IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a>, China's largest purified drinking water company, is premarketing an HKEx to raise US$0.5-1 billion.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157572" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:158613" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161273" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and examine CR Beverage's potential valuation range for the first time.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK), China's largest purified drinking water company, is premarketing an HKEx to raise US$0.5-1 billion.
We previously discussed the IPO in CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case, CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case and CR Beverage IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and examine CR Beverage's potential valuation range for the first time.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a>, China's largest purified drinking water company, is premarketing an HKEx to raise US$0.5-1 billion.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157572" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:158613" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case</a>. In this note, we examine the latest updates in the PHIP.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on core business offsetting slowing growth with margin improvement, beverage’s fast-paced growth, narrowing the margin gap with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a>, and return to FCF generation.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK), China's largest purified drinking water company, is premarketing an HKEx to raise US$0.5-1 billion.
We previously discussed the IPO in CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case and CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine the latest updates in the PHIP.
The investment case rests on core business offsetting slowing growth with margin improvement, beverage’s fast-paced growth, narrowing the margin gap with Nongfu Spring (9633 HK), and return to FCF generation.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our initial thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will relook at valuations post its PHIP updates.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our initial thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will relook at valuations post its PHIP updates.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Updated Thoughts on Valuation

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Nongfu Spring is able to take a price war to grab market share,but the strategy of CR Beverage forced to cut prices may not work,making its profit margin further decline.</li>
<li>CR Beverage’s business model is “single business + scale expansion”, worse than “multi-category structure + new product incubation”.Future performance growth may inevitably slow down if without the second growth curve.</li>
<li>Whether in terms of product/revenue structure, profitability, or sustainability of growth momentum, CR Beverage isn’t as good as Nongfu Spring. Valuation of CR Beverage should be lower than Nongfu Spring.</li>
</ul>


Nongfu Spring is able to take a price war to grab market share,but the strategy of CR Beverage forced to cut prices may not work,making its profit margin further decline.
CR Beverage’s business model is “single business + scale expansion”, worse than “multi-category structure + new product incubation”.Future performance growth may inevitably slow down if without the second growth curve.
Whether in terms of product/revenue structure, profitability, or sustainability of growth momentum, CR Beverage isn’t as good as Nongfu Spring. Valuation of CR Beverage should be lower than Nongfu Spring.


Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will look at updates from its most recent filings.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will look at updates from its most recent filings.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing

China

Nongfu Spring Co. Ltd. supplies soft drinks. The Company develops, produces, and sells bottled mineral water, fruit juice, sports drinks, and tea drinks. Nongfu Spring also offers barreled mineral water door-to-door services.

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Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)

CR Beverage IPO: Valuation First-Look

CR Beverage is premarketing an HKEx to raise US$0.5-1 billion. In this note, we present our forecasts and examine CR Beverage's potential valuation...

Arun George

CR Beverage IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on core business offsetting slowing growth with margin improvement, beverage’s fast-paced growth, narrowing the margin...

Arun George

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Updated Thoughts on Valuation

China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about our updated thoughts...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Valuation performance of CR Beverage after listing in HK would be a challenge. Single business structure/price war/fierce competition will lead to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing

China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about updates from its PHIP...

Sumeet Singh

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