Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

New China Life Insurance / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>APAC investors are welcoming rate cuts, with Hong Kong remaining a buyers' market, according to Colliers.</li><li>KKR &amp; M&amp;G invest $509M in an Aussie Warehouse Portfolio, while PGIM JV acquires Queensland sheds.</li><li>Vanke partners with government insurers for a $220M housing JV, demonstrating state support in the real estate sector.</li></ul>

APAC investors are welcoming rate cuts, with Hong Kong remaining a buyers' market, according to Colliers.KKR &amp; M&amp;G invest $509M in an Aussie Warehouse Portfolio, while PGIM JV acquires Queensland sheds.Vanke partners with government insurers for a $220M housing JV, demonstrating state support in the real estate sector.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (20-Feb-2025): APAC investors love rate cuts, HK is buyers' market: Colliers

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-petroleum-chemical-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:369:1" rel="noopener">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK)</a> broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).

PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) and China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK) broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.</li>
<li>Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.</li>
<li>Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  </li>
</ul>


China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.
Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.
Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia bounce higher. Spread curve torsion is mild given how much AH is widening again. Two weeks in a row we see a big net move.</li>
<li>For a month I thought warning signs were flashing and spreads could widen. They are still widening despite really big net SOUTHBOUND buying.</li>
<li>I expected the right thing to do was hunker down and be flat H/A risk. Hs underperformed As by 3.7% over two weeks so it's tough to be flat enough.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia bounce higher. Spread curve torsion is mild given how much AH is widening again. Two weeks in a row we see a big net move.
For a month I thought warning signs were flashing and spreads could widen. They are still widening despite really big net SOUTHBOUND buying.
I expected the right thing to do was hunker down and be flat H/A risk. Hs underperformed As by 3.7% over two weeks so it's tough to be flat enough.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 Apr 2025):  Sharp AH Premia Widening

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The NFRA announced to raise the cap for Chinese insurers’ equity asset allocation ratio corresponding to the comprehensive solvency ratio (CSR) by 5% for whose CSR ranging from (150%, 200%), (250%, 300%) and above 350%.</li><li>The financial regulator eased equity investment upside for Chinese insurers to broaden incremental capital injection to the real economy in joint with other efforts to shore up the market sentiment, in our view.</li><li>From a top-down perspective, we reckon the action could bring RMB1.66tn incremental funds to the stock market if the industry expanded the equity allocation to the upper limit of 30% of total insurance funds by end-FY24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NFRA announced to raise the cap for Chinese insurers’ equity asset allocation ratio corresponding to the comprehensive solvency ratio (CSR) by 5% for whose CSR ranging from (150%, 200%), (250%, 300%) and above 350%.The financial regulator eased equity investment upside for Chinese insurers to broaden incremental capital injection to the real economy in joint with other efforts to shore up the market sentiment, in our view.From a top-down perspective, we reckon the action could bring RMB1.66tn incremental funds to the stock market if the industry expanded the equity allocation to the upper limit of 30% of total insurance funds by end-FY24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - Raised Cap for Insurer’s Equity Asset Allocation Could Unleash Max. RMB 1.7tn...

China

New China Life Insurance Company Limited provides life insurance in local and foreign currencies, acts as an insurance agent, provides checks, claims and insurance consulting. The Company's main products include life insurance, accident insurance, health insurance products and services.

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New China Life Insurance (601336 CH)

Asia Real Estate Tracker (20-Feb-2025): APAC investors love rate cuts, HK is buyers' market: Colliers

Investors in APAC embrace rate cuts, HK remains a buyers' market, with major investments in Aussie warehouse portfolio, housing JV, and data centre...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

China Insurance: PICC P&C Vs. CPIC

Bullish on PICC P&C outlook as it's expected to benefit the most from China's motor insurance recovery. Bearish on CPIC's because its P&C is much...

Alec Tseung

A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 Apr 2025): Sharp AH Premia Widening

Significant widening this week, even after a big rebound by Hs on Friday. Some of this may reverse next week, but I think the trade is still to see...

Travis Lundy

China Insurance - Raised Cap for Insurer’s Equity Asset Allocation Could Unleash Max. RMB 1.7tn...

The NFRA announced to raise the cap for Chinese insurers’ equity asset allocation ratio corresponding to the comprehensive solvency ratio (CSR) by...

CMB International

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