ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Indonesia e-commerce player Bukalapak, which counts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elang-mahkota-teknologi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7752:1" rel="noopener">Emtek (EMTK IJ)</a> as its largest local backer but also has <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:193:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered (STAN LN)</a>, GIC, and Naver Corp is investors in reportedly in talks to list through a SPAC with a valuation of US$4bn-US$5bn, with a local listing of part of the business in Jakarta first. The timing suggests a target transaction date in 3Q2021.</p>
<p>Bukalapak is the No.4 e-commerce player in Indonesia with 13.5m online sellers and 100m monthly active users, competing with players such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokopedia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24239:1" rel="noopener">Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ)</a>, Shopee (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US))</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lazada-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26148:1" rel="noopener">Lazada Group (LAZADA SP)</a> but with an edge providing fulfillment and logistics for around 5.4m warungs (mom&amp;pop stores) in Indonesia.</p>
<p>The company recently saw <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:193:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered (STAN LN)</a> come in as part of a US$200m funding round, with a view of helping to build financial services through the platform and offer to its sellers and customers financial services.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elang-mahkota-teknologi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7752:1" rel="noopener">Emtek (EMTK IJ)</a> is the most direct beneficiary of a listing for Bukalapak, even through a SPAC, given that it will crystallize a market value for the company. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elang-mahkota-teknologi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7752:1" rel="noopener">Emtek (EMTK IJ)</a>approved a stock split in December and the company has become more liquid and it may look at a further restructuring at a later stage to bring all its digital and media assets under one roof.</p>
<p>The IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange) is already talking about both allowing SPACs to list in Indonesia but also more importantly to allow main-board listings for high-growth companies that may not be profitable, as well as allowing dual-class shares. </p>

Indonesia e-commerce player Bukalapak, which counts Emtek (EMTK IJ) as its largest local backer but also has Microsoft Corp (MSFT US), Standard Chartered (STAN LN), GIC, and Naver Corp is investors in reportedly in talks to list through a SPAC with a valuation of US$4bn-US$5bn, with a local listing of part of the business in Jakarta first. The timing suggests a target transaction date in 3Q2021.
Bukalapak is the No.4 e-commerce player in Indonesia with 13.5m online sellers and 100m monthly active users, competing with players such as Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ), Shopee (Sea Ltd (SE US)), and Lazada Group (LAZADA SP) but with an edge providing fulfillment and logistics for around 5.4m warungs (mom&amp;pop stores) in Indonesia.
The company recently saw Standard Chartered (STAN LN) come in as part of a US$200m funding round, with a view of helping to build financial services through the platform and offer to its sellers and customers financial services.
Emtek (EMTK IJ) is the most direct beneficiary of a listing for Bukalapak, even through a SPAC, given that it will crystallize a market value for the company. Emtek (EMTK IJ)approved a stock split in December and the company has become more liquid and it may look at a further restructuring at a later stage to bring all its digital and media assets under one roof.
The IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange) is already talking about both allowing SPACs to list in Indonesia but also more importantly to allow main-board listings for high-growth companies that may not be profitable, as well as allowing dual-class shares. 

Emtek (EMTK IJ) - Bukalapak Eyeing a SPAC Listing But Jakarta May Be First?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>The new law impacts Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (700 HK) loan business.</li>
<li>Alibaba (BABA) is strengthening its “community group purchase” of fresh food.</li>
<li>Trip.com (TCOM) was still in stress in 4Q20.</li>
<li>Baidu (BIDU) set up an automobile joint venture.</li>
</ul>


The new law impacts Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (700 HK) loan business.
Alibaba (BABA) is strengthening its “community group purchase” of fresh food.
Trip.com (TCOM) was still in stress in 4Q20.
Baidu (BIDU) set up an automobile joint venture.


China Internet Weekly (Mar 8): New Law Limits BABA & Tencent’s Loan Biz, BIDU Starts Car Production.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Autohome Inc (Adr) / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autohome-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20234:1" rel="noopener">Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US)</a> has launched a $1 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. The primary/secondary spilt of the offer is 66.7%/33.3%. The selling shareholder is Yun Chen which is a non-wholly-owned subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group Co Of China (601318 CH)</a>.</p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/autohome-secondary-listing-motoring-online" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48751" rel="noopener">Autohome Secondary Listing: Motoring Online</a> outlined our views on Autohome’ fundamentals and valuation. The H shares will be priced on 9 March (Tuesday) and are scheduled for listing on 15 March.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In this note, we will look at Autohome’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Autohome will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. Overall, we think that Autohome pricing its H-shares around a 2% discount to its ADSs will be reasonable.</p></div>

Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US) has launched a $1 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. The primary/secondary spilt of the offer is 66.7%/33.3%. The selling shareholder is Yun Chen which is a non-wholly-owned subsidiary of Ping An Insurance Group Co Of China (601318 CH).In Autohome Secondary Listing: Motoring Online outlined our views on Autohome’ fundamentals and valuation. The H shares will be priced on 9 March (Tuesday) and are scheduled for listing on 15 March.  In this note, we will look at Autohome’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Autohome will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. Overall, we think that Autohome pricing its H-shares around a 2% discount to its ADSs will be reasonable.

