Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (3.6%) and (5.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.4%) and (5.0%) vs. consensus. </li>
<li>Mobile game revenue decline is less a concern due to imminent pipeline launches, but PC game’s significantly beat is a positive surprise. </li>
<li>We raised the TP to US$118 for the better outlook of new game launches.</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (3.6%) and (5.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.4%) and (5.0%) vs. consensus. 
Mobile game revenue decline is less a concern due to imminent pipeline launches, but PC game’s significantly beat is a positive surprise. 
We raised the TP to US$118 for the better outlook of new game launches.


[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Growth Rebounds Ahead from Both PC and Mobile

<ul>
<li>We expect NTES to report C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in (3.8%), in-line and in-line vs. consensus. </li>
<li>Main reason for the revenue miss was product aging in &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; and &lt;Eggy Party&gt; offsetting &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt;;</li>
<li>We cut TP from US$122 to US$110 to reflect the downward pressure from product aging to sustain, but maintaining a BUY rating due to the promising pipeline. </li>
</ul>


We expect NTES to report C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in (3.8%), in-line and in-line vs. consensus. 
Main reason for the revenue miss was product aging in &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; and &lt;Eggy Party&gt; offsetting &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt;;
We cut TP from US$122 to US$110 to reflect the downward pressure from product aging to sustain, but maintaining a BUY rating due to the promising pipeline. 


[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$110) TP Change]: C3Q24 Preview: Revenue Miss but Is Temporary

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges typical for a growing enterprise.</li><li>The company reported a total revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the success in its gaming division and expanded efforts in international markets.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges typical for a growing enterprise.The company reported a total revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the success in its gaming division and expanded efforts in international markets.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported C2Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (5.6%) and (7.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.0%) and (5.5%) vs. consensus. </li>
<li>We believe game growth will materially accelerate in C2H24 and 2025, based on our projection for Naraka Mobile, Where Winds Meet and the two Marvel games. </li>
<li>We keep TP of US$122 unchanged and maintain BUY .</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported C2Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (5.6%) and (7.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.0%) and (5.5%) vs. consensus. 
We believe game growth will materially accelerate in C2H24 and 2025, based on our projection for Naraka Mobile, Where Winds Meet and the two Marvel games. 
We keep TP of US$122 unchanged and maintain BUY .


[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>Whilst the Chinese online games market has struggled since 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> has continued to gain revenue market share driven by the success of its mobile titles.</li>
<li>Future revenue growth will depend on the continued success of NetEase’s legacy titles and its robust pipeline of upcoming releases, including several highly anticipated launches.</li>
<li>NetEase trades nearly 2 standard deviations below its 5-year historic average PE trading range, a level that has proved to be a very good entry point.</li>
</ul>


Whilst the Chinese online games market has struggled since 2023, NetEase (9999 HK) has continued to gain revenue market share driven by the success of its mobile titles.
Future revenue growth will depend on the continued success of NetEase’s legacy titles and its robust pipeline of upcoming releases, including several highly anticipated launches.
NetEase trades nearly 2 standard deviations below its 5-year historic average PE trading range, a level that has proved to be a very good entry point.


NetEase (9999-HK): Market Share Winner, Supported by Buybacks and Dividends

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Growth Rebounds Ahead from Both PC and Mobile

NetEase reports solid C3Q24 revenue with mobile game revenue decline offset by strong PC game performance, leading to raised price target of US$118.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$110) TP Change]: C3Q24 Preview: Revenue Miss but Is Temporary

NTES expected to report mixed Q3 results with revenue miss due to product aging, but maintains BUY rating with promising pipeline. TP cut from...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

NetEase's Q2 results meet expectations, with projected game growth in the second half of 2024 and 2025. Analysts maintain a BUY rating with a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

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[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Growth Rebounds Ahead from Both PC and Mobile

​NetEase reports solid C3Q24 revenue with mobile game revenue decline offset by strong PC game performance, leading to raised price target of US$118.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$110) TP Change]: C3Q24 Preview: Revenue Miss but Is Temporary

​NTES expected to report mixed Q3 results with revenue miss due to product aging, but maintains BUY rating with promising pipeline. TP cut from...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

​NetEase's Q2 results meet expectations, with projected game growth in the second half of 2024 and 2025. Analysts maintain a BUY rating with a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase (9999-HK): Market Share Winner, Supported by Buybacks and Dividends

In this insight we analyse the Chinese online games market, NetEase’s revenue growth outlook, current valuation level, and shareholder returns.

Wium Malan, CFA

NetEase reports solid C3Q24 revenue with mobile game revenue decline offset by strong PC game performance, leading to raised price target of US$118.

NTES expected to report mixed Q3 results with revenue miss due to product aging, but maintains BUY rating with promising pipeline. TP cut from...

NetEase's Q2 results meet expectations, with projected game growth in the second half of 2024 and 2025. Analysts maintain a BUY rating with a...