Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China’s NPPA issued a list of 67 new games approved for July 2022, and once again, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>  and its smaller rival NetEase were excluded from the list.</li>
<li>The nine-month long freeze on new game approval was lifted in April, however, none of Tencent’s new games were included in the approved lists in April, June and July.</li>
<li>This further affirms our view that the anti-monopoly crackdown on tech firms hasn’t slowed down, but regulators are probing on dominant players such as Tencent to level the playing field.</li>
</ul>


China’s NPPA issued a list of 67 new games approved for July 2022, and once again, Tencent (700 HK)  and its smaller rival NetEase were excluded from the list.
The nine-month long freeze on new game approval was lifted in April, however, none of Tencent’s new games were included in the approved lists in April, June and July.
This further affirms our view that the anti-monopoly crackdown on tech firms hasn’t slowed down, but regulators are probing on dominant players such as Tencent to level the playing field.


Tencent – Excluded Again from New Game Approvals

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>China just announced game approval for July batch. More games were approved in July compared to June and May.</li>
<li>Pace of China game approval has picked up albeit at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Tencent and Netease will be under pressure as they continue to score zero in July domestic game approval. </li>
</ul>


China just announced game approval for July batch. More games were approved in July compared to June and May.
Pace of China game approval has picked up albeit at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.
Tencent and Netease will be under pressure as they continue to score zero in July domestic game approval. 


Tencent/Netease: Under Pressure with No Game Approval in July

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Alibaba CEO’s article appeared on a government journal, which can be a positive signal to non-state-owned companies.</li>
<li>Prosus sells shareholdings in Tencent and JD.com to repurchase its own shares.</li>
<li>Tencent is trying to use game technologies in other fields.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba CEO’s article appeared on a government journal, which can be a positive signal to non-state-owned companies.
Prosus sells shareholdings in Tencent and JD.com to repurchase its own shares.
Tencent is trying to use game technologies in other fields.


China Internet Weekly (4Jul2022): Tencent, Alibaba, NetEase, JD.com, Trip.com

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSRC and SFC have approved the inclusion of eligible ETFs in Stock Connect and trading of the ETFs under Stock Connect would begin from 4 July.</li>
<li>There are 4 ETFs included in Southbound Stock Connect, while there are 83 ETFs that have been included in Northbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Under Stock Connect, only secondary trading is allowed in the ETFs with no creations or redemptions permitted. This will have implications for short-term and long-term repo on the HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH indices.</li>
</ul>


CSRC and SFC have approved the inclusion of eligible ETFs in Stock Connect and trading of the ETFs under Stock Connect would begin from 4 July.
There are 4 ETFs included in Southbound Stock Connect, while there are 83 ETFs that have been included in Northbound Stock Connect.
Under Stock Connect, only secondary trading is allowed in the ETFs with no creations or redemptions permitted. This will have implications for short-term and long-term repo on the HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH indices.


ETFs in Stock Connect: List Announced; Effective 4 July

China

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

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NetEase Inc (NTES US)

Tencent – Excluded Again from New Game Approvals

Tencent, once again failed to make into the approved list of 67 new games for July 2022, nor in the last two batches of approved new game titles....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent/Netease: Under Pressure with No Game Approval in July

China regulator released July batch of game approval. Tencent and Netease will be under pressure as they continue to score zero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Internet Weekly (4Jul2022): Tencent, Alibaba, NetEase, JD.com, Trip.com

Alibaba CEO’s article appeared on a governmental journal. Prosus sells shareholdings in Tencent and JD.com. Tencent is trying to use game...

Ming Lu

Screening for GEMs: July 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

ETFs in Stock Connect: List Announced; Effective 4 July

CSRC & SFC have approved the inclusion of eligible ETFs in Stock Connect. Trading of the ETFs under Stock Connect begins from 4 July. There are 83...

Brian Freitas

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