Autohome Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

<div class="content-highlight">
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> released a set of what can be described as blowout 4Q2020 and FY2020 results, with +103% growth YoY in total GAAP revenues in 4Q2020, +111% growth in total GAAP Digital Entertainment Revenues, and a spectacular +178% YoY growth in e-commerce revenues for 4Q2020. What was also highly encouraging was the company's guidance for FY2021, which seems well-ahead of analyst expectations, which will likely need to play catch up.</p>
</div>
<p>The digital entertainment business saw a continued growth of its user base both in terms of quarterly active users and quarterly paying active users.</p>
<p>Bookings for the digital entertainment business were US$1bn, up +111% whilst adjusted EBITDA came in at US$663.5m, up by +149.1% YoY.</p>
<p>The company's self-developed game <em>Free Fire </em>was the most downloaded mobile game globally in 2020, maintaining its pole position for the second year running.</p>
<p>In the e-commerce business, the company registered a +135% growth in gross orders to 1,0233.2m and +113% growth in gross merchandise orders (GMV) to US$11.9bn.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> is also seeing increasing adoption of its Sea Money offerings with its mobile wallet generating US$2.9bn in transaction value in 4Q2020 and 23.2m quarterly paying users.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> has also acquired a 100% stake in Composite Capital Management, a Hong Kong licensed global investment management firm founded and led by David Ma. This will effectively become an incubator for the company's investments.</p>
<p>The company has also recently appointed Dr Yan Shuicheng as its Chief Science Officer to build and lead Sea AI Labs. He is a leading expert in developing artificial intelligence, with a key focus on computer vision, machine learning, and multimedia analysis.</p>
<section class="figure"></section>
<section class="figure"></section>
<section class="figure"></section>
<section class="figure">For FY2021 guidance, the company is expecting significant sales growth for both digital entertainment and e-commerce, which suggests numbers significantly above current analyst expectations.</section>


Sea Ltd (SE US) released a set of what can be described as blowout 4Q2020 and FY2020 results, with +103% growth YoY in total GAAP revenues in 4Q2020, +111% growth in total GAAP Digital Entertainment Revenues, and a spectacular +178% YoY growth in e-commerce revenues for 4Q2020. What was also highly encouraging was the company's guidance for FY2021, which seems well-ahead of analyst expectations, which will likely need to play catch up.

The digital entertainment business saw a continued growth of its user base both in terms of quarterly active users and quarterly paying active users.
Bookings for the digital entertainment business were US$1bn, up +111% whilst adjusted EBITDA came in at US$663.5m, up by +149.1% YoY.
The company's self-developed game Free Fire was the most downloaded mobile game globally in 2020, maintaining its pole position for the second year running.
In the e-commerce business, the company registered a +135% growth in gross orders to 1,0233.2m and +113% growth in gross merchandise orders (GMV) to US$11.9bn.
Sea Ltd (SE US) is also seeing increasing adoption of its Sea Money offerings with its mobile wallet generating US$2.9bn in transaction value in 4Q2020 and 23.2m quarterly paying users.
Sea Ltd (SE US) has also acquired a 100% stake in Composite Capital Management, a Hong Kong licensed global investment management firm founded and led by David Ma. This will effectively become an incubator for the company's investments.
The company has also recently appointed Dr Yan Shuicheng as its Chief Science Officer to build and lead Sea AI Labs. He is a leading expert in developing artificial intelligence, with a key focus on computer vision, machine learning, and multimedia analysis.



For FY2021 guidance, the company is expecting significant sales growth for both digital entertainment and e-commerce, which suggests numbers significantly above current analyst expectations.

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Metamorphosis in Motion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<p>Autohome plans to raise around US$864m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. Unlike the prior secondary listing, this one contains a sell down as well</p>
<p>I have covered most aspects of the deal in my earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/autohome-secondary-listing-doesn-t-need-the-cash-at-all" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Autohome Secondary Listing - Doesn’t Need the Cash at All. </a>In this note, I'll only touch upon the updates since my last note.</p>

Autohome plans to raise around US$864m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. Unlike the prior secondary listing, this one contains a sell down as well
I have covered most aspects of the deal in my earlier note, Autohome Secondary Listing - Doesn’t Need the Cash at All. In this note, I'll only touch upon the updates since my last note.

Autohome Secondary Listing - Going Down a Different Route

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

Emtek (EMTK IJ) - Bukalapak Eyeing a SPAC Listing But Jakarta May Be First?

Emtek is an interesting way to play the burgeoning digital economy in Indonesia and would be a key beneficiary should subsidiary Bukalapak choose...

Angus Mackintosh

China Internet Weekly (Mar 8): New Law Limits BABA & Tencent’s Loan Biz, BIDU Starts Car Production.

The new law impacts Alibaba and Tencent loan business. Alibaba is strengthening its “community group purchase” of fresh food. Trip.com was still in...

Ming Lu

Autohome Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

Autohome will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. We think that a 2% discount...

Arun George

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Metamorphosis in Motion

Sea Ltd continues to achieve higher than expected rates of growth both for its digital entertainment and e-commerce business, with digital...

Angus Mackintosh

Autohome Secondary Listing - Going Down a Different Route

Autohome plans to raise around US$864m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. Unlike the prior secondary listing, this one contains a sell down as...

Sumeet Singh

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