer of A$26.12.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. Expect a binding proposal. </li>
</ul>



Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) disclosed a revised non-binding indicative privatisation proposal from Newmont Mining (NEM US) at 0.400 Newmont shares per Newcrest share + US$1.10 special dividend. 
Since the 6 February announcement, the average implied value of the revised offer is A$29.14 per share, which is 11.6% higher than the average of the previous offer of A$26.12.
The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. Expect a binding proposal. 


Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Newmont Returns with a Revised Offer

Australia

Northern Star Resources Ltd manufactures precious metals. The Company provides mining and production of gold. Northern Star Resources serves customers in Australia and North America.

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Northern Star Resources (NST AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 2nd): Woodside Energy, IDP Education, Northern Star, Sonic Healthcare

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, IDP Education, Northern Star Re,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

There could be 3 deletions for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index in June. Capping changes could result in one-way turnover of 4.1% and a one...

Brian Freitas

Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Binding Offer from Newmont

The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. At the...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): BHP, Pilbara, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Bhp, Pilbara Minerals, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Newmont Returns with a Revised Offer

The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. Expect a...

Arun George

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