Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There were index review announcements for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and some global indices last week.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of review cutoffs early in the coming week followed by announcements for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and STAR100 Index later in the week.</li>
<li>Another week of outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share ETF (2828 HK)</a> as inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US)</a> continue.</li>
</ul>


There were index review announcements for the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and some global indices last week.
There are a bunch of review cutoffs early in the coming week followed by announcements for the STAR50 INDEX and STAR100 Index later in the week.
Another week of outflows for Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) and Hang Seng H Share ETF (2828 HK) as inflows to iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US) continue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

<ul>
<li>At 82 index constituents currently, we expect the index committee to progress towards reaching 100 constituents. We are (highly) unlikely to reach the target this calendar year though.</li>
<li>We highlight nine stocks that have a decent chance at being added to the index over the next couple of rebalances. All companies are profitable and meet inclusion requirements.</li>
<li>The market consultation on proposed changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to more inclusions from the Information Technology sector from the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


At 82 index constituents currently, we expect the index committee to progress towards reaching 100 constituents. We are (highly) unlikely to reach the target this calendar year though.
We highlight nine stocks that have a decent chance at being added to the index over the next couple of rebalances. All companies are profitable and meet inclusion requirements.
The market consultation on proposed changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to more inclusions from the Information Technology sector from the June rebalance.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

New Oriental Education & Techn / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Today, after Hong Kong market close, the Ministry of Education issued a new draft regulation on K12 tutoring. </li>
<li>I have written before on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn-cc88998e-fe0d-4a03-b544-f3e9836b06a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:531:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US)</a> and China Beststudy that there is now a equilibrium reached between all parties on tutoring in China. </li>
<li>The new draft regulation basically puts it into concrete policy, which should alleviate investor concern on the sector. </li>
</ul>


Today, after Hong Kong market close, the Ministry of Education issued a new draft regulation on K12 tutoring. 
I have written before on New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US) and China Beststudy that there is now a equilibrium reached between all parties on tutoring in China. 
The new draft regulation basically puts it into concrete policy, which should alleviate investor concern on the sector. 


EDU/TAL:  China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

<ul>
<li>The review period for the next rebalance of a global index kicks off this week and that is where a lot of eyes will be focused.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> while there were redemptions from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Inflows continue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US)</a> while there were outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the next rebalance of a global index kicks off this week and that is where a lot of eyes will be focused.
There were big inflows to ETFs tracking the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) while there were redemptions from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 
Inflows continue for iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US) while there were outflows from iShares ACWI ETF (ACWI US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo

China

New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. offers educational services. The Company offers foreign language training, test preparation courses for admissions and assessment tests in the United States, the PRC and Commonwealth countries, primary and secondary school education, and other services. New Oriental Education & Technology Group also operates software development.

TAL Education Group provides educational services. The Company offers comprehensive tutoring services to students covering core academic subjects such as mathematics, English, Chinese, physics, chemistry, political science, and history, biology. TAL Education Group serves students in China.

Fu Shou Yuan International Group, Ltd. is a death care service provider in China.  The Company operates cemeteries and funeral facilities.

China Education Group Holdings Limited offers educational services. The Company provides private universities operating services, education training services, and other services. China Education Group Holdings offers services in Hong Kong.

East Buy Holding Limited operates livestreaming platform businesses. The Company provides private label products including agricultural products, food, books, and household goods. East Buy Holding also conducts college education businesses.

Xiamen Unigroup Xue Co., Ltd. offers various educational services. The Company provides after-school tutoring and education consulting. Unigroup Xue also participates in real estate development and investment activities.

Zhejiang Yasha Decoration Company Ltd. provides decorating services for large-scale infrastructure, high-end luxury hotel and luxury residential property.

China Chunlai Education Group Co., Ltd. provides educational services. The Company offers private higher education services and other services. China Chunlai Education Group provides services in China.

China East Education Holdings Limited provides vocational training educational services. The Company offers culinary education, internet technology education, automotive education, and other services. China East Education Holdings provides services in China.

Shanghai Xin Nanyang Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures communication products and industrial equipment, develops cable TV network, security trading, and communication systems, provides network integration, education, and precision processing services.

Service Corporation International provides death care services worldwide.  The Company operates funeral service locations, cemeteries, and crematoria.  Service also sells prearranged funeral services in most of its service markets.

ADT Inc. provides commercial security systems and services. The Company offers home and business automation solutions which includes temperature, burglary, flood, fire and smoke, and medical alert monitoring, as well as security cameras, remote access, and wireless home security systems. ADT serves customers in the United States.

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. provides child care and early education services as well as other services designed to help employers and families better address the challenges of work and life. The Company provides services primarily under multi-year contracts with employers who offer child care and other dependent care solutions as part of their employee benefits packages.

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM US)

H&R Block, Inc. provides a wide range of financial products and services through its subsidiaries.  The Company provides tax services to the general public, accounting and consulting services, and consumer financial and personal productivity software.  H&R Block provides its tax services to clients in the United States and other countries.

Golden MV Holdings, Inc. engages in the development and sale of memorial lots across various parts of the Philippines. The Company develops, constructs, and operates columbarium facilities.

Graham Holdings Company is a diversified education and media company whose principal operations include educational services, newspaper print and online publishing, television broadcasting and cable television systems.

Stride, Inc. is a technology-based education company. The Company offers proprietary curriculum, software, and educational solutions created for online delivery to students in kindergarten through 12th grade and K-12.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides online post secondary education services. The Company offers graduate and undergraduate degree programs in disciplines of education, business, and healthcare.

IDP Education Limited provides student placement services to enroll into universities, schools, and colleges. The Company offers student services, such as university and course guidance, visa application and scholarships assistance, and pre-departure support services. IDP Education operates worldwide.

Strategic Education, Inc. provides educational services. The College offers working adults undergraduate and graduate degree programs in business and public administration, accounting, and information technology. Strategic Education provides courses in the eastern United States.

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New Oriental Education & Techn (9901 HK)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

The announcement of the inclusions to the HSI at the March rebalance will be made post market close today. Most stocks are trading lower which is...

Brian Freitas

EDU/TAL: China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

The Ministry of Education issues new draft regulation on K12 tutoring in China, bringing clarity and alleviating investor concerns.

Steve Zhou, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

The announcement of the inclusions to the HSI at the March rebalance will be made post market close today. Most stocks are trading lower which is...

Brian Freitas

EDU/TAL: China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

​The Ministry of Education issues new draft regulation on K12 tutoring in China, bringing clarity and alleviating investor concerns.

Steve Zhou, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Ministry of Education issues new draft regulation on K12 tutoring in China, bringing clarity and alleviating investor concerns.