Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK：Tencent's &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; is set to be released in 3Q24.(+)</li>
<li>Douyin/3690 HK: Douyin to acquire payment license for local life services biz, implying heightened competition for Meituan.（-）</li>
<li>TCOM: Railway passenger volume during Qingming holiday expected to reach 111% of 2019 level, showing a decline compared to the Spring Festival.</li>
</ul>


700 HK：Tencent's &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; is set to be released in 3Q24.(+)
Douyin/3690 HK: Douyin to acquire payment license for local life services biz, implying heightened competition for Meituan.（-）
TCOM: Railway passenger volume during Qingming holiday expected to reach 111% of 2019 level, showing a decline compared to the Spring Festival.


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/Douyin/3690 HK/TCOM US/BABA US/NTES US

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With no stocks in outright inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round-trip trade of US$1.51bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> is expected to be the largest buy in June following the stock being the largest sell at the March rebalance (also due to capping).</li>
</ul>


With no stocks in outright inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June.
Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round-trip trade of US$1.51bn.

Li Auto (2015 HK) is expected to be the largest buy in June following the stock being the largest sell at the March rebalance (also due to capping).


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$1.5bn in June

<ul>
<li>NTES US/1024 HK: The NPPA has released the approval results for domestic online games in March.(+/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US /1024 HK: Alibaba to start charging live-streaming commissions (+)</li>
<li>241 HK: Alibaba Health updates its guidance for fiscal year 2023-24 and fiscal year 2024-25, introducing Alimama advertising revenue, but it is still not cheap（/）</li>
</ul>


NTES US/1024 HK: The NPPA has released the approval results for domestic online games in March.(+/+)
BABA US/JD US/PDD US /1024 HK: Alibaba to start charging live-streaming commissions (+)
241 HK: Alibaba Health updates its guidance for fiscal year 2023-24 and fiscal year 2024-25, introducing Alimama advertising revenue, but it is still not cheap（/）


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/1024 HK/BABA US /JD US /PDD US /241 HK/Douyin/ 3690 HK/ TCOM

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the Feb batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>However, neither Tencent and Netease got any approval in March.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the Feb batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
However, neither Tencent and Netease got any approval in March.


Tencent/Netease: Both Zeroed in March Game Approval

China

Kunlun Tech Co., Ltd. offers comprehensive Internet value-added services. The Company focuses on social network interactive and online game fields. Kunlun Tech also provides localized translation outsourcing and agency advertising services.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

China Ruyi Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on online streaming video and internet community businesses. China Ruyi Holdings also manufactures and sells photographic, electronic, and multimedia accessories.

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group Co.,Ltd designs, develops, and operates mobile games and web games. The Company also provides game promotion, customer service, top-up payment, and other services. 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group conducts its businesses in China.

37 Interactive Entertainment N (002555 CH)

Zhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd. specializes in entertainment media production. The Company's products include Mandarin films, TV programs and advertisements.

Zhejiang Huace Film & Televisi (300133 CH)

Shandong Publishing & Media Co., Ltd offers publishing services. The Company publishes and sells books, textbooks, magazines, audio visuals, and other products. Shandong Publishing & Media also manufactures and sells papers.

China Telecom Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides wireline telephone, data, and Internet, as well as leased line services in China.

Creative China Holdings Limited is program production company. The Company develops programs for television and online broadcasting, and event organization in PRC.

China United Network Communications Limited provides a variety of telecommunication services, including GSM and CDMA wireless telecommunication services, international and domestic long distance communication services, data communication and Internet services, as well as paging services.

Hello Group Inc. operates as a mobile-based social networking platform. The Company enables users to establish and expand social relationships based on location and interests. Hello Group operates out of the Peoples Republic of China.

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company. The Company offers live wrestling events, television programming, music publishing, advertising, licensing, and home video streaming services. World Wrestling distributes its programs worldwide in various languages.

Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers entertainment content, as well as specializes in marketing and licensing, representation, and event management. Endeavor Group Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Roku, Inc. designs and manufactures consumer electronic products. The Company offers wireless enabled devices that stream audio and video content from the internet to home entertainment systems. Roku serves customers globally.

HYBE Co., Ltd. operates as an entertainment company. The Company provides music production, album distribution, entertainers management, publicity, planning, training, and other services. HYBE also makes television shows.

Netmarble Corporation develops and publishes mobile games. The Company develops and publishes casual games, action, sports games, strategy, simulation games, and social casino games. Netmarble offers services worldwide.

Lions Gate Entertainment Corporation develops and distributes film entertainment contents. The Company produces motion pictures, television programming, animation, and digital media. Lions Gate Entertainment serves customers worldwide.

Pearl Abyss Corp. operates as a computer games making company. The Company offers games development, games exporting, and other services. Pearl Abyss serves customers worldwide.

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides theatrical exhibition, movie screening, food distribution, online ticket booking, and other related services. AMC Entertainment offers movie theaters worldwide.

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/Douyin/3690 HK/TCOM US/BABA US/NTES US

Tencent to release Need for Speed Mobile in 3Q24, Douyin acquires payment license for local services, railway passenger volume during Qingming...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$1.5bn in June

We do not expect any constituent changes for the HSTECH Index in June. Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/1024 HK/BABA US /JD US /PDD US /241 HK/Douyin/ 3690 HK/ TCOM

NPPA approves domestic online games in March; Alibaba to charge live-streaming commissions; Alibaba Health updates guidance for fiscal years 2023-25.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Screening for GEMs: April 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Tencent/Netease: Both Zeroed in March Game Approval

China's game approval process shows higher levels than in 2023, with an accelerated pace resembling pre-tightening, but major companies like...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/Douyin/3690 HK/TCOM US/BABA US/NTES US

​Tencent to release Need for Speed Mobile in 3Q24, Douyin acquires payment license for local services, railway passenger volume during Qingming...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$1.5bn in June

We do not expect any constituent changes for the HSTECH Index in June. Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/1024 HK/BABA US /JD US /PDD US /241 HK/Douyin/ 3690 HK/ TCOM

​NPPA approves domestic online games in March; Alibaba to charge live-streaming commissions; Alibaba Health updates guidance for fiscal years 2023-25.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Screening for GEMs: April 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Tencent/Netease: Both Zeroed in March Game Approval

​China's game approval process shows higher levels than in 2023, with an accelerated pace resembling pre-tightening, but major companies like...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent to release Need for Speed Mobile in 3Q24, Douyin acquires payment license for local services, railway passenger volume during Qingming...

NPPA approves domestic online games in March; Alibaba to charge live-streaming commissions; Alibaba Health updates guidance for fiscal years 2023-25.

China's game approval process shows higher levels than in 2023, with an accelerated pace resembling pre-tightening, but major companies like...