Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.</li>
<li>After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.
After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.
As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.


MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There are only few more days left in the reference period used for the constituent selection process for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Currently, I see 6 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and 4 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.
There are only few more days left in the reference period used for the constituent selection process for the June 2023 Rebalance.
Currently, I see 6 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and 4 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​​SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The BSE AllCap March 2023 Rebalance results were announced and this changes the main universe from which SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 members are selected.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the recent updates to my expectations and the price and volume performance of the candidates.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.
The BSE AllCap March 2023 Rebalance results were announced and this changes the main universe from which SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 members are selected.
In this insight, we take a look at the recent updates to my expectations and the price and volume performance of the candidates.


Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Axis New Year Picks: We are proud to announce our exclusive report: Axis New Year Picks 2023 – Focus on 6 Golden Themes.</li><li>The report contains deeply-researched 9 stocks that are best-placed to deliver excellent performance in 2023 and thereby strengthen your investment portfolio.</li><li>Axis Alpha: Axis Alpha reported an excellent monthly strike rate of 78% in Dec’22. It continued to deliver robust returns with absolute profits of over 5.4 Lc since its inception in May’20.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis New Year Picks: We are proud to announce our exclusive report: Axis New Year Picks 2023 – Focus on 6 Golden Themes.The report contains deeply-researched 9 stocks that are best-placed to deliver excellent performance in 2023 and thereby strengthen your investment portfolio.Axis Alpha: Axis Alpha reported an excellent monthly strike rate of 78% in Dec’22. It continued to deliver robust returns with absolute profits of over 5.4 Lc since its inception in May’20.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Incorporated in 1958, NMDC is India's largest merchant iron ore miner.</li><li>During FY22, NMDC’s iron ore production volume was at ~42 million tonne (MT) while sales volume for FY22 was at ~41 MT</li><li>NMDC is one of the lowest cost iron ore producers in the world.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Incorporated in 1958, NMDC is India's largest merchant iron ore miner.During FY22, NMDC’s iron ore production volume was at ~42 million tonne (MT) while sales volume for FY22 was at ~41 MTNMDC is one of the lowest cost iron ore producers in the world.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NMDC - Muted Iron Ore Realisation Impacts Performance…

India

NMDC Limited explores for minerals. The Company is exploring for iron ore, copper, rock phosphate, lime stone, dolomite, gypsum, bentonite, magnesite, diamond, tin, tungsten, graphite, and beach sands.

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Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

BSE 100 and BSE 200 ADDs have historically outperformed the SENSEX index on average from the end of the reference period to the announcement of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

Following the March 2023 BSE AllCap rebalance, NMDC could be a BSE 200 ADD as it stands and Apl Apollo Tubes has fallen out of the "IN AS-IS" section.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Axis Research Scorecard Report - Dec 22

Axis New Year Picks: We are proud to announce our exclusive report: Axis New Year Picks 2023 – Focus on 6 Golden Themes.

Axis Direct

NMDC - Muted Iron Ore Realisation Impacts Performance…

Incorporated in 1958, NMDC is India's largest merchant iron ore miner. During FY22, NMDC’s iron ore production volume was at ~42 million tonne (MT)...

ICICI Securities Limited

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​​SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

BSE 100 and BSE 200 ADDs have historically outperformed the SENSEX index on average from the end of the reference period to the announcement of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

Following the March 2023 BSE AllCap rebalance, NMDC could be a BSE 200 ADD as it stands and Apl Apollo Tubes has fallen out of the "IN AS-IS" section.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Axis Research Scorecard Report - Dec 22

Axis New Year Picks: We are proud to announce our exclusive report: Axis New Year Picks 2023 – Focus on 6 Golden Themes.

Axis Direct

NMDC - Muted Iron Ore Realisation Impacts Performance…

Incorporated in 1958, NMDC is India's largest merchant iron ore miner. During FY22, NMDC’s iron ore production volume was at ~42 million tonne (MT)...

ICICI Securities Limited

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD