IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Autohome Inc (Adr) / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autohome-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20234:1" rel="noopener">Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US)</a> has launched a $1 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. The primary/secondary spilt of the offer is 66.7%/33.3%. The selling shareholder is Yun Chen which is a non-wholly-owned subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group Co Of China (601318 CH)</a>.</p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/autohome-secondary-listing-motoring-online" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48751" rel="noopener">Autohome Secondary Listing: Motoring Online</a> outlined our views on Autohome’ fundamentals and valuation. The H shares will be priced on 9 March (Tuesday) and are scheduled for listing on 15 March.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In this note, we will look at Autohome’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Autohome will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. Overall, we think that Autohome pricing its H-shares around a 2% discount to its ADSs will be reasonable.</p></div>

Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US) has launched a $1 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. The primary/secondary spilt of the offer is 66.7%/33.3%. The selling shareholder is Yun Chen which is a non-wholly-owned subsidiary of Ping An Insurance Group Co Of China (601318 CH).In Autohome Secondary Listing: Motoring Online outlined our views on Autohome’ fundamentals and valuation. The H shares will be priced on 9 March (Tuesday) and are scheduled for listing on 15 March.  In this note, we will look at Autohome’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Autohome will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. Overall, we think that Autohome pricing its H-shares around a 2% discount to its ADSs will be reasonable.

Autohome Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p>Autohome plans to raise around US$864m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. Unlike the prior secondary listing, this one contains a sell down as well</p>
<p>I have covered most aspects of the deal in my earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/autohome-secondary-listing-doesn-t-need-the-cash-at-all" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Autohome Secondary Listing - Doesn’t Need the Cash at All. </a>In this note, I'll only touch upon the updates since my last note.</p>

Autohome plans to raise around US$864m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. Unlike the prior secondary listing, this one contains a sell down as well
I have covered most aspects of the deal in my earlier note, Autohome Secondary Listing - Doesn’t Need the Cash at All. In this note, I'll only touch upon the updates since my last note.

Autohome Secondary Listing - Going Down a Different Route

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p>As the US-listed Chinese tech firms such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27255:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music (TME US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vipshop-holdings-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1088:1" rel="noopener">Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a> rush for secondary listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange amidst the uncertainty surrounding the US policy framework, in this insight, we analyse the ADR/HKEX discount/premium behaviour of the 10 most recent secondary listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p>

As the US-listed Chinese tech firms such as Bilibili Inc (BILI US), Tencent Music (TME US), Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US), and JOYY (YY US) rush for secondary listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange amidst the uncertainty surrounding the US policy framework, in this insight, we analyse the ADR/HKEX discount/premium behaviour of the 10 most recent secondary listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

An Analysis of ADR/HKEX Discount Behavior As The US Listed Chinese Tech Rush To Hong Kong

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<p>2020 marked our second full year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM). While the year started off on a precarious note for ECM, it ended with very strong momentum. Even as IPOs have hogged the limelight in 2020, we actually ended up covering more than twice the number of placements as IPOs. </p><p>We ended 2020 with an accuracy rate of 72.7% across 88 IPOs that we covered and 70.1% across 174 placements. While our placements hit rate improved, our IPO hit rate took a dip from 2019.</p><p>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex-Korea), including China ADRs.</p>

2020 marked our second full year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM). While the year started off on a precarious note for ECM, it ended with very strong momentum. Even as IPOs have hogged the limelight in 2020, we actually ended up covering more than twice the number of placements as IPOs. We ended 2020 with an accuracy rate of 72.7% across 88 IPOs that we covered and 70.1% across 174 placements. While our placements hit rate improved, our IPO hit rate took a dip from 2019.For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex-Korea), including China ADRs.

Aequitas 2020 IPOs and Placements Performance - IPOs in the Limelight but Placements Stole the Show

17 Education & Technology Grou / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17-education-and-technology-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31033:1" rel="noopener">17 Education and Technology (YQ US)</a> is an online leading education technology company in China. It ranked fifth in online K-12 large-class after-school tutoring market as measured by gross billing and paid course enrolments in 2019 and 1H20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</p></div><div><p>17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, 17 Education will raise net proceeds of $265.2 million. Indications of interest have been received for up to $80 million of the offer shares from the CPE Fund, which is managed by China Pinnacle Equity Management. The IPO will be priced on 3 December. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/17-education-technology-ipo-initiation-acquired-taste" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45820" rel="noopener">17 Education &amp; Technology IPO Initiation: Acquired Taste</a>, we stated that investing in the China online education sector requires acceptance that the high upfront losses are a necessary evil which should generate returns through the lifetime value of K-12 students. For investors comfortable with this dynamic, we believe that 17 Education has attractive fundamentals. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive. </p></div></div></div>

17 Education and Technology (YQ US) is an online leading education technology company in China. It ranked fifth in online K-12 large-class after-school tutoring market as measured by gross billing and paid course enrolments in 2019 and 1H20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, 17 Education will raise net proceeds of $265.2 million. Indications of interest have been received for up to $80 million of the offer shares from the CPE Fund, which is managed by China Pinnacle Equity Management. The IPO will be priced on 3 December. In 17 Education &amp; Technology IPO Initiation: Acquired Taste, we stated that investing in the China online education sector requires acceptance that the high upfront losses are a necessary evil which should generate returns through the lifetime value of K-12 students. For investors comfortable with this dynamic, we believe that 17 Education has attractive fundamentals. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive. 

17 Education & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

China

New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. offers educational services. The Company offers foreign language training, test preparation courses for admissions and assessment tests in the United States, the PRC and Commonwealth countries, primary and secondary school education, and other services. New Oriental Education & Technology Group also operates software development.

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New Oriental Education & Techn (EDU US)

Autohome Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

Autohome will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. We think that a 2% discount...

Arun George

Autohome Secondary Listing - Going Down a Different Route

Autohome plans to raise around US$864m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. Unlike the prior secondary listing, this one contains a sell down as...

Sumeet Singh

An Analysis of ADR/HKEX Discount Behavior As The US Listed Chinese Tech Rush To Hong Kong

As the US-listed Chinese tech firms rush for secondary listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, we analyse the ADR/HKEX discount behaviour of the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Aequitas 2020 IPOs and Placements Performance - IPOs in the Limelight but Placements Stole the Show

2020 marked our second year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering ECM. In 2020 we had an accuracy rate of...

Sumeet Singh

17 Education & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.

Arun George

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