Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.</li>
<li>Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.</li>
<li>On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. </li>
</ul>


China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group (BABA US) New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.
Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.
On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. 


China:  EM Active Fund Positioning Update.  BABA Drives Allocations Lower

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Hope Education Group Co Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Following share price plunge even with decent FY21 result, most of the risks for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hope-education-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27321:1" rel="noopener">Hope Education Group (1765 HK)</a> have been released, but its return profile looks more interesting now.</li>
<li>We see bright spots including good cash flow, solid financial position, positive business outlook, new stock option scheme and limited regulatory exposure the key investment merits. </li>
<li>Valuations appear undemanding at 10.4x and 8.4x PERs for FY21 and FY22. They are at premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-yuhua-education" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23627:1" rel="noopener">China Yuhua Education (6169 HK)</a> but discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Following share price plunge even with decent FY21 result, most of the risks for Hope Education Group (1765 HK) have been released, but its return profile looks more interesting now.
We see bright spots including good cash flow, solid financial position, positive business outlook, new stock option scheme and limited regulatory exposure the key investment merits. 
Valuations appear undemanding at 10.4x and 8.4x PERs for FY21 and FY22. They are at premium to China Yuhua Education (6169 HK) but discount to China Education Group (839 HK). 


Hope Education (1765 HK): Hopeful or Hopeless?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-needs-to-come-at-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-going-down-the-autohome-route" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, see here and here.
In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics.


Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3826:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (WB US)</a> is offering 11 million shares to raise $471 million through an HKEx secondary listing. The primary/secondary spilt is 50:50 (Sina is the secondary seller).  </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-braving-uncertainty" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61784" rel="noopener">Weibo Secondary Listing: Braving Uncertainty</a>, we noted that while the near-term visibility remains limited, the valuation at last close is undemanding in comparison to historical P/E and PEG ratios. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at Weibo’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Weibo pricing its H-shares at a discount of 4-5% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Weibo Corp (WB US) is offering 11 million shares to raise $471 million through an HKEx secondary listing. The primary/secondary spilt is 50:50 (Sina is the secondary seller).  
In Weibo Secondary Listing: Braving Uncertainty, we noted that while the near-term visibility remains limited, the valuation at last close is undemanding in comparison to historical P/E and PEG ratios. 
In this note, we will look at Weibo’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Weibo pricing its H-shares at a discount of 4-5% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.


Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a> again announced solid result with adjusted net profit surged by 57.1% to Rmb1.55bn in FY21, ahead of guidance and also better than market expectations.</li>
<li>Management suggests positive FY22 outlook as student recruitment is encouraging, new schools and campuses add momentum and potential acquisitions provide upside. Unified new student enrollment increased 34% YoY.</li>
<li>CEG stays as our top pick in China Private Education Sector, and its PER of 14.5x for FY22F is undemanding given sustained solid earnings outlook and less regulatory exposure.</li>
</ul>



China Education Group (839 HK) again announced solid result with adjusted net profit surged by 57.1% to Rmb1.55bn in FY21, ahead of guidance and also better than market expectations.
Management suggests positive FY22 outlook as student recruitment is encouraging, new schools and campuses add momentum and potential acquisitions provide upside. Unified new student enrollment increased 34% YoY.
CEG stays as our top pick in China Private Education Sector, and its PER of 14.5x for FY22F is undemanding given sustained solid earnings outlook and less regulatory exposure.


China Education Group (839 HK): Post-FY21 Result Call Suggests Robust Year Ahead

China

New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. offers educational services. The Company offers foreign language training, test preparation courses for admissions and assessment tests in the United States, the PRC and Commonwealth countries, primary and secondary school education, and other services. New Oriental Education & Technology Group also operates software development.

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New Oriental Education & Techn (EDU US)

China: EM Active Fund Positioning Update. BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China allocations fall to 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group, New Oriental Education, China Mobile and CNOOC Ltd.

Steven Holden

Hope Education (1765 HK): Hopeful or Hopeless?

With a focus on higher education, Hope Education should see lesser regulatory risks. Good cash flow, solid financial position and positive business...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we look at the allocation results and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

Considering the weak sentiment on Chinese tech names, we think that Weibo pricing its H-shares at a wider discount of around 4-5% to its ADSs will...

Arun George

China Education Group (839 HK): Post-FY21 Result Call Suggests Robust Year Ahead

After beating expectation in FY21 result, positive outlook will extend into FY22 as student recruitment is encouraging, new schools and campuses...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China: EM Active Fund Positioning Update. BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China allocations fall to 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group, New Oriental Education, China Mobile and CNOOC Ltd.

Steven Holden

Hope Education (1765 HK): Hopeful or Hopeless?

With a focus on higher education, Hope Education should see lesser regulatory risks. Good cash flow, solid financial position and positive business...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we look at the allocation results and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Considering the weak sentiment on Chinese tech names, we think that Weibo pricing its H-shares at a wider discount of around 4-5% to its ADSs will...

Arun George

China Education Group (839 HK): Post-FY21 Result Call Suggests Robust Year Ahead

After beating expectation in FY21 result, positive outlook will extend into FY22 as student recruitment is encouraging, new schools and campuses...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